Trading Education Thread time 1/8

There are really only two types of trading styles:

1. Mean Reversion Trading
2. Breakout Trading

All other "styles" are merely indicator-based trading systems.

This thread will specifically discuss Breakout Trading

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Breakout Trading requires identification of four elements in order to be successful:

1. Trendlines (pattern based support/resistance)
2. Price Action (overall trending direction)
3. Volume (the amount of participants)
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Trendlines serve as support/resistance like order blocks (areas w/ prior bull/bear struggle) & lead to patterns. Human psychology does not like randomness which is why there tends to be strong reaction at the extremes of historical reference points or anticipated patterns.
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The mkt tends to test two extreme ends of reference areas for a time, leading to a distinct larger pattern or range. A misconception is that certain patterns are always bearish/bullish, but the dominant trend (~4-7x TF above yours) influences the eventual breakout dir more.
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Still, false breaks occur quite frequently. Basic patterns like triangles often trap newer traders that seasoned traders/algos regularly exploit, especially in crypto. Frontrunning or chasing mid-candle breakout is at high risk of being exit liquidity for the counter dump.
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Which brings us to the most critical part: volume. This is the amount of "interest" in this zone, & tends to decline during consolidation as both sides are bracing for impact w/uncertainty. A breakout needs a volume surge; it signals commitment by traders in that direction.
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So how do you properly execute the trade? Identify the dominant trend, & reduce size when betting on the opposite breakout. If breakout, note if candle vol has spiked & closes outside. If so, enter position, & place stops just within the breakout line inside of the pattern.
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Did you find this interesting? Don't forget to check out my thread on Mean Reversion psychology: https://t.co/pS2Dmdbg9c

Or join me at https://t.co/QcbdSfAti4 to share alpha and network with others (no it's not a paid group)

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Great article from @AsheSchow. I lived thru the 'Satanic Panic' of the 1980's/early 1990's asking myself "Has eveyrbody lost their GODDAMN MINDS?!"


The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.

1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!

2) "Repressed memory" syndrome

3) Facilitated Communication [FC]

All 3 led to massive abuse.

"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.

Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.

FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
Still wondering about this 🤔


save as q