Individual decisions will always supercede to those of masses.

One of the theories which justifies why ITC struggles to have a big rally as other stocks have.

FMCG stocks' analysis from a different
view

Thread:

It is always easy to convince 10 people that you have something valuable to offer than to convince the same thing to 1000 people.

The same thing happens with ITC too.
The total number of shares outstanding of various FMCG companies are as follows

PGHH : 3.2 Crores
Nestle : 9.6 Crores
Marico: 129 Crores
Dabur : 177 Crores
HUL : 216 Crores

And just have a guess at what might be the number for ITC.
ITC has 1229 Crore Shares outstanding!!!!

Obviously some portion is held by promoters and FII/DIIs and some portion is not available for trading on a daily basis because it has some lock-in period.

When does a rally happens in a stock?
When every investor is just trying to buy the shares and the supply is too low.

This is what happened in Ruchi Soya when the free float was so less that even a small demand caused the upper circuit in the stock.
Eventually, when the time comes, when every investor believes that ITC do have something valuable which can sustain for a long term, a re-rating will happen and then probably if some people start believing it, the story will spread and others will follow.
So overall, in addition to ESG concerns (which actually is not at all a concern because ITC is rated highest in ESG), too much dependency on Cigarettes for profits (which the company is working upon and getting aggressive in FMCG )

Cont...
Diversification into hotels (which probably has started getting better), ITC has to go through a bigger issue on the number of shares outstanding.
So when all these people at a time will believe ITC is a great company to own, which will definitely take some time, ITC as a company will be unstoppable.

Do like and spread the word.

@dmuthuk @j4jeswin @Vivek_Investor @soicfinance @JstInvestments
@shuchi_nahar @ITCCorpCom

More from Trading

You May Also Like

1/“What would need to be true for you to….X”

Why is this the most powerful question you can ask when attempting to reach an agreement with another human being or organization?

A thread, co-written by @deanmbrody:


2/ First, “X” could be lots of things. Examples: What would need to be true for you to

- “Feel it's in our best interest for me to be CMO"
- “Feel that we’re in a good place as a company”
- “Feel that we’re on the same page”
- “Feel that we both got what we wanted from this deal

3/ Normally, we aren’t that direct. Example from startup/VC land:

Founders leave VC meetings thinking that every VC will invest, but they rarely do.

Worse over, the founders don’t know what they need to do in order to be fundable.

4/ So why should you ask the magic Q?

To get clarity.

You want to know where you stand, and what it takes to get what you want in a way that also gets them what they want.

It also holds them (mentally) accountable once the thing they need becomes true.

5/ Staying in the context of soliciting investors, the question is “what would need to be true for you to want to invest (or partner with us on this journey, etc)?”

Multiple responses to this question are likely to deliver a positive result.