On a day which gives huge gap at day open, mean reversion strategies works better than trend following/momentum strategies.

Those who are good at pullback trading can easily adapt to reversion and take advantage of current market conditions

Before making ur trade entry or even before making a bias of trend as either bullish or bearish, do u use any objective measures to define the trend based on price, volume and momentum?
Price will always go back and forth move no matter how strong the trend is.

1/4

So an objecctive way of defining the trend as bullish or bearish will help u to stay out of counter trend trades which usually not only hit SL, but slippages tend to be quite high in case of those trades. If u dont believe that, u can either check ur journal .

2/4

In the pic, an example was shown with objectively defining the price trend based on momenum. If price is bullish then either take long entry while price pulls back on 20 SMA or when it makes a new breakout, its very very safe method.

3/4

Even one can use simple MACD for defining the trend. Indicator doesnt have any magic, be it custom made or default one. Trick is in identifying the bias when its quite clear and obvious and not to trade till then.

4/4

FMCG sector is really strong since few days now. Like the bottom in MArch 2020 where pharma and fmcg rallied and lead the market, we have IT and FMCG as leaders now.

But would u really consider betting on HUL (medium term) recent breakout considering its structure ????

Here is a thread of all the stocks i have kept in watchlist over this weekend upon which i have made immediate tradeplan. All charts are posted with the logics behind it.

Price under compression and revisited the exhaution gap where it found demand
#kotakbank

1/17

Price went abv the VAH with high momentum and fell back to take support of it. It looks to have bounced off there. Ideally it should continue go north from here
#marico

2/17

price found excellent demand upon the reversal of polarity
#bajfinance

3/17

price made a double bottom pattern and rallied to breakabv the first resistance. It took a minor puase and looks ready to go up from here
#gujgasltd

4/17

finding demand upon testing the past resistance level which broke few days back #bajajfinsv

5/17

If u are a pullback trader u get to take an entry very close to the end of a counter trend move which offer a very tight SL.
In case for a trend follower, the candle size near to the trend phase he is aiming at is way too larger and hence offer a much wider SL

My System for momentum trading🧵:

1. Stock Identification:

Daily and Weekly Delivery Analysis using @mystockedge
Theme Confirmation using Internet and Network

2. Stock Confirmation:

Relative Strength of a stock visavis market using RS55 model listed in @mystockedge

1/n

3. Stock Participation:

Only when chart showing short term breakout along with RS55>0 and RSI>50. I am ready to leave some initial movements.

4. Position buildup:

Every time the stock gives a breakout from the previous swing high add more position and go all-in.

2/n

5. Stock Exit:

I run two portfolios: Short term Swing and Long term Swing.

For Exit in Short term swings, I use a 2hourly Chart with super trend and RS. I am using @tradingview for the same.

For long term swing, I exit when the RS of the stock goes below 0. Period.

n/n

Basics of PMS / IM for New Investors :

Basic Qualification Criteria :

~ Sales CAGR > 15 %
~ ROCE > 18%
~ PEG < 2.5
~ 1 Year Forward PE < 30
~ Debt / Equity < 0.3
~ *Prom stake > 51 %
~ Analyse Quarterly Results closely.
~ Minimum 15 stocks
~ Time - 2 year
#investing

The biggest winners have great earnings on the table right near the start of their massive mega move.

Look for Eps growth and acceleration stocks

Your big winners of the next bull market will most likely be from this list

Proven methods followed by achievers like WON , DR

Inside Bar (IB) is an effective trading strategy where a range is formed & we trade on a Breakout/Breakdown.

What is IB?

Textbook definition of IB:
When the current bar is trading inside the previous candle's high and low (range)

Here's a live example from the Tata Steel Chart where you can see multiple IB forming on 15 minutes chart.

I've marked 2 IBs in the circle where we can find the mother candle & the inside bar candle.

So how do we trade this?

If the overall trend is bullish, then you should be looking at high on the mother candle. When the mother candle's high is broken, you can place your SL at:
1. Low of the mother candle, or
2. Low of the Inside Bar candle.

Both the eg are in charts:

And Vice Versa for the Bearish bias.

If the overall trend is bearish, then you should be looking at low on the mother candle. When the mother candle's low is broken, you can place your SL at:
1. High of the mother candle, or
2. High of the Inside Bar candle.

I prefer keeping the high or low of the inside bar candle as my SL.

Remember there are 100s of ways to trade this, ultimately your position sizing & risk management will come into play.

Position sizing can be calculated using the SL, and risk can be managed.