BC TRADING
Saved by @Alex1Powell

This FT piece on deb #cancellation is interesting and poses a few interesting questions.

Let me begin with what I do not like.

The case against cancelling debt at the #ECB https://t.co/o0Vvvf6leU

#monetization 1/

 The excessive focus on Italy is off the mark. Any serious discussion on sterilizing this exceptional debt linked to the pandemics should concern all EMU countries. All have had a spike in deficit

2/
Nor I like the argument that debt sterilization would not bring fresh cash. It would not, and of course it would not be needed. EMU public debt is today (and for a long period to come) in excess demand. On top of that the ECB will keep the PEPP umbrella open for a while

3/
Sterilizing the EMU pandemics-related public debt is a medium term issue, related to future fiscal space. Will this exceptional stock of debt that built in 2020 constrain EMU countries in their ordinary fiscal policies in the future? This is the question to ask
4/
If the answer is yes (I believe it is), then sterilizing that debt is eventually going to be an issue to be dealt with. And the ECB will have to be part of the solution
This is what the FT seems to suggest too (this is why the piece is more complex than it seems)
5/
The piece suggests that extending the maturity of debt (in principle to perpetuity) should be a solution. If the ECB were to buy that debt, we'd have monetization
6/
A side note: The macroeconomic impact of cancellation and of monetization are alike. But cancellation poses a number of (mainly political) issues. I'd take it off the table and discuss pros and cons of a permanent increase of the ECB balance sheet (monetization/reservization)
7/
The piece then goes on with a discussion of helicopter money (and an obscure link with debt write-off) in managing deflationary pressures.
What is interesting is the last sentence of this paragraph:
8/
The initiative should come from the ECB in pursuing its objectives, not from governments. I made the exact same point a couple of days ago (in Italian, unfortunately).

Interestingly, the strong independence of the ECB in this case could help.
9/
https://t.co/G4XhPZQZup
So in the end the case against cancellation boils down to timing and to the opportunity that politicians (especially Italians) bring it up now.
But the FT acknowledges that the issue is on the table and that sterilization may be part of the equation.
I am ok with this
/end
@threadreaderapp unroll

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Thread on Short straddle with adjustments:

Short straddle is non-directional strategy

Selling same strike price CALL/PUT option same underlying with same expiry.

Nifty Spot at 14353, So you can sell 14350 CE as well 14350 PE of 14 Jan. Expiry.

(1/n)

*RETWEET for max response

Bullish short straddle: Selling 14400 CE and 14400 PE of same expiry.

Bearish short straddle: Selling 14250 CE and 14250 PE of same expiry.

You can sell straddle as per your market view.

If you are natural view sell CE and PE at ATM strike.

(2/n)

Short straddle has limited profit potential (only premium) and unlimited risk without adjustment.

In Example, Short straddle of 14350, Breakeven is (14131.0-14569.0), need 1.7Lac Margin to sell straddle.
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Volatility(IV) is also play important role in selling straddle, Like If IV increase so straddle premium increase and IV cool off so premium casually comes down.

(4/n)

Short straddle adjustment:
https://t.co/59Lr64kEtK way to limit the overnight risk.
Convert short straddle in Ironfly, its nothing we have to add long strangle in short straddle it become Ironfly. It gives the good Risk Rewards.

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