Thread on "The Final Checklist"
by Peter Lynch.

Strong Monopolies:

IRCTC 100% Market share in Rail Network.

IEX >90% market share in power trading.

Zydus wellness >90% market share in sugar free product.

Eicher motors >85% market share in 250cc bikes category.

MCX >85% market share in commodity trading.

Coal India >80% market share in coal production in India.

ITC >75% market share in cigarettes.

Honda Siel >75% in portable power generators.

Hindustan Zinc >75% market share in primary zinc industry.

Asahi India Glass >70% market share in automotive glass.

NRB Bearings >70% market share in needle roller bearings.

Pidilite >65% market share in adhesives.

CAMS >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.

Time Technoplast >65% market share in polymer based industrial packaging.

Concor >65% market share in domestic container cargo transport.

Exide >60% market share in lead batteries.

Naukri >60% market share in the Indian job market space.

Praj >60% market share in ethanol plant installing.

Indiamart Intermesh >55% market share in the online B2B Classified space.

Borosil Renewables >55% market share in Lab glass.

Vst Tillers >50% market share in
Power tillers.

Delta corp >50% in online poker games.

Vinati Organics >50% market share in IBB.

Underrated but recommended.
Worth Re-reading. #books

~ Atomic Habits.
~ Megatrends.
~ The psychology of money.
~ Stocks to riches.

List of companies with more than 50% Market Share:

1) Maruti Suzuki (passenger cars)
2) APL Apollo (structural & pre galvanized tubes)
3) CDSL (investors accounts)
4) Interglobe Aviation (air traffic passengers)
5) GMM Pfaudler (glass lined equipment)

6) Asian Paints (decorative paints)
7) Colgate (oral care)
8) Symphony (coolers)
9) PGHH (female care & vaporub)
10) La Opala Rg (opalware)
11) HLE Glasscoat (filtration & drying equipment)
12) Delta Corp (online poker games)
13) Bajaj Auto (3W segment)
14) Vinati Organics (IBB)

15) OCCL (insoluble sulphur)
16) LMW (textile machinery)
17) Bajaj Consumer (almond hair oil)
18) Indiamart Intermesh (online B2B Classified space)
19) Vst Tillers (power tillers)
20) Sanghvi Movers (overall domestic crane hiring market)
21) Emami (antiseptic & male grooming)

List of companies with more than 60% Market Share:

1) Concor (domestic container cargo transport)
2) Exide (lead batteries)
3) Naukri (Indian job market space)
4) Praj (ethanol plant installing)
5) ACE (mobile & tower cranes)
6) Pidilite (adhesives)
7) Jamna Auto (leaf spring)

8) CAMS (RTA within mutual fund industry)
9) Time Technoplast (polymer based industrial packaging)

Strong Monopolies:
(Updated List)

IRCTC 100% market share in rail network.

HAL 100% market share in its segment.

IEX >90% market share in power trading.

Zydus wellness >90% market share in sugar free product.

Eicher motors >85% market share in more than 250cc bikes category.

Wabco >85% market share in braking systems. (Medium & Heavy vehicles)

MCX >85% market share in commodity trading.

Coal India >80% market share in coal production in India.

ITC >75% market share in cigarettes.

Honda Siel >75% in portable power generators.

Hindustan Zinc >75% market share in primary zinc industry

Asahi India Glass >70% market share in automotive glass.

NRB Bearings >70% market share in needle roller bearings

Suprajit Engineering >70% market share in Cables 2W

Greaves cotton >70% market share in Diesel Engine 3W

Garware technical fibres >65% market share in fishing nets.

Pidilite >65% market share in adhesives

Jamna Auto >65% market share in Leaf Spring

CAMS >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.

Time Technoplast >65% market share in polymer based industrial packaging.

Concor >65% market share in domestic container cargo transport.

Exide >60% market share in lead batteries.

Naukri >60% market share in the Indian job market space.

Praj >60% market share in ethanol plant installing.

ACE >60% market share in Mobile & Tower Cranes segment.

2021 - Year End Mega-Thread.

List of Books. Subscriptions. Newsletters. Websites. Stock Picking Patterns. Fund Managers, Businesses I Invested heavily, etc.

Books i love to re-read irrespective of market cycles:

1) The Snowball.
(compounding)
2) You can be a stock market genius.
(Special situation)
3) The Little book that builds wealth.
(Moats)
4) Margin of Safety.
(Valuation)
5) Black Swan.
(High Improbable Events)

6) Zebra in the lion country.
(Smallcap investing)
7) The investment checklist.
(Imp of checklist)
8) Value Migration.
(Mega Shifts in business landscape)
9) The Outsiders.
(Capital Allocation)
10) Megatrends.
(Trends of new world)
11) Poor Charlie's Almanack.
(Mental Models)

Books on Indian Investing:

1) Masterclass with Super Investors.
(Collection of India's best stock market investors)
2) Bulls Bears & other Beasts.
(Brief history of Indian stock market)
3) India's Money Monarchs.
(Collection of India's best stock market veterans)

Reading Material from Global Investors:

1) BRK Annual Meetings Transcripts & Letters to shareholders.
2) Prem Watsa's Newsletters.
3) Howard Marks Memos.
4) LiLu Himalaya Capital.
5) Jeff Bezos Amazon.
6) Nomad Investment & Terry Smith's Newsletters. (Recently started reading)

Model Portfolio 3

Time Horizon 3 years or earlier ~ Depends on if the stock performs significantly well in faster time. Review of business performance important every quarter.

This portfolio is suitable for aggressive investors who believe in risk taking and look for growth

Name %allocation

~ Laurus Labs 15%
~ Balaji Amines 15%
~ Deepak Nitrite 15%
~ Kopran 10%
~ Pokarna 10%
~ Eveready 10%
~ Dynpro 10%
~ Manorama 5%
~ Adani Enterprises 5%
~ SHIL 5%

~ Laurus Labs
~ Kopran

My top two picks in pharma sector are Laurus Lab and Kopran.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly.

~ Balaji Amines
~ Deepak Nitrite
~ Dynpro

These three are my top picks in Chemicals.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly

~ Pokarna
~ Eveready
~ SHIL

These three are my top picks in Home Consumption.

These have good earnings predictability, growth visibility & significant undervaluation. Growing from small to medium and to big.

Earnings can grow and valuations multiple can grow accordingly.

How to get rich trading (without getting lucky)

Complete beginner’s guide to wealth of Rs 10 Cr in 10 years

Step 1: start trading live

1/n

Nothing can substitute experience of live trading

No amount of back-test, studies or indicators can substitute training your mind with screen time

As a beginner, In live trading, you will make losses almost everyday

2/n

So here are the conditions which you can’t violate in first year
If you can’t follow these rules, this document is not for you

Start with trading capital of Rs 1 lakhs

Max loss per trade 0.25%, i.e. 250 Rs

Max loss for the day, 1%, i.e. Rs 1000

Max 6 trades in a day

3/n

I know, these conditions will cripple you in terms of what all you can trade and how

But just like any start up, trading is also about making it through initial gruelling constraints of life

You will also learn, how to turn these adverse rules to your advantage

4/n

Btw, you can sell directional banknifty options, obviously you can buy options, can do cash stock trading and much more under these conditions

Think about it, you will be do all kinds of instruments, just that PNL will not be roller coaster ride or exciting like a casino

5/n

Working on some execution optimisation related backtesting. I have so far been executing with market orders only. Going towards higher lot sizes, I'd like to optimise for minimal slippage.

First off, on NSE, if you place a market order, you get filled at the best bid/ask right?

If we want to optimise this, the first non-creative idea one can think of is, slicing the order into different lot sizes, and placing a limit order for each slice at the mid point of current best bid & ask.

But this requires your latency to be the least.

Why would latency affect it?

I looked at tick historical data, and there are more than 18-20 ticks in a second (auction and quote combined).

Even if you keep 10 ticks per second, your best bid/ask can shift from the time you place to the time exchange receives the order.

So, the next best thing that people can do is place tranches of orders every 1s, 3s, 5s, 10s, 15s - in their preferred time range, and get filled at the midpoint or best-bid+1/2/3/4/5 in the depth.

What you need is liquidity.

But if you're trading breakouts, then it's highly likely that your limit orders may not get filled if the action is too fast.

So, a retry mechanism is required in such cases.

If nothing works, you convert your orders to marketable and get filled at worse slippage.

Charts Time!
Follow the thread
$SPY $SPX $QQQ $JETS $NVDA $AMZN $XLE $XLF $PLTR $IWM $TRAN $MJ

$SPY
still looks very bullish on weekly, i expect it to move to 400 early next week

$QQQ
#QQQ similar on weekly, if it dips anywhere close towards 320, buy weeklies and monthlies as its gonna go right back up, below this line though we'll see what happens

$IWM
small caps have absolutely been on fire #IWM since elections, do you think the run continues?

$JETS
#Jets monthly chart - check out the base range it created since 2017 until pandemic, 28-32, looks like its creating a nice long pattern and trying to go back to that range, lets see if it continues and breaks 28 again