Materials I studied for hundreds of hours before I became consistently profitable as a day trader - a thread:

Finding swing trading setups using Anchored VWAPs and Volume Shelf - A Thread 👇

Anchored VWAP is the average price people paid from a specific anchor in the chart. Bulls and bears do not want stock to cross the average price they paid to buy/sell it!

$SPY $AFRM $V
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Let's take an example of a bull run. When a breakout happens, or a reversal happens, or a rally begins, people start buying! We can assume such points as our anchor points!

Now as long as price stays above their average price, they are happy!

But what if it comes down!
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If it comes down, those bulls might start buying again because anytime price will go below the anchored vwap from their initial buy point, they are in loss. THIS IS IMPORTANT!

They do not want to go in loss, so they start buying again pushing the price higher.
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This is useful to know for everyone! Let's also couple this with something called a volume shelf.

Volume shelf shows you areas where most shares were traded. Similar to AVWAP, when price starts to cross below the shelf, bulls will step in because they are going in loss.
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Now that we have a rough understanding of what pains bulls on an uptrend, and when do they step in to avoid any losses, we can move ahead.

For a bullish swing trade, our task is to now find setups that are on anchored VWAP supports + volume shelf supports.
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How to find out the expected targets and what should be the exit criteria when you enter a trade - 🧵

Possible ways to find out the target:

Check if any patterns forming - it gets quite easy to figure out the targets that way. (1/15)

Let's say cup and handle. Our first target in this case will be the height of the handle and final target will be height of the whole cup. It's the same with H&S. First target will be the height of the shoulder and final will be the height of the head. (2/15)

In triangles, the targets will be height of the whole triangle.

Sometimes, after hitting the first target.. stock starts consolidating or take a retest of the breakout. On some occasions, stock gives one sided move non-stop.. without any pullback. (3/15)

A lot depends on the stock behaviour too. If a particular Index gave a breakout, then too stock gives final target without pullback.

Also, if stock gives weekly breakout and market is trending during that time.. even then it gives a one sided move. (4/15)

Recently, we've seen many such stocks -- Kotak Bank, TataMotors, TataPower.

Other helpful thing I learned from @Traderknight007 about exit criteria is using volume expansion and DMA/EMA. I began using it and benefitted. This is recently observed in TCS, DLF & many others. (5/15)

Top 10 price action (secrets) lessons which I learned after 6 years of experiences.

1⃣ - when market recover the strongest stocks recover very fast & will make new high.

Ex -#gael

after correction of #nifty fell then again recovered very fast & furious way 🌠

2⃣ - if stock never come to retest it's weekly & monthly breakout zone then the chances of it's 2x is much more.

Ex - #suppetro after BO 5 year never retest BO zone & consolidating near high.

Chances of it's 2x is much more 🌠

3️⃣ If any stocks gives BO of all time high or more then 1 year range with high volume then it can give 20/30% return in few weeks.

Ex -#mawana sugar after given 1 year BO of all time high given 22% return in 4 days

4⃣ - if its sector & market both are silent & only few stocks are trying to breakout then the chances of it's failure is very high।

Ex - #hindoilexp

In jan /feb trying to BO but market & sector didn't support 🌠

5⃣ - if any stock is accumulating or standing near it's big resistance or support then it's chances of BO /BD is much more.

Ex - #maithanalloy

From past 7 days was standing near major resistance, today given 14% move.