#FreeTip
Some of the past market turns that were signaled by the % stocks above 30 week MA in weekly chart.
In daily there were even more and also the famous feb/mar2020 crash...
Have used N500 as it represents more stocks.

#FreeTip
Basic rule for day trading in option buying for beginners.
1) Stick to monthly atm options.
2) Suppose u have a capital of Rs 5 lacs. Your max risk appetite is 1% which is 5k. Assume u look at BNF chart and find a buy setup at 35000 ...

...
with a stop of 34900 ( 100 point difference). This essentially means that the 35000 atm options will have a stop of Rs 200 ( delta 0.5) assuming all other things are equal. So the number of lots U should typically deal with based on 1% Risk on 5 lacs capital ...

....
is 5000 / 200, which is 25 , ie 1 lot. If your risk appetite is 2%, then u are allowed to take 50, ie 2 lots. Hence if option price is say, Rs 400, ur stop will be 200 and u have to deal with one lot which means your deployment is 25 x 400 = Rs 10,000....

...
On the contrary if you deploy the full amount, 500000/(25x400) = 1250 , 50 lots, u r bound to lose the capital at the shortest possible time.
3) This might appear ridiculous, but this is the only way to go steady with control over risk.

Option stop difference is Rs 50 and not Rs 200 as mentioned. Simple calculation overlooked. Accordingly number of lots will increase . However concept remains unchanged.

#FreeTip
If there are multiple pivot confluences, it is a strong zone and should never be ignored as there is a high possibility of a very significant activity around the zone.
Today's activity is an example. Historically can find similar concepts with varying pivots...

#NIFTY
Big Picture !!!
The monthly chart says it all for the next 2.5 years.
All u have to do is to continue your SIPs at any cost irrespective of violent volatilities.
Note: Dont start trolling if market comes down tom. It is big picture. Not for short term.
Good Luck.

#TRADING
#BANKNIFTY Pivot + vwap trading system

A) Short - 1) close less than ema200, prev day vwap, cam l3, floor pivot low; 2) distance between prev day vwap and cam l3 & floor pivot low should not be more than 1.5% (to avoid over extension); 3)vwap less than ema200
OR
--1/n

...................2/n
B) Price high crosses down weekly pivot high.
OR
C) Price crosses down camarilla h3 and candle low is lower than prev candle low.

Position taking between 945 am till 245 pm.

Cover at close or when price crosses 2 std deviations above current vwap or when price crosses weekly pivot low from downwards or when price crosses daily pivot low from downwards.

Backtest results since feb 2019 :
Annual return 43%
Drawdown 2.6%
Profit factor 1.9
Winning trades 50%
Timeframe 5 min chart

Intraday data for Bnf futures not available before 2019 for increasing the sample size.

#PivotShiftIndicator
Those who followed this today would not have gone long in the open.
Both PSI and advance decline momentum were sloping downwards continuously even when the mkt gapped up and kept going up.Trollers might say this as post Mortem. But I made what I can... 😌.

Repeat msg ::
Keep booking profit and deleveraging as mkt moves in your direction, few examples of money/position management
1) Book future and add In the money option
2) Book In the money option & buy Out of money
that way u can ride it while wont mind if sudden reversal comes

Few #Patterns to master.

Disc* Found on internet.

Thread on Importance of Mean Reversion

U must have remember the charts of auto sector breakout on last monday,potentially poised to be the next leader in the rally.
But since then it just fell bad and deep
Breaking the breakout bar low

1/7

The seemingly convincing breakout retest structure in abv daily chart takes a cocpletely different picture in u open the chart in weekly TF

shooting start at the resistance line of a triangle and at a major supply zone

2/7

Major stocks such as heromoto, maruti, eichermot and babajauto are already trading below the breakout level it established on monday when sector broke out

3/7

This poses a serious question on the risks associated with breakout.

Popularity behind the breakout is the fact that it doesnt need any skills to spot it, even a 90% blind man can spot it in any chart, because the price just sticks out from the rest by a very big margin

4/7

But think about a completely diffferent method where the price makes a clean move and the risks assicated with it is cubstantially less.

Price available so cheap and at support

5/7

'Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication' #leonardodavinci

In #technicalanalysis keeping it simple eliminates noise & avoids too much analysis leading to paralysis
#Journalists can use #linecharts to analyse the market & build stories
#MediaFriday
PC @vrvcharts
@CMTAssociation