2/n
A thread.
Earnings Trades Simplified.
Earnings announcements are public announcements that display a company’s earnings, or lack thereof. As the earnings announcement gets closer, implied volatility tends to increase. After earnings are announced,...
1/n
2/n
Earnings trades are not for everyone, as they involve high amounts of uncertainty and random movements.
3/n

-Increase number of occurrences, many trades available so increases of our probability of profit.
-High IV opportunities
-Short term Binary event leading to drastic volatility crush.
4/n
1. Expected Move
2. When to place trade
3. Historical Moves
4. Strategies based on market conditions
5/n
Normally calculated by IV, stock price, expected move period(as no. of days) by formula
Price * IV * SQRT(days/365)
Market Makers expected move -
ATM Straddle * 0.85* =(both the sides from strike)
Both have some differences.
6/n
ATM (1140) Straddle = Rs.100 approx.
Days to expiration = 15 (29 October)
Stock Price - 1140
IV = 50%
Expected move till expiry - Rs.115 Either way from spot
Market Maker move - Rs.85 Either way from spot.
7/n

If Earnings is overnight, say tomorrow, place the order at end of the day today for better delta position.
If Earnings is during market hours, at the start of the day as the timing of the earnings can be easily switched during the course of the day.
8/n

Did the underlying in which the trade is taken historically overstated IVs are understated, in case of INFY case shown below it has understated 5/7 times in last 7 quarters after earnings.
Yellow Dotted lines are earnings days.
9/n

Only basic ones. Will explain three of them here.
1) Iron Condor - Beginner Strategy, can be used for any underlying. Basic Setup, example on INFY. Explained Iron Condor in y previous threads.
10/n

Can be used for large underlying or IV percentile > 90. Better Risk Reward than Iron Condor. Basic Setup as shown below. Sell closer strikes than Iron condor.
11/n

More from Trading
As this year comes to an end, here are the 11 most powerful threads on Subasish Pani exclusively compiled for you all.
Collborated with @AdityaTodmal
1/ Important concepts from Power of Stocks - Subasish
Important Concepts from Power of Stocks\u2014 Subhasish Pani
— Aditya Todmal (@AdityaTodmal) August 12, 2022
7+ years of trading experience in 14 tweets\U0001f9f5
Collaborated with @niki_poojary
2/ Important concepts with video links of Subasish
There are plenty of videos of Subhasish Pani from Power of Stocks.
— Aditya Todmal (@AdityaTodmal) April 17, 2022
You already know those.
Instead, here are 12 concepts from his videos that will make you a better trader\u2013\u2013not worse:\U0001f9f5
Collaborated with @niki_poojary
3/ The 5 EMA
Subasish Pani revealed the most simple, yet successful strategy: 5EMA set up!
— Nikita Poojary (@niki_poojary) July 3, 2022
Here is a thread of 23 video clips on the 5EMA set-up that will save you hundreds of hours and available to you for no cost!
5EMA set-up: \U0001f9f5!
Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal
4/ The Bollinger Band set-
A set up which has a minimum Risk/Reward (R/R) of 1:4
— Nikita Poojary (@niki_poojary) October 2, 2022
This set up can be used for intraday, option selling, option buying, as well as investing.
Maximum profit strategy by Subasish Pani.
Bollinger band set-up: \U0001f9f5!
Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal pic.twitter.com/aEIUVQF2XY