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đ¨GEORGIA UPDATE (Voting for 12/26, late night thread)đ¨
Statewide: 2,097,269 (+26,075)
Fulton: 272,057 (+14,360)
Gwinnett: 182,924 (+9,753)
Columbia: 32,920 (+175)
Houston: 32,876 (+126)
Cherokee: 53,860 (+320)
Forsyth: 58,066 (+437)
Coweta: 26,575 (+203)
I'll post the rates tomorrow with the racial breakdown. For now, let's go with the raw totals.
What do we have from today? Well, Democrats probably added about 8K votes to their margin, per @joe__gantt's estimates. That's not as much as they'd have been hoping for, to be blunt.
But let's also remember that the second weekend in the general election was a pro-GOP day. So this is certainly not the worst-case scenario everyone worried about. All of that helps the Democrats. They'd have liked more, but...it's Boxing Day.
Tomorrow, it appears as if DeKalb, Columbia, Fulton, and Gwinnett are open. This will likely result in another pro-Democratic day, but almost certainly with more votes cast. How much? I got no idea, but probably around 30K-40K. So Democrats will look to add about 10K to the lead.
We'll enter the last 4 days of early voting with approximately a (roughly) 190K vote lead for Democrats, in all likelihood. That'll leave the GOP with some ground to make up.
Statewide: 2,097,269 (+26,075)
Fulton: 272,057 (+14,360)
Gwinnett: 182,924 (+9,753)
Columbia: 32,920 (+175)
Houston: 32,876 (+126)
Cherokee: 53,860 (+320)
Forsyth: 58,066 (+437)
Coweta: 26,575 (+203)
I'll post the rates tomorrow with the racial breakdown. For now, let's go with the raw totals.
What do we have from today? Well, Democrats probably added about 8K votes to their margin, per @joe__gantt's estimates. That's not as much as they'd have been hoping for, to be blunt.
But let's also remember that the second weekend in the general election was a pro-GOP day. So this is certainly not the worst-case scenario everyone worried about. All of that helps the Democrats. They'd have liked more, but...it's Boxing Day.
In the general election, for example, our estimate was that Biden won the first two days of early voting, three of the four weekend days, and Trump won basically every other day of early voting pic.twitter.com/9JID24eq3I
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) December 15, 2020
Tomorrow, it appears as if DeKalb, Columbia, Fulton, and Gwinnett are open. This will likely result in another pro-Democratic day, but almost certainly with more votes cast. How much? I got no idea, but probably around 30K-40K. So Democrats will look to add about 10K to the lead.
We'll enter the last 4 days of early voting with approximately a (roughly) 190K vote lead for Democrats, in all likelihood. That'll leave the GOP with some ground to make up.
Wonderfully refreshing
Lusk speaking about "the danger of Christians claiming privilege within the state and the persecution of Christians which that led to...
If you have a political system which gives privilege to Christians then that system have to define what a Christian is"
Paynter: "If Christians are pursuing political power, what ... they are essentially saying is that might makes right."
Lusk: 1/ "The basic problem w/a religious right is that it says that the state has been established by God to enforce law & all law has a religious basis."
Lusk: 2/ "And therefore whatever the state does must reflect a religious position. And therefore if there are diverse religious positions at work, then the inevitable result is that one will oppress the other."
Lusk: "To say we are post-Christian does not mean we are ex-Christian ... Although Christain belief is a small minority, certainly our culture, our values, our system- these are very much part of a Christian heritage and sensibility which is inherited."
Lusk speaking about "the danger of Christians claiming privilege within the state and the persecution of Christians which that led to...
If you have a political system which gives privilege to Christians then that system have to define what a Christian is"
A Christian who doesn't think the church should have a privileged voice in the public square? Isn't that like a turkey voting for Christmas? Listen to the new episode of our podcast #GunsandGod, with @HelenEPaynter & @matthew_feldman with guest Paul Lusk.https://t.co/O3t2C41gsM
— Centre for the Study of Bible & Violence (@CSBibleViolence) December 7, 2020
Paynter: "If Christians are pursuing political power, what ... they are essentially saying is that might makes right."
Lusk: 1/ "The basic problem w/a religious right is that it says that the state has been established by God to enforce law & all law has a religious basis."
Lusk: 2/ "And therefore whatever the state does must reflect a religious position. And therefore if there are diverse religious positions at work, then the inevitable result is that one will oppress the other."
Lusk: "To say we are post-Christian does not mean we are ex-Christian ... Although Christain belief is a small minority, certainly our culture, our values, our system- these are very much part of a Christian heritage and sensibility which is inherited."
OLIVER LETWIN ... LETWIN worked for NM #Rothschild Group, Vice President for the Great Britain #China Centre, #Fabian ....đđđ
1. Sir Oliver Letwin PC FRSA (born 19 May 1956)[1] is a British politician who served as the MP for West Dorset from 1997 to 2019. Letwin was elected as a member of the Conservative Party, but sat as an independent after having the whip removed in September 2019.
2. He served as Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer under Michael Howard and Shadow Home Secretary under Iain Duncan Smith. He was Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster from 2014 to 2016.
3. Archives.
4. 'Vision set for UK to become a world leader in the internet of things - Minister for Government Policy, Oliver Letwin commented: 2014 https://t.co/vGTARHjv8g
"The Internet of Things will be an economic powerhouse for the UK with millions of connections unlocking billions of
1. Sir Oliver Letwin PC FRSA (born 19 May 1956)[1] is a British politician who served as the MP for West Dorset from 1997 to 2019. Letwin was elected as a member of the Conservative Party, but sat as an independent after having the whip removed in September 2019.
2. He served as Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer under Michael Howard and Shadow Home Secretary under Iain Duncan Smith. He was Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster from 2014 to 2016.
3. Archives.
4. 'Vision set for UK to become a world leader in the internet of things - Minister for Government Policy, Oliver Letwin commented: 2014 https://t.co/vGTARHjv8g
"The Internet of Things will be an economic powerhouse for the UK with millions of connections unlocking billions of
Yet Another Major Escalation In Establishment Internet Censorship
"YouTube, whose corporate owner Google is arguably the most powerful company on earth, is now deleting user videos which claim the US election was
YouTube's official statement on its decision to do this is very revealing, not so much for what it says as for what it does not
At no point does the video publishing platform attempt to argue that it is removing these videos because they jeopardize anyone's health or safety, as it did when it began deleting videos deemed to be spreading misinformation about Covid-19.
"YouTube, whose corporate owner Google is arguably the most powerful company on earth, is now deleting user videos which claim the US election was
YouTube's official statement on its decision to do this is very revealing, not so much for what it says as for what it does not
2/ Yesterday was the safe harbor deadline. Now that enough states certified their Presidential election results, we\u2019ll remove any content published today (or anytime after) that alleges widespread fraud or errors changed the 2020 U.S. Presidential election outcome.
— YouTubeInsider (@YouTubeInsider) December 9, 2020
At no point does the video publishing platform attempt to argue that it is removing these videos because they jeopardize anyone's health or safety, as it did when it began deleting videos deemed to be spreading misinformation about Covid-19.
Lack of confidence in this year's election outcome is a real problem--steadfastly ignored by too many. I've said *state legislators* are appropriate body to address fraud w/in their borders. Here's the promised longer thread on fraud. /1 #ElectoralCollege
Disclaimer: I am not taking âfraud happenedâ or âfraud didnât happenâ side. I am answering those who've asked me how fraud can be addressed in #ElectoralCollege if/when it occurs. In an earlier thread I said congressmen are limited in what they can do.
As a foundational matter: I believe the problems started this summer when Governors began unilaterally changing election procedures, without legislative input. This was wrong. STATE LEGISLATURES are responsible for election laws. /3 #ElectoralCollege
This truth holds especially true in presâl elections. #ElectoralCollege looks to *state legislatures* to be responsible for their states. The buck always stops w/ state legislators. Thus, 1st mistake made by too many legislators was a failure to push back on Govs this summer. /4
We have THREE branches of government. Why have we ignored #RuleofLaw all year? Why are Govs creating law when thatâs the legislatureâs job? How unsurprising that people distrust the election outcome after months & months of thumbing our noses @ Rule of Law. /5 #ElectoralCollege
Almost half (47%) of American voters believe there was enough fraud to ensure Biden would win in the recent elections, including 75% of Republicans & 30% of Democrats. Please retweet. https://t.co/8JGddENZGI
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) December 19, 2020
Disclaimer: I am not taking âfraud happenedâ or âfraud didnât happenâ side. I am answering those who've asked me how fraud can be addressed in #ElectoralCollege if/when it occurs. In an earlier thread I said congressmen are limited in what they can do.
THREAD: I haven\u2019t said much about the #ElectoralCollege this week, despite two decades of studying the system, because I needed time to formulate my thoughts on some of what we are watching. /1
— Tara Ross (@TaraRoss) December 18, 2020
As a foundational matter: I believe the problems started this summer when Governors began unilaterally changing election procedures, without legislative input. This was wrong. STATE LEGISLATURES are responsible for election laws. /3 #ElectoralCollege
This truth holds especially true in presâl elections. #ElectoralCollege looks to *state legislatures* to be responsible for their states. The buck always stops w/ state legislators. Thus, 1st mistake made by too many legislators was a failure to push back on Govs this summer. /4
We have THREE branches of government. Why have we ignored #RuleofLaw all year? Why are Govs creating law when thatâs the legislatureâs job? How unsurprising that people distrust the election outcome after months & months of thumbing our noses @ Rule of Law. /5 #ElectoralCollege
It's the most wonderful tiiiiime of the yeeeear đđ
It's time for 2 hours of Putin's squirrely bullshit.
Putin spent the last 5 minutes reaffirming that Coronavirus happened, it's a thing, everybody dealt with it, and when you think about it, it really hasn't been that bad!
Like any good bureaucrat (and make no mistake, Putin is a great bureaucrat) he is filibustering with facts that sound good, while not addressing the bad facts (but waving to the the fact that other fact may exist, but you are really focusing on the wrong thing).
Being in a relationship with this man must be a complete, uninterrupted mindf---
Putin projects mastery of the facts while also delivering it in a boring way so you tune out and say "He seems like he has it." And he does it for everything from agriculture markets to fomenting frozen conflicts -- making it seem like just another boring thing.
It's time for 2 hours of Putin's squirrely bullshit.
#LIVE Russian President Putin holds an annual press conference https://t.co/Ical3R9Av1
— ANews (@anewscomtr) December 17, 2020
Putin spent the last 5 minutes reaffirming that Coronavirus happened, it's a thing, everybody dealt with it, and when you think about it, it really hasn't been that bad!
Like any good bureaucrat (and make no mistake, Putin is a great bureaucrat) he is filibustering with facts that sound good, while not addressing the bad facts (but waving to the the fact that other fact may exist, but you are really focusing on the wrong thing).
Being in a relationship with this man must be a complete, uninterrupted mindf---
Putin projects mastery of the facts while also delivering it in a boring way so you tune out and say "He seems like he has it." And he does it for everything from agriculture markets to fomenting frozen conflicts -- making it seem like just another boring thing.
I want to echo Ibrahimâs welcome for this engagement with Syrians by @AnnaMcMorrin and @WayneDavid_MP.
At the same time I am overwhelmed with how far we are from where we need to be.
I have such a flood of thoughts, it is hard to know where to
One difficulty is having too much to say. Another is that so many of my thoughts are by now steeped in bitterness.
I think it is very important to say that Labourâs problems on Syria donât begin and end with Jeremy Corbyn and his associates.
There is too much bitterness on Twitter, but I think I need to write a little on mine here, and how it colours my view.
This yearâs anniversary of the Srebrenica Massacre comes to mind. Labour leader Keir Starmer marked it here:
https://t.co/jaf27nIEuh
Inevitably some couldnât help think of Corbynâs record of siding with mass murderers.
The month after came the anniversary of the Ghouta Massacre. I donât believe Starmer mentioned it. I donât think @lisanandy said anything about it either.
At the same time I am overwhelmed with how far we are from where we need to be.
I have such a flood of thoughts, it is hard to know where to
Words turned into action. Labour leadership in the past would not even meet Syrians, let alone follow up on the meeting with a letter to Gov asking them to do more on Syria! Previous labour used to ask for less, muddy waters and spread disinformation on Syria. What a change!! https://t.co/iB8r7bCqUW
— Ibrahim Olabi (@IbrahimOlabi) December 4, 2020
One difficulty is having too much to say. Another is that so many of my thoughts are by now steeped in bitterness.
I think it is very important to say that Labourâs problems on Syria donât begin and end with Jeremy Corbyn and his associates.
There is too much bitterness on Twitter, but I think I need to write a little on mine here, and how it colours my view.
This yearâs anniversary of the Srebrenica Massacre comes to mind. Labour leader Keir Starmer marked it here:
https://t.co/jaf27nIEuh
Inevitably some couldnât help think of Corbynâs record of siding with mass murderers.
The month after came the anniversary of the Ghouta Massacre. I donât believe Starmer mentioned it. I donât think @lisanandy said anything about it either.
