DC Coup Analysis Thread 1/

I am doing my 'first thoughts' review & analysis of the Trump attempt of a Dictatorial Coup of America we just witnessed in DC the past few days. This is the first in a SERIES of THREADS. This looks at 'what happened'. This sets the stage

Let Trump Be Trump Thread 1/

The Former Guy held a Magarally in Ohio yesterday. He is moving ever closer to genuine Nazi rallies. Do we care? Actually yes we do. It is the Republicans who are terrified. If you support US democracy in general or Team Blue, we say
#LetTrumpBeTrump

Let Trump Be Trump Thread 2/

Some on our side, & some relatively neutral politicallym are horrified by what Trump is doing. I want to write this Thread so all of my Tweeps understand, this is HEALTHY. Trump is now damaging ONLY the Republicans, and is helping bring end to Maga

Let Trump Be Trump Thread 3/

Let us first understand political reality. Trump is a FRINGE politician WITHOUT national appeal. He CANNOT win again in a national election. His political VIABILITY is kaput

It is REPUBLICANS who are worried about Trump. We want to #LetTrumpBeTrump

Let Trump Be Trump Thread 4/

Reality check. In 2016 Trump lost the popular vote by 3 million votes. He became President by fluke of an obsolete system

In 2020 Trump lost popular vote by 7 million votes. It was not even close

That was BEFORE January 6th. Trump would lose by 10M

Let Trump Be Trump Thread 5/

And that was BEFORE the January 6th HEARINGS, which now CONTINUE in September. That brings Trump chances down ever more

And that was before Espionage-A-Lago. Now even Fox & many Republicans turn on Trump

If he ran, he would lose WORSE than Mondale

Third Thread: The Conspiracy Theory Voters

Aka let's try to do SPD again, Sarah Palin's Disease. Sorry, my 2nd Thread was longer than I expected with Newt.

So now let's do Sarah Palin properly, in her own thread.

While George Wallace is the grandfather to Trump's run in 2016 (starting in 2015), there are not enough racist voters to win the election. Not even enough racists to win the NOMINATION of the GOP.

Trump needed to expand his support in 2015 & 2016. He needed INSANE voters.

The real prototype candidate to Donald Trump is Sarah Palin - a candidate so bad, she COST John McCain millions of votes in 2008 against Obama. Yes, exit polls are clear, for every 2 votes Sarah brought in to McCain she brought 3 votes to Obama. Net cost to McCain several MILLION

Sarah Palin was the Fake News candidate, who bravely battled reality and 'Lame Stream Media' for the past 12 years since her loss in 2008. She had a lunatic base of voters who believe in the conspiracy theories she spews. As Sarah Palin wasn't running, those voter went to Trump

We need to discuss the Tea Party. Back in the 2008 cycle, the progressives had a spontaneous movement in the economic criss to 'Occupy Wall Street'.

VERY EARLY in that movement, a 'sister' movement started as the Tea Party, against big government

PARDON ROULETTE

CHRISTIE: Donald, if you pardon your kids, they will be forced to testify against you. And they will. You've trained them to be selfish. You know them. They would bury you. You cannot be this stupid. It would be the dumbest thing you could do.

#PardonRoulette

PARDON ROULETTE

BARR: What idiot suggested you should pardon your kids? Was it Hannity? Don't tell me you're listening to Giuliani again? Hasn't he gotten you into enough trouble?

#PardonRoulette

PARDON ROULETTE

IVANKA: Daddy, don't pardon anyone who is not family. Not Manafort, not Giuliani and gosh, not that vile creep Stephen Miller. The more you pardon, the more there will be investigations. Keep pardons just within the family, Daddy.

#PardonRoulette

PARDON ROULETTE

IVANKA: Daddy, don't pardon the boys. Junior is an idiot. Eric is a moron and isn't even our blood. We all know his dad is Gary Busey, so fuck him. Just pardon me

#PardonRoulette

PARDON ROULETTE

TRUMP: What about Jared? Should I give him a pardon?

IVANKA: That's up to you, Daddy. Jared's a bit dense but loves you more than Beavis & Butt-Head, or Rent-A-Mom

#PardonRoulette

Weisselberg Oct Thread 1/

Allen Weisselberg, Trump accountant will lose 5 criminal cases and unless he flips, will spend rest of his life in prison. His first criminal court case had first hearing in Sept

Let's do full update to Weisselberg path to take Trump to prison.

Weisselberg Oct Thread 2/

Donald Trump faces 5 paths to prison for LIFE

1. Weisselberg (NY Taxes etc)
2. Giuliani (Ukraine etc)
3. Matt Gaetz (leads to Trump selling pardons)
4. Roger Stone (Jan 6th)
5. Tom Barrack (UAE etc incl extortion of Qatar)

Plus DOZENS of lesser cases

Weisselberg Oct Thread 3/

Allen Weisselberg faces 5 CRIMINAL trials:

1. NY Taxes (Manhattan DA)
2. Money laundering for Mafia (NY Attorney General)
3. Sanctions busting (Federal)
4. Campaign finance & inaugration (DC and Federal)
5. Emoluments (Federal)

The THIRD = worst crime

Weisselberg Oct Thread 4/

Weisselberg 1, Manhattan DA, is SIMPLE tax fraud case, where prosecution has SLAM DUNK case

They have the 'smoking gun' - they have the DOUBLE BOOKKEEPING. He will lose this case

They ALSO have witnesses

Trump (& his sons) also CONFESSED THIS CRIME

Weisselberg Oct Thread 5/

In EVERY crime, Trump was Mafia boss. Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried last. Like with NY Taxes:

1. Michael Cohen
2. Weisselberg
3. Trump kids (Don Jr, Ivanka, Eric)
4. Trump himself

The Mafia boss is ALWAYS tried LAST. That is how this works, ALWAYS

I think the UK trans debate has teased out the sticking points for feminists, and it might be useful to lay them out given that the battle in the US, with a very different legislative environment, is just starting.

The GRA of 2004 gave trans people the ability to change legal sex via a GRC, but only if they had a psychiatric diagnosis of dysphoria and only after having lived in role for 2 years. The spousal veto gave spouses a chance to annul or obtain a favourable divorce.

While this ultimately created the loophole in women's rights that we've been fighting against in the last few years, it catered for a tiny number of dysphoric transsexuals and so did not have an enormous impact.

Discussions with trans friends and allies make it clear that, although surgery wasn't a requirement for a GRC, the diagnostic procedures were expected to trap and exclude males who did not want surgery, thereby preventing fetishists and opportunists from exploiting a GRC.

The Equality Act of 2010 defined the various protected characteristics, including both sex and 'gender reassignment', and provided for sex-based exemptions, under the auspices of which it is legal to exclude trans people from some single-sex spaces and services.

My little Jacob Wohl story: August 2016, we're sitting around the trading turrets at my office on a bored to tears slow day. Our receptionist said someone was here for his 2pm appointment. None of us had an appointment on schedule. Who is it? we ask? Some guy named Jacob Wohl 1/

Jacob Wohl, for those out of loop, gained quite a bit of notoriety for becoming the youngest guy to ever get himself barred for life from the financial industry. Now he's waiting in our lobby to pitch something. We're a large merchant bank. 2/

Send him in, we said. In walks young Jacob asking to be seeded with $25mm to start a new hedge fund in exchange for an ownership stake in it. Oh, & he needs an office. And a Bloomberg station. And needs to borrow staff until he can hire some guys. And he needs a leased car... 3/

And he needs an answer today. Right now. Because there's a competing offer from Izzy Englander's firm Millenium (we know those guys well). We fight the urge to literally start laughing, but do ask him...hey, you the same guy who got banned by regulators? He didn't even flinch 4/

He went on about that being untrue & handed over a letter he said was from his lawyer who had confirmed he was not barred, had been vindicated but it 'just wasn't in the system yet at the SEC, CFTC'...whatever that means. 5/

My dad’s first memory is hiding under a table 80 years ago tonight, when Nazis took his dad to Dachau on #Kristallnacht.

His parents, my Omi and Opi, always considered themselves more German than Jewish, so they didn’t think they’d get swept up in the madness.

Opi was taken to city hall with other Jews and lined up against a wall. He thought he was going to be shot.

He always remembered when they got to Dachau there were pajamas with Jewish stars waiting on their cots. Obviously not a spontaneous thing.

He was very lucky. His family got him a fake Uruguayan visa and he was out of Dachau six weeks later. “Before Christmas,” my dad recalls.

Yesterday I refused unsafe work. This is how it went.

#onted #onpoli #osstf

1st, to the haters. Since when is it "normal" to go to work scared for your health, your life, and your family's lives? It is our right not be scared at work and our employer (in my case, the gov) needs to put measures in place so we aren't afraid. That is law, not just words.

There were 2 steps to the refusal. Refusing to work to my employer, and refusing to work to the Ministry. If my concerns were addressed in Step 1 - to my employer, there is not need to go to the Ministry. We went to the Ministry.

Involved in my refusal were my administration team, a Health and Safety Inspector from my employer, a Health and Safety Inspector from my union, and later in Step 2, a Ministry of Labour Inspector.

I first stated my specific concerns to my adm. They were so supportive in doing everything in their power to address my concerns. I want to thank them for that. They took my concerns seriously. My concerns were all tied to the increased contagiousness of the new variants: