I have explained the importance of meeasuring momentum of the trend.
U can guage the strength in the trend once u know how to measure the direction.
This trend strength is infact signals the trend continuity or the potetnial for sustanining the trend.
Thats great assurace to hav https://t.co/HanLvlXkjQ

Suppose u r in a long trade in 5min TF,
How would u assess trend is still intact
and
u can scale into the trade to maximize the profitability ?

1.
HH HL formation and pin bar with good vol at vwap or just abv previous low. ADX greater than 25

1/6

2.
Low volumes on counter trend move and price not closing below Vwap

3.
HH and HL formation on 5 min time frame. Volumes expanding when making HH and low volumes when in LL. Price above vwap

4.
SuperTrend 10,2, for scale in at ST retracement

2/6

5.
a). Bullish PA when candle is at VWAP
b). Minimal Overhead resistance (Volume Profile can help) helps in making the stock to trend more easily
c). Can Scale in when Price retraces to VWAP during low volume period mid-afternoon and forms a Bullish candlestick

3/6

6.
a). Trend still intact: Slope of 20 or 21 EMA moving higher
b). Upscale: Price pullback to EMA with less volume followed by upmove with good volume

4/6

7.
a). Should cross 5 EMA
b). Above yesterday VWAP
c). Possibly Ascending Triangle Break Out.
d). If continued trend dont add
e). If re test confirmed in intraday will add more

5/6

On a day which gives huge gap at day open, mean reversion strategies works better than trend following/momentum strategies.

Those who are good at pullback trading can easily adapt to reversion and take advantage of current market conditions

1 FMCG stock chart has so much to teach -
1) Cup
2) Handle
3) BO
4) Retest
5) Bearish RSI divergence

What is obvious, USUALLY doesn't play out #StockMarket

Another 1 from the same space...15min chart shows massive buying in the closing minutes & CE's running for cover. Find it---> Analyse it ---> Trade it

In a recent interview with Udayan Mukherjee, the big bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala made an interesting bold statement - "I think nobody has read the Electricity (Amendment) Bill. Once it passes, it will be bigger than 1991 reforms."

A thread🧵dissecting the ongoing Power reforms 👇

2/17
In summary, the Amendment Bill 2021 says:
⚡️ Delicensing of state monopoly- open to competition
⚡️ Consumers can choose discoms (like telcos)
⚡️ Smart meters to plug leakages
⚡️ Easy resolution of disputes
⚡️ Right to 24x7 electricity
⚡️ Rewarding consumers shifting to solar

3/17
We'll discuss these in detail. But first, some context.

India's is the 3rd largest consumer of electricity. But also one of the most inefficient (measured via AT&C losses - electricity that is generated but does not reach intended customers)
AT&C: 22% vs 8% global. Chart 👇

4/17
Currently, only 9% Indians are served by private discoms (Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Delhi).

AT&C loss for Delhi has declined from 55% in 2002 to 9% in 2020 after power distribution was taken over by three private licensees. Makes a strong case for broader delicensing of discoms.

5/17
What are discoms?

The Power value chain:
Raw material (Coal, Fuel) --> Generation --> Transmission --> Distribution --> Consumption

In this chain, Distribution companies (or discoms) have been the weakest link for last 3 decades.

1/n I have not seen a single 2 - 3 day position trading system which is as simple as this. Experts will say RSi not applicable in 15 min time frame, I say first understand the the calculation of RSI :-). no need of scanner.
just discipline and risk mgmnt
#RSI #divergence

2/n: System as explained before:
4 step process
1. Identify stock from EOD chart
2. Look for RSI Divergence in 15 minutes
3. Wait for Consolidation and range break.
Trade in the direction of break.
4. Trail for at least 1:3 RR or SL.

3/n: Had posted last week about weak EOD chart of MnM. See what happened this week despite the fact that the overall market was bullish.
It is a zero loss trade now.
Invest in yourself. No guru can make you a successful trader. #hardwork #discipline

4/n: there are many more examples of this if you see my timeline. it works across markets even in bitcoin lol!
Keep it simple. Trick is always in the risk reward and position sizing.
Must only take trades which have minimum 1:3 RR.
Do not use excessive #leverage.

5/5: Charlie Munger: “If you’re smart you don’t need leverage; if you’re dumb, it will ruin you.”
Cant put it better as I have been on both sides :-)

Tamasoma Jyotirgamayah!
#weekend #learn #trade #success

T-1 Psychology behind the formation of a candle - personally I feel that if one is aware of psychology behind the formation of candle than chart starts talking to you. So, here I am starting my journey of 🧵 with how actually candles form. Small but important for beginners 👇

Hammer - formed at the end of downtrend, opened sellers pushed the prices down, buyers came & pushed the prices up & close the candle above the OP. Shadow formed twice of body. Also observed at trend line & support zone. 👇

Shooting Star - formed at the end of uptrend, opened buyers pushed the price up, sellers came & pushed the price down and make candle close below the OP. Both hammer & shooting star should always be traded with the confirmation from next candle. 👇

Bullish Engulfing- formed after a downtrend. Price opened below the previous candle, buyers came and form a big green candle above the previous candle high if both candles merge can form a hammer. 👇

Bearish Engulfing- formed after a uptrend. Price opened above the previous candle, sellers came & form a big red candle below the low of previous candle. Merging of both form a shooting star. 👇

---THREAD ON F&O BAN---

📛 What’s F&O Ban?
Stock goes into ban when combined Open Interest (OI) of both Future & Options contracts across series & across exchanges exceeds 95% of Market Wide Position Limit (MWPL)

Reason for stock going in ban is to curb EXCESSIVE SPECULATION

📛 What happens when stock goes into ‘FNO ban’?
-One CANNOT take Fresh positions
-But CAN square off existing position

📛 Can you trade?

Yes, you can take ‘INTRA-DAY’ position ONLY if your broker allows

But If intraday position ‘NOT CLOSED ‘

Then exchange levies PENALTY of 1% of value of increased position subject to minimum penalty of 5k & max of 1 lakh

📛 When stock is in ban can you reverse an existing position in a stock that is in FNO ban?

'YES'

Example

-If you are long on 2000 Call strike of RIL
-Can reverse with opposite position by selling 2000 Call strike

📛 When does the stock come out of ban?

-When OI falls below 80% of MWPL

Note: Exchange releases MWPL data for all F&O stocks monthly