1/ Feels like a good time to tell the story of how I went from broke to a millionaire to broke again in 2017/18 again...

Yesterday was brutal for some people...

Losing life-changing money sucks, losing any money sucks...you can chase the market or you can change your strategy.

2/ The original thread is gone but you can read it here.

https://t.co/cLLNs75rB0

tl;dr
- Traded $32k to $1.2m
- Thought I was a genius
- Made poor investments
- Didn't conserve capital
- Peaked at 150 BTC
- Lost nearly all of it

2 weeks from losing my house + no income. Oops.
3/ I am going to assume you are in it for the money rather than the tech. Yeah, you might Tweet about the amazing blockchaining of cross-border payments and oracles yadda yadda...really, you are in it to make money.

If you are really in it for the tech, go and build something.
4/ Okay, so if you want to make money, trading is super hard, you are trading against:
- Better traders than you
- People who can move markets
- Unknown information

And if you are trading with leverage you might blow up your account with the volatility.
5/ If you are not trading, you are investing. Okay, so what are you investing in?

I made the decision that the crypto with the best opportunity of existing in 10 years is #Bitcoin:
- Solves a genuine problem
- The right tech
- A proven track record
6/ An easy signal for being right about #bitcoin is the institutional interest. How much interest is there in:
- Ethereum (minimal)
- XRP (Arrington Capital, oops)
- Link (lol)
- Dentacoin (err)

But Bitcoin - MicroStrategy, Square, Ruffers, MassMutual...
7/ Also - Grayscale, Coinshares, Skybridge, that millionaire Mexican dude.

There is a wall of money coming, and it isn't going into XRP... another easy signal, these people don't want to sell their #bitcoin, why? @bgarlinghouse can't wait to unload his shitcoin on you, why?
8/ Even the shitcoiners hold Bitcoin:
- Tezos foundation
- Block One (remember EOS?)
- I suspect Roger Ver still holds a load
- Even rogue states

Why?

https://t.co/wiKjHtRmY6
9/ But why #bitcoin:
- Only crypto which is meaningfully decentralised
- Regulatory moat established
- Genuine censorship resistance
- Fixed cap
- Predictable issuance

It is the best and hardest fucking money that has ever existed. You can argue against this but you are wrong.
10/ Every cycle:
- Detractors turn to bulls
- Maxi narratives are proved right
- Price sets new all-time highs
- Security increases
- Governments print more useless fiat
11/ I was an idiot through the last cycle:
- Argued against narratives
- Tried to fix Bitcoin (I was new and knew better)
- wAs oPeN MiNdEd
- Watched by BTC stack dwindle away
12/ But a full cycle teaches you a lot of things. Here are the most important lessons...
13/ LESSON 1 "The amount of sats you own is more important than the dollar value of your stack".

21 million divided by your sat stack = your score.

$ value is volatile but your score is the amount of the new financial paradigm you own.

Stack your sats (h/t @matt_odell)
14/ LESSON 2 "Patience"

Stop playing short-term games, zoom that shit out, if you can't handle the drops you are over-leveraged.

Bitcoin is economics 101 - supply and demand. We're talking about hard money, people who get #Bitcoin stay, they rarely sell...
15/ LESSON 3 "Find your edge"

Yeah, you're going to out trade the market, sure you are. Some will, most won't.

My edge is podcasting, so I make shows, sell adds, make a profit and buy #bitcoin. What is your edge?
16/ It really is that fucking simple:
1. Earn money
2. Buy #Bitcoin
3. Be patient

I know what some of you are thinking, but what if #bitcoin fails? Have you not seen the shit it has survived? Silk Road, Mt. Gox, civil wars.

It is still here and stronger than ever.
17/ Still have doubts? Go and spend some time reading stuff at the Nakamoto Institute. I have had my differences with @pierre_rochard but he has been right about so much, usually years ahead of how this plays out.

https://t.co/SPkFpl2Xz9
18/ You don't need to worry too much about the politics, whether you are a libertarian, conservative, progressive or jedi - everyone benefits from hard money.

Look, 2018 sucked, going from paper millionaire to broke was a motherfucker, but tears won't bring back the money.
19/ I have operated with one basic goal since then...
...at the end of every month, I will have more sats than the end of the last month.

Then with a little patience, I trust #bitcoin to do its thing.
20/ But Pete, #bitcoin is too expensive, XRP is only $0.30. If #bitcoin is expensive then why aren't bitcoiners selling? @jack isn't selling, @michael_saylor isn't selling....

...we're not fucking selling because it is heading to $100k.
21/ ...we're not selling at $100k because it is heading to $500k.

...we're not selling at $500k because it is heading to $1m.

(Okay, I will definitely sell a little at $1m for a Lambo, bite me - but 0.2btc for a Lambo, sounds good right?)
22/ #bitcoin teaches financial discipline, it is really simple. It rewards prudence while fiat rewards recklessness.

Inflation punishes the prudent. This isn't right, is it?
23/ So do your thing. If you still want to invest in shitcoins, trade etc... good luck to you.

If you want to build a solid financial future then you need to build solid foundations. You got this!
24/ Learn from the best, I'll miss a few but my goats - @pierre_rochard, @bitstein, @PrestonPysh, @JeffBooth, @Breedlove22, @real_vijay, @matt_odell, @MartyBent, @stephanlivera, @parkeralewis, @jimmysong, @giacomozucco, @LynAldenContact (even @saifedean).
25/ DMs are always open...

...Stack sats, eat your veg, get some sunlight, stay healthy, enjoy all forms of art, be patient, laugh at Tottenham and have a merry fucking Christmas.

More from Trading

We have shared a lot of threads exclusively on Subasish Pani in the past year.

As this year comes to an end, here are the 11 most powerful threads on Subasish Pani exclusively compiled for you all.

Collborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Important concepts from Power of Stocks - Subasish


2/ Important concepts with video links of Subasish


3/ The 5 EMA


4/ The Bollinger Band set-
๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜†-๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ข๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜†

Complete Backtest and Indicator link

๐Ÿงต A Thread ๐Ÿงต

๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฝ:
๐Ÿ”ธ Monthly Option Buying
๐Ÿ”ธ 50 ema on 3 min timeframe
๐Ÿ”ธ Supertrend 10 , 3
๐Ÿ”ธ Chart : Banknifty , Nifty Futures as we backtested on futures
๐Ÿ”ธ Entry 9:20 to 3:00
๐Ÿ”ธ Max 3 Entries per day
๐Ÿ”ธ Premium nearest to 200 Rs only

[2/18]

Why Monthly Option buying ?
๐Ÿ”ธ Less theta decay compared to weekly options
๐Ÿ”ธ Less Volatility
๐Ÿ”ธ Supertrend and MA Settings
[3/18]


๐Ÿ”ธ Indicator Link
๐Ÿ”ธ Click on the below ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ -> ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ด -> ๐˜ˆ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜Š๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต from favourites and start using it !

๐Ÿ”ธ
https://t.co/zVXavqLBto
[4/18]

๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ :
๐Ÿ”ธ Max 6 Trades per day ( Both CE and PE buy)
๐Ÿ”ธ Timings 9:20 am to 3:00 pm
๐Ÿ”ธ Supertrend : 10,3
๐Ÿ”ธ Moving Average 50 ema
[5/18]

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Tip from the Monkey
Pangolins, September 2019 and PLA are the key to this mystery
Stay Tuned!


1. Yang


2. A jacobin capuchin dangling a flagellin pangolin on a javelin while playing a mandolin and strangling a mannequin on a paladin's palanquin, said Saladin
More to come tomorrow!


3. Yigang Tong
https://t.co/CYtqYorhzH
Archived: https://t.co/ncz5ruwE2W


4. YT Interview
Some bats & pangolins carry viruses related with SARS-CoV-2, found in SE Asia and in Yunnan, & the pangolins carrying SARS-CoV-2 related viruses were smuggled from SE Asia, so there is a possibility that SARS-CoV-2 were coming from
โ€œWe donโ€™t negotiate salariesโ€ is a negotiation tactic.

Always. No, your company is not an exception.

A tactic I donโ€™t appreciate at all because of how unfairly it penalizes low-leverage, junior employees, and those loyal enough not to question it, but thatโ€™s negotiation for you after all. Weaponized information asymmetry.

Listen to Aditya


And by the way, you should never be worried that an offer would be withdrawn if you politely negotiate.

I have seen this happen *extremely* rarely, mostly to women, and anyway is a giant red flag. It suggests you probably didnโ€™t want to work there.

You wish there was no negotiating so it would all be more fair? I feel you, but itโ€™s not happening.

Instead, negotiate hard, use your privilege, and then go and share numbers with your underrepresented and underpaid colleagues. [โ€ฆ]
So the cryptocurrency industry has basically two products, one which is relatively benign and doesn't have product market fit, and one which is malignant and does. The industry has a weird superposition of understanding this fact and (strategically?) not understanding it.


The benign product is sovereign programmable money, which is historically a niche interest of folks with a relatively clustered set of beliefs about the state, the literary merit of Snow Crash, and the utility of gold to the modern economy.

This product has narrow appeal and, accordingly, is worth about as much as everything else on a 486 sitting in someone's basement is worth.

The other product is investment scams, which have approximately the best product market fit of anything produced by humans. In no age, in no country, in no city, at no level of sophistication do people consistently say "Actually I would prefer not to get money for nothing."

This product needs the exchanges like they need oxygen, because the value of it is directly tied to having payment rails to move real currency into the ecosystem and some jurisdictional and regulatory legerdemain to stay one step ahead of the banhammer.
1/โ€œWhat would need to be true for you toโ€ฆ.Xโ€

Why is this the most powerful question you can ask when attempting to reach an agreement with another human being or organization?

A thread, co-written by @deanmbrody:


2/ First, โ€œXโ€ could be lots of things. Examples: What would need to be true for you to

- โ€œFeel it's in our best interest for me to be CMO"
- โ€œFeel that weโ€™re in a good place as a companyโ€
- โ€œFeel that weโ€™re on the same pageโ€
- โ€œFeel that we both got what we wanted from this deal

3/ Normally, we arenโ€™t that direct. Example from startup/VC land:

Founders leave VC meetings thinking that every VC will invest, but they rarely do.

Worse over, the founders donโ€™t know what they need to do in order to be fundable.

4/ So why should you ask the magic Q?

To get clarity.

You want to know where you stand, and what it takes to get what you want in a way that also gets them what they want.

It also holds them (mentally) accountable once the thing they need becomes true.

5/ Staying in the context of soliciting investors, the question is โ€œwhat would need to be true for you to want to invest (or partner with us on this journey, etc)?โ€

Multiple responses to this question are likely to deliver a positive result.