Sajal Kapoor's Threads | Buzz Chronicles

Monishaaa, ‘Bio-refineries’ bolo beta…
This ‘Sugar Mills’ is just too middle class!

When a stock is trading around 15-20x sales - ask why would an accident not happen? What could be the valuations damage in that case?

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

Avadhpur
Balrampur
Bazpur
Burhanpur
Dalmiapur
Dhampur
Dwarikeshpur
Jaunpur
Kolhapur
Lakhimpur
Prajpur
Renukapur
Sitapur
Solapur
Sultanpur
Trivenipur
Wopur
Yepur
...
...

मिले सुर मेरा तुम्हारा तो Pur बने हमारा 🎶🎷🥁

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

Infra vs Compounder. Get poor fast vs Get rich slowly (unless you buy at the bottom and "luckily" survive the bankruptcy/mortality risk to ride the subsequent fast recovery and then turn "lucky" again to exit in good times resisting your irresistible greed).

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

Doesn't matter what's the market cap is - micro or large, the quality of any business is never unseen. You screen through the last 5-10 years of balance sheet and cash flows and you'd know what can and cannot compound wealth. Narrative alone is useless. Numbers have to match.

Conviction | Patience
@unseenvalue

Unseen rule 1 :: whatever be the reason, never justify the valuations of a rising stock price

Unseen rule 2 :: whatever be the reason, never defend the quality/reason of a falling stock price

Unseen rule 3 :: never react in an impulsive manner to a rising/falling stock price

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

Journey from deep-hatred (नफ़रत) to deep-love (इश्क़) creates massive valuations re-rating from below 1x sales and 1x book value to anything from 5x to 20x sales and a multiple of book value.

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

MCap is a function of market sentiments. Balance sheet, cash flows, R&D execution, talent acquisition, regulatory compliance, M&As and so on....are a function of management/governance. Never mix the business with the stock. Stock is not the business. Business is not the stock :)

It's simple, if ""FY23 PAT of this API to CDMO = FY21 PAT of largest pure-play CDMO/API"" then the FY23 Mcap of this API/CDMO= FY21 Mcap of largest pure-play CDMO/API, am I correct Sajal saab??
— richman (@greatrichman3) June 14, 2021

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

@suru27 The number of pets that we spot while morning and evening walks have noticeably increased over the last few months. These companions are great in emotional support, and a natural therapy for 🧠

Conviction | Patience
@unseenvalue

When we put a high multiple to sales, the most important thing to worry about is - what could disrupt those cash flows. A lower multiple to sales (like a 1x or 2x) justifies Yo-Yo cyclicality and 10x sales implies relatively stable gross margins, cash flow and business economics.

It's amazing \U0001f60a 25% NP

$8b revenue
$2b Profit
$92b MCap

At 11 times revenue, it seems to be cheap compared to\U0001f609
— Avinash (@Aviral_Bharat) February 17, 2022

Sajal Kapoor
@unseenvalue

18-19% ROE wale being bought by institutions at anywhere b/w 12 and 20x price to sales. Not many liked this space in 2013. Not many hate it today. Social validation in investing is a big curse ...

Ghor ChemYug 😆

#DeepakNitrite valuation is most attractive in the space...

growth will be most explosive in the space... pic.twitter.com/8VYdWwFApY
— jeevan patwa (@jeevanpatwa) June 30, 2021

AnmolNarula11 Authors Sajal Kapoor