Khatvaanga Categories India vaccine production
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This thread discusses “vaccine shortage”. Data from news reports over last 6 months.
Tl;dr: Situation is not shortage as such. India has stockpile of ~140m doses end March. However there’s a tricky situation with supply vs consumption over short term.
1/
Situation: SII and BB accumulated significant stockpiles much before earliest approvals.
SII 40m by mid Nov: https://t.co/esy5oYoN1z
SII 270m doses produced end-March: https://t.co/peKENQvrxW
Covaxin 20m stockpile March: https://t.co/s4mZ7bSHZU
2/
Vaccine exports total 64.9 million : https://t.co/pLKalzySrL but dropped to almost 0 in April.
Total consumption is 173.1 million up to April 12: 108.2 m local vaccinations plus 64.9m exports .
3/
However, due to SII and BB both producing ahead of time, India accumulated a stockpile much before first vaccinations and exports began 3rd week of Jan.
Currently this stockpile is estimated at over 140m doses start of April .
4/
At the ongoing 3.6 million doses / day we consume 108m doses a month. Even though monthly production is 65m doses, the stockpile enables current vaccination rate to continue.
5/
Tl;dr: Situation is not shortage as such. India has stockpile of ~140m doses end March. However there’s a tricky situation with supply vs consumption over short term.
1/
Situation: SII and BB accumulated significant stockpiles much before earliest approvals.
SII 40m by mid Nov: https://t.co/esy5oYoN1z
SII 270m doses produced end-March: https://t.co/peKENQvrxW
Covaxin 20m stockpile March: https://t.co/s4mZ7bSHZU
2/
Vaccine exports total 64.9 million : https://t.co/pLKalzySrL but dropped to almost 0 in April.
Total consumption is 173.1 million up to April 12: 108.2 m local vaccinations plus 64.9m exports .
3/
However, due to SII and BB both producing ahead of time, India accumulated a stockpile much before first vaccinations and exports began 3rd week of Jan.
Currently this stockpile is estimated at over 140m doses start of April .
4/
At the ongoing 3.6 million doses / day we consume 108m doses a month. Even though monthly production is 65m doses, the stockpile enables current vaccination rate to continue.
5/