There are certain indicators, levels, or other ways you can increase your odds of being right >50%, but you'll never get significantly higher
You always hear people let your winners ride or cut your losers early. Easier said than done, right?
Well, it's a mathematical fact that implementing this will improve your trading profits
The math behind leaving runners on and cutting losers early ๐๐๐
There are certain indicators, levels, or other ways you can increase your odds of being right >50%, but you'll never get significantly higher
You HAVE to let your winners run and cut your losers early.
Example: you take 100 trades for $100. Winners win $10, losers lose $10. To profit, you need 51 winners (+$510) and 49 losers (-$490)
Example: you take 100 trades for $100. Winners win $20, losers lose $5. To profit, you need 21 winners (+$420) and 79 losers (-$395)
You can essentially lose 4 out of every 5 trades and still make money if you simply let your winners run and cut your losers
2:1 (winners run 20%, losers stopped out at 10%), you only need to win 34%
3:1, 26%
4:1, 21%
You decrease the # of trades you need to hit by having your winners outweigh your losers
1) Have a rule on your stop losses. Personally, every trade I enter I immediately set a STOP order for -10%
2) Have a target profit level for winners. For me, I like the 2:1 risk/reward so once a trade hits 20% profits, I start to scale out
So when my trade hits 20%, I scale out part of my position and move my stop order for the rest to 10% profits
Remember, YOU CAN ALWAYS RE-ENTER.
1) Your thesis of it breaking the level is no longer valid
2) If it breaks above the level again, you can just re-enter
Special thanks to @AdamSliverTrade , @notmrmanziel , @TradingWarz , and the rest of the #LDL crew for getting me on this path and helping inform threads like this
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For three years I have wanted to write an article on moral panics. I have collected anecdotes and similarities between today\u2019s moral panic and those of the past - particularly the Satanic Panic of the 80s.
— Ashe Schow (@AsheSchow) September 29, 2018
This is my finished product: https://t.co/otcM1uuUDk
The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.
1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!
2) "Repressed memory" syndrome
3) Facilitated Communication [FC]
All 3 led to massive abuse.
"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.
Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.
FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
Some random interesting tidbits:
1) Zuck approves shutting down platform API access for Twitter's when Vine is released #competition

2) Facebook engineered ways to access user's call history w/o alerting users:
Team considered access to call history considered 'high PR risk' but 'growth team will charge ahead'. @Facebook created upgrade path to access data w/o subjecting users to Android permissions dialogue.

3) The above also confirms @kashhill and other's suspicion that call history was used to improve PYMK (People You May Know) suggestions and newsfeed rankings.
4) Docs also shed more light into @dseetharaman's story on @Facebook monitoring users' @Onavo VPN activity to determine what competitors to mimic or acquire in 2013.
https://t.co/PwiRIL3v9x
