BC TRADING
Saved by @Alex1Powell

We've already established that $INTC is about to lose serious market share in the PC market but truth be told, Intel's most important segment is probably what it terms as the "Data Center Group", it's data center business. So what are Intel's prospects there? Let's do a deep dive

 While Intel's CCG segment (the PC segment) is fairly stagnant, The Data center segment (henceforth DCG) has been growing nicely for years. 2019 revenue are ~50% above 2015 and the segment has shown nice growth 2020 so far
So what has enabled an old mature co like $INTC to suddenly grow so fast in a major segment?
It's kind of obvious, isn't it? the CLOUD.
The DCG segment actually contains 2 very different activities - Traditional data center and hyper cloud
And while it's hyper cloud business was booming, it's traditional data center business was stagnating.
We estimate that between 2014-2019, Hyper cloud grew at ~30% CAGR with Traditional data center operating without growth
So it's pretty easy do see that the future of $INTC lies in its hyper cloud business. We've established that it faces a bleak future in PC and traditional data center, well, let's just say it's not a growth business.
Hyper cloud is basically 3 companies: $AMZN, $MSFT, $GOOG. What is the competitive dynamic in Hyper cloud (from the CPU perspective)?
One can see that the hypercloud guys basically have 2 options: $INTC & $AMD
$INTC is rapidly losing market share to $AMD which is a bit alarming and imo is the main reason for its stock behavior lately, but I argue that while the Intel / AMD is certainly of some importance, the market is focusing on the wrong thing
I can't stop myself from thinking about the war of the five kings. While all of Westeros petty kingdoms were fighting in the south, the true threat was forming in the north, waiting to reveal itself
unbeknownst to the southerners, back in 2015 the dark lord Bezos has started gatherings his army by purchasing an obscure Israeli start-up for $350M - Annapurna Labs
https://t.co/oTWxhB1mzL
By 2018, Bezos introduced his creation to the world, the first version of his final weapon, the one who will finally vanquish his ancient rivals $INTC & $AMD, the Graviton
https://t.co/4W0TO0Km7W
recently on May 2020, AWS released the latest Graviton version (v2) and the attack on the south has officially begun.
Performance benchmarks have been quite telling - it seems like Graviton2 is on par with x86 performance wise, and is much cheaper
maybe direct quotes will illustrate it better:
"The cost analysis section describes ‘An x86 Massacre’, as while the pure performance of the Arm chip is generally in the same region as the x86 competitors, its lower price means the price/performance is substantially better"
"If you’re an EC2 customer today, and unless you’re tied to x86 for whatever reason, you’d be stupid not to switch over to Graviton2 instances once they become available, as the cost savings will be significant"
btw the quotes are from https://t.co/ptiihfJgz6. I suggest go directly to the source and read the entire article
https://t.co/0vvQnceDfI
Unsurprisingly perhaps, Graviton has rapidly gained share in AWS since the release of v2
And that's where we come full circle. What does the future holds for Graviton? luckily for us, we don't have to make some wild prediction, because the future is already here. What is the future you ask? it's the magnificent M1: Black. Magic. Fuckery
https://t.co/zwZhp1XaW6
while Graviton is on par with x86 ($INTC) on performance, the M1, which is also based on ARM, blows the x86 out of the water. It's inevitable that at some point in the next 1-2 years, AWS will release a mind blowing version of Graviton akin to the M1
At that point the battle will be lost. the dark lord and his minions will prevail, the southern kingdom ($INTC) will fall like the old great empire of $NOK

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Delta
Gamma
Theta
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In my experience, understanding DELTA is enough to take benefit of greeks.(1/n)

Delta measures the rate of change of options price based on the directional movement of the underlying.

So this means we can know in advance (theoretically) how much an option will move with the underlying & so we can prepare our strategies accordingly. (2/n)

Value of delta varies between 0 & 1 for calls and -1 & 0 for puts. This figure tells how much an option price will change, when the underlying moves 1 point. So example a delta of .2 of call indicates that for every 1 point change in the underlying, the price will move .2 (3/n)

For option writers who want to trade in neutral strategies like straddle, strangle, ratios, calendar etc, delta can be very helpful. So be it any complex strategy, knowing the NET DELTA can give you an idea of how your strategy will perform in different scenarios. (4/n)

Net delta is just the sum of the deltas of all the bull options (call+ & put-) minus the bear options (call- & put+).

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Gene Kim
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Many of you have seen the famous Westrum Organizational Typology model, so prominently featured in State of DevOps Research, Accelerate, DevOps Handbook, etc.

This model was created Dr. Ron Westrum, a widely-cited sociologist who studied the impact of culture on safety


Thanks to Dr. @nicolefv, I was able to interview him for an upcoming episode of the Idealcast! 🤯

It was a very heady experience, and while preparing to interview him, I was startled to discover how much work he's done in healthcare, aviation, spaceflight, but also innovation.

I've read 4+ of his papers, so I thought I was familiar with his work. (Here's one paper: https://t.co/7X00O67VgS)

I was startled to learn he has also studied in depth what enables innovation. He wrote a wonderful book "Sidewinder: Creative Missile Development at China Lake"


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OK, I guess I have a thing to say about the stock market. I have done kind of what these Reddit folks are doing with it, in that I have invested in the stock market when I was not at all rich, using parts of my paycheck that it probably wasn't wise to risk. I don't now. (thread)

But, like, it worked out okay for me. I even shorted some stuff. I didn't coordinate with anyone or whatever, but I don't think on the individual level the stock market is *inherently* malicious. If you're privileged, you're going to be exposed to it (through 401ks, etc.)

And I don't think it's wrong for people to try to make money off of it outside of the 401k/retirement context that's socially normal, *especially* if they're desperate like I was. There *are* strategies that you can use that, while risky, aren't exactly like gambling

Like, gambling is risky in a different way. You are always working with a fairly consistent set of probabilities in gambling, and they're never in your favor (outside of grey area gambling like between friends, where you could hypothetically actually still card count)

Anyway, like, on shorts: I don't think they're evil. I think they're dangerous. For an individual, a short always carries a small risk of individual bankruptcy. There's USUALLY not even a huge upside to them; they're not mystical or magical, they're basically reverse "longs"
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Option Trading is very difficult to master as there are so many things to understand.

Here is a master thread related that will help a beginner to understand about Options Trading.

A complete course worth Rs 50K for free.

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In this thread, all the basic option trading strategies are being


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What are the techniques one can use and how to mitigate the infinite loss risk is shared in this
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Every trader has a go-to strategy that works best for them. My trading is all about keeping it simple stupid and revolves around two indicators - Exponential moving averages and vwap.

Here's the strategy that I utilize on nearly 80% of my trades.

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What are Exponential Moving Averages?

EMA's are a type of moving average that places a greater weight on more recent data points.

8EMA = Exponential Moving Averages of the last 8 candle closing prices.

EMA's adjust with respect to chart time frame.

What is VWAP?

Volume Weighted Average Price - A key intraday indicator in my trading that offers the true average price based on price & volume.

Calculation: (Price x # of shares traded) / total shares traded

EMA's I use

- 8
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While I do utilize the 50EMA, the 8 & 21 EMA are most important for this strategy. Some people use the 9 and 20 which are essentially the same thing. REMEMBER: EMA'S adjust with respect to time frames.

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