Ok. Let's talk about why Xbox decided to announce that it would double the price of Xbox Live Gold (12m period) and then reversed that decision less than 24 hours later after strong backlash from fans.

Quick thread on the topic from me below:

If you've followed me in the past you know that I've talked a lot about Xbox is moving beyond the console and has a goal to offer multiple entry points into its ecosystem, with Game Pass being the main entry point into its software and services ecosystem.

https://t.co/CfEWbDyKB6
This strategy makes a lot of sense on paper, but is proving difficult for Microsoft to execute in the short term.

The aim is to scale Game Pass as a service to reach the entire gaming audience via multiple console offerings, but also beyond console via PC & Mobile (Cloud) etc.
It's also why Xbox has plans to extend Game Pass + xCloud to iOS, Windows and other devices (Smart TV's) in the future.

Its investment in studios and IP aims to increase the value prop of Game Pass, with multiple AAA titles available on the service day 1.

All for $15pm.
Game Pass has already grown to 15 million subscribers, but it's worth noting that the majority of these subs are also Xbox console players.

The goal of reaching the broader gaming audience beyond console will take some time to fully execute for a number of reasons:
For example, cloud gaming isn't viable for everyone just yet. It's currently being used by existing console players to extend play to other devices.

Even with recent acquisitions, Game Pass doesn't have a steady flow of day 1 AAA content just yet (Halo delay).
With this in mind I want to refer to an old thread I wrote last year about how Xbox wants to grow beyond console, but how it also needs to maintain and grow its console business too

The majority of its revenue is still derived from its console business

https://t.co/i5cSqdUnpe
Right now, Xbox is focusing all its efforts on transitioning existing and new console players to Game Pass. Hence all the incentives over the past years

It's long term goal, as above, is to grow Game Pass subscribers off console or via low cost hardware like Series S for example
Xbox needs its console user base on GP for it to remain viable in the short term, given the costs associated

Game Pass is designed to generate higher revenue per user on console than a user with Gold. It also locks people in at single monthly price, not a discounted annual price
Xbox knows they have two issues right now.

1. A lack of scale not just on console, but beyond console. (The former referring to installed base vs PS4/5. This is also why Xbox has Series S now)

2. Not everyone (millions) has converted from Gold to Game Pass Ultimate on console.
The company has been exploring multiple ways to solve this issue.

Removing Gold doesn't guarantee those users sign up to Game Pass.

Making Gold part of a lower Game Pass tier disincentivizes the upgrade to Game Pass Ultimate.

So what was the solution announced yesterday?
Double the cost of Xbox Live Gold over a 12 month period.

Why?

- The assumption that most users well see the value in upgrading to a Game Pass Ultimate sub.

- Even if some do not shift, the assumption is they stay on Gold at the higher cost, which increases sub revenue anyway.
The simple fact is that everything Microsoft does or has done recently revolves around trying to get as many people to sign up to Game Pass as they can.

The company needs as many core console players as possible on the service while it gears up to acquire new users long term.
The reversal shows that Xbox is indeed responsive to criticism of how it is achieving its goals, as it does not want to have a repeat of the Xbox One launch debacle, but it should be noted that Xbox will continue to find a solution to increase the revenue per user on console.
The F2P announcement has been in the works for months and that announcement was dropped today to help offset the backlash from the original price increase announcement.

Microsoft will continue its focus on Game Pass moving forward, and its acquisition of IP for the service.

More from Tech

Ok, I’ve told this story a few times, but maybe never here. Here we go. 🧵👇


I was about 6. I was in the car with my mother. We were driving a few hours from home to go to Orlando. My parents were letting me audition for a tv show. It would end up being my first job. I was very excited. But, in the meantime we drove and listened to Rush’s show.

There was some sort of trivia question they posed to the audience. I don’t remember what the riddle was, but I remember I knew the answer right away. It was phrased in this way that was somehow just simpler to see from a kid’s perspective. The answer was CAROUSEL. I was elated.

My mother was THRILLED. She insisted that we call Into the show using her “for emergencies only” giant cell phone. It was this phone:


I called in. The phone rang for a while, but someone answered. It was an impatient-sounding dude. The screener. I said I had the trivia answer. He wasn’t charmed, I could hear him rolling his eyes. He asked me what it was. I told him. “Please hold.”
1. One of the best changes in recent years is the GOP abandoning libertarianism. Here's GOP Rep. Greg Steube: “I do think there is an appetite amongst Republicans, if the Dems wanted to try to break up Big Tech, I think there is support for that."

2. And @RepKenBuck, who offered a thoughtful Third Way report on antitrust law in 2020, weighed in quite reasonably on Biden antitrust frameworks.

3. I believe this change is sincere because it's so pervasive and beginning to result in real policy changes. Example: The North Dakota GOP is taking on Apple's app store.


4. And yet there's a problem. The GOP establishment is still pro-big tech. Trump, despite some of his instincts, appointed pro-monopoly antitrust enforcers. Antitrust chief Makan Delrahim helped big tech, and the antitrust case happened bc he was recused.

5. At the other sleepy antitrust agency, the Federal Trade Commission, Trump appointed commissioners
@FTCPhillips and @CSWilsonFTC are both pro-monopoly. Both voted *against* the antitrust case on FB. That case was 3-2, with a GOP Chair and 2 Dems teaming up against 2 Rs.

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