Thread on "The Final Checklist"
by Peter Lynch.

7 takeaways from 7 of the best books on stock market ever written.

~ One up on wallstreet.
~ Common stocks uncommon profits.
~ Poor charlie's almanack.
~ The intelligent investor.
~ Security analysis.
~ The most important thing.
~ The snowball.

One up on wall street by Peter Lynch.

1) Know what you own, and know why you own it.

2) Selling your winners and holding your losers is like cutting the flowers and watering the weeds.

3) Owning stocks is like having children - don't get involved with more than you handle.

4) In dieting and in stocks, it is the gut and not the head that determines the results.

5) Remember, things are never clear until it's too late.

6) Big companies have small moves, small companies have big moves.

7) When you sell in desperation, you always sell cheap.

Common stocks uncommon profits by Philip Fisher.

1) If the job has been correctly done when a common stock is purchased, the time to sell it is - almost never.

2) Usually a very long list of securities is not a sign of the brilliant investor, but of one who is unsure of himself

3) Take extreme care to own not the most, but the best.

4) Don’t be Influenced by What Doesn’t Matter.

5) In the field of common stocks, a little bit of a great many can never be more than a poor substitute for a few of the outstanding.

Underrated but recommended.
Worth Re-reading. #books

~ Atomic Habits.
~ Megatrends.
~ The psychology of money.
~ Stocks to riches.

2021 - Year End Mega-Thread.

List of Books. Subscriptions. Newsletters. Websites. Stock Picking Patterns. Fund Managers, Businesses I Invested heavily, etc.

Books i love to re-read irrespective of market cycles:

1) The Snowball.
(compounding)
2) You can be a stock market genius.
(Special situation)
3) The Little book that builds wealth.
(Moats)
4) Margin of Safety.
(Valuation)
5) Black Swan.
(High Improbable Events)

6) Zebra in the lion country.
(Smallcap investing)
7) The investment checklist.
(Imp of checklist)
8) Value Migration.
(Mega Shifts in business landscape)
9) The Outsiders.
(Capital Allocation)
10) Megatrends.
(Trends of new world)
11) Poor Charlie's Almanack.
(Mental Models)

Books on Indian Investing:

1) Masterclass with Super Investors.
(Collection of India's best stock market investors)
2) Bulls Bears & other Beasts.
(Brief history of Indian stock market)
3) India's Money Monarchs.
(Collection of India's best stock market veterans)

Reading Material from Global Investors:

1) BRK Annual Meetings Transcripts & Letters to shareholders.
2) Prem Watsa's Newsletters.
3) Howard Marks Memos.
4) LiLu Himalaya Capital.
5) Jeff Bezos Amazon.
6) Nomad Investment & Terry Smith's Newsletters. (Recently started reading)

Strong Monopolies:
(Updated List)

IRCTC 100% market share in rail network.

HAL 100% market share in its segment.

IEX >90% market share in power trading.

Zydus wellness >90% market share in sugar free product.

Eicher motors >85% market share in more than 250cc bikes category.

Wabco >85% market share in braking systems. (Medium & Heavy vehicles)

MCX >85% market share in commodity trading.

Coal India >80% market share in coal production in India.

ITC >75% market share in cigarettes.

Honda Siel >75% in portable power generators.

Hindustan Zinc >75% market share in primary zinc industry

Asahi India Glass >70% market share in automotive glass.

NRB Bearings >70% market share in needle roller bearings

Suprajit Engineering >70% market share in Cables 2W

Greaves cotton >70% market share in Diesel Engine 3W

Garware technical fibres >65% market share in fishing nets.

Pidilite >65% market share in adhesives

Jamna Auto >65% market share in Leaf Spring

CAMS >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.

Time Technoplast >65% market share in polymer based industrial packaging.

Concor >65% market share in domestic container cargo transport.

Exide >60% market share in lead batteries.

Naukri >60% market share in the Indian job market space.

Praj >60% market share in ethanol plant installing.

ACE >60% market share in Mobile & Tower Cranes segment.

List of companies with more than 50% Market Share:

1) Maruti Suzuki (passenger cars)
2) APL Apollo (structural & pre galvanized tubes)
3) CDSL (investors accounts)
4) Interglobe Aviation (air traffic passengers)
5) GMM Pfaudler (glass lined equipment)

6) Asian Paints (decorative paints)
7) Colgate (oral care)
8) Symphony (coolers)
9) PGHH (female care & vaporub)
10) La Opala Rg (opalware)
11) HLE Glasscoat (filtration & drying equipment)
12) Delta Corp (online poker games)
13) Bajaj Auto (3W segment)
14) Vinati Organics (IBB)

15) OCCL (insoluble sulphur)
16) LMW (textile machinery)
17) Bajaj Consumer (almond hair oil)
18) Indiamart Intermesh (online B2B Classified space)
19) Vst Tillers (power tillers)
20) Sanghvi Movers (overall domestic crane hiring market)
21) Emami (antiseptic & male grooming)

List of companies with more than 60% Market Share:

1) Concor (domestic container cargo transport)
2) Exide (lead batteries)
3) Naukri (Indian job market space)
4) Praj (ethanol plant installing)
5) ACE (mobile & tower cranes)
6) Pidilite (adhesives)
7) Jamna Auto (leaf spring)

8) CAMS (RTA within mutual fund industry)
9) Time Technoplast (polymer based industrial packaging)

Technical Analysis Masterclass- Part 2

'Entering the trade'

Entering a trade without ascertaining a certain things is gambling.

In this masterclass we will learn the pre-requisites to enter a trade.

DON'T ENTER A TRADE WITHOUT DETERMINNG THE FOLLOWING.

Please share.

We understand what reward to risk (popularly called risk to reward) is.
It will be denoted by R:R.

We will also try to bust a few myths about R:R and how to avoid losing trades.

Before entering a trade, you need to determine 3 things.

1. Entry trigger
2. Stop loss
3. Target

1. Entry trigger = Reasons for entering a trade. There could be multiple reasons or a single reason for entry.

Generally a set of reasons AKA confluence is a higher probability trade and a generally a safer entry.

Example of an entry trigger.

2. Stop Loss.

The price in the opposite direction of the trade where the trade is exited, at a loss.

At this level, the reason for the entry becomes invalidated according to TA and the price can then move in the opposite direction, probabilistically.

3. Target is the possible price level that the asset might touch based on previous trends or confluence AND where a possible reversal could occur.

Target is the next path of least resistance from where the price might reverse.

We will always ONLY use TA to determine all 3.

Indian Investing Conclave Day 1 @IIC_2020

:Route Mobile
:Philip Carbon Black
:Borosil Ltd
:Arvind Ltd
:Hawkins Cooker
:Repco Homes
:Shaily Engineering Plastics

Route Mobile @ravidharamshi77

Investment Hypothesis in CPaaS companies

:Crossed the technology adoption chasm
:Huge addressable opportunity - Industry growth estimates 30-50%
:Profitable Unit Economics, Cash Generating, Incremental Cost Low

CPaaS growing at 40%

Route Mobile

:Applications served by route mobile - Facebook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Google Pay to name a few
:Route mobile platform used for : 2 factor authentication, Notification for customer engagement across portfolio of apps

Route Mobile Key points

:Scaled upto 1200cr of revenue from internal accruals
:Huge runway for growth
:Multi geography and Omni-Channel presence
:Cash available for M&A
:Scope of margin improvement
:Demonstrated ability to move up the value scale

Philips Carbon Black @sarkaraniruddha

:Indias largest carbon black manufacturer
:Where is carbon black used, Tyre Rubber(73%), Non Tyre Rubber (20%), Non Rubber Speciality Carbon (7%)

Industry Size & Capacity Addition
1.3 Million Tonnes capacity and PCB has 43% market share

A thread on Trend-lines

// What are trend-lines?

Trend-lines are support and resistance lines which are formed by connecting Important swing points.

The beauty of using them is that We can use them when stock is not Respecting the Horizontal S&R zones, they can indicate us when the trend may change.

// Things To consider while Making trendlines?

• A trendline formed by using 3 Major-Swing points is a potential trendline, But we will also use 2 points to form a trendline, will discuss how, as you read further.

• Trendline can be formed by two ways-

1. Wicks-

In this method we only connect the wicks to make a trendline, this is a precise way of making a trendline.

// Why only connect the wicks?

There are two type of levels - Precise and Less precise (Which we call zones).

So what we are doing is by only connecting the wicks we are making a precise level where we can take trades, either Mean reversion or Breakout trades.

Examples-

I gathered the best Youtube videos to learn Expiry trading for free.

If you want to master expiry trading, open this thread: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll find in this thread:

1. ATM strikes to zero
2. Big Gaps on Expiry Day
3. How to trade expiry when Nifty is behaving differently
4. Using Data points to trade expiry
5. Play for a flat move
6. How to profit post 3 pm exploiting the close price?

Let's go ↓

1. How to develop a framework to trade in ATM strikes on expiry day? Subhasish Pani on @vivbajaj Sir's channel.

One of call or put at ATM is going to go to zero.

Whichever is moving rapidly has a higher probability of going ATM/ITM. Sell the slower

2. How to trade a big gap up on expiry day?

If market bias is bullish and a gap-up happens, it comes for selling.

Can buy puts at the breakout of an inside candle as the market has a good probability of at least heading toward the previous day's

3. How to trade in Bank Nifty if it has already moved 160 points from its high to low by 11:30? @ThetaGainers

Sell near otms with double stop loss.

Avoid if stuck in a very small range.

Get out of both by 1

@AdityaTodmal @niki_poojary I think the best Indian channel for Options Selling is @ThetaGainers, by far!