BC SOCIETY
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

So what happens now?

Let me try to peer into a crystal ball here in 2021 so we can drag this thread up & laugh at me and/or praise my vision in 2024

This is not what I WANT, it’s just what I think is likely to unfold over the next four years

Chime in if I forget your pet issue

 First, there’s still a split Senate & a bare majority in the House, they can’t just ram through everything Nancy has put in the docket since 2018 on Day One unless Manchin & Sinema play ball.

Which I don’t think they will on everything. No packed court, no nuked filibuster.
We will see a second stimulus & possibly a third.

Vaccine distribution will normalize & by the end of summer we’ll be in a rocky recovery.

There will be a big fight for a public option that the Dems will probably lose unless they win big in 2022 because again Manchin.
Marijuana will be rescheduled & decriminalized but likely not federally legalized unless some GOP cross the aisle. Biden will be blamed because people don’t know how the system works.

But more & more states will legalize until it doesn’t really matter.
Trump’s tax cuts will be repealed, funding will be restored to gutted departments, but the brain drain will take a long time to heal, & no one will understand why everything doesn’t go back to normal like killing the head vampire so all the other vampires just vanish.
Biden will not go after Trump. (Not his job.)

The DOJ won’t either, but I think they may go after his kids. Ivanka & Jared at least.

SDNY will take Trump on, the cases will drag out for years & likely plead out with no jail time.

The civil lawsuits will bring the real hurt.
Voter protections of some kind will get through Congress but it won’t be enough to make up for the loss of the VRA.

Election Day will be made a holiday through EO.

But mail in voting is here to stay, which will help a lot.

2024 will be super weird due to all the WFH migration.
Trump himself will never, ever be banned from Twitter. At best every tweet will get flagged.

All the GOP will learn from #Georgia is that they need the crazies to win & will pander to them exclusively until & unless they lose bigger than that margin.

Trump will play kingmaker.
However, Trump sucks at everything he does so he will be a garbage kingmaker, mainly just trying to punish those who didn’t do his coup for him rather than build a sustained movement. He’ll mostly step in when it involves someone from his hate journal, not everyday races.
I don’t think Trump will try to defect to Russia or anything—but he will probably spend a lot of time abroad dumping on America

His kids will likely sell some state secrets he didn’t bother to read

He’ll start his network but lose 10-15% of his base once the winner sheen is off
There will be Russian sanctions, but not so severe that war looks like a better choice to them than playing nicely.

Putin will technically retire but actually still pull every string.
Most of Biden & Harris’ time will be spent just uncovering damage & putting things back in order, which will take WAY longer than the public has patience for & infighting between party wings will present a very difficult road to 2022.

I expect one Big Bill, hopefully on voting
Right wing media is about to get way, way worse.

I don’t think there is any danger at all of the GOP actually splitting—they’re more practical than that. No civil war either, they cried real tears on camera when they couldn’t get haircuts.

But a lot more domestic terrorism.
There will be a path for Dreamers & immigration will loosen up again, police won’t be defunded anywhere but will be reformed in blue states somewhat, climate change will worsen but at a slower rate barring a technological breakthrough
Harris will be the new devil incarnated for the right & some parts of the left, which will make 24/28 a real rough gig for her

I honestly don’t know if she can win with the kind of hate they can drum up in four years. Everything won’t be perfect so her record won’t be hot either
Trump won’t run in 2024, but Don Jr or Ivanka absolutely will.

They won’t win, but not because we will be better then.

Because the ambition of Cruz, Hawley, Cotton, & the rest won’t take a back seat again.
None of this will be enough for anyone.

Not big enough changes for the left, not enough capitulation for the right, everyone will be mad all the time.

Dems will keep the Senate in 2022 but lose the House unless Democratic voters realy have learned a lesson.
The cultural changes from COVID will be so vast this country won’t even look like a distant cousin of the one we live in now. Idaho will go blue sooner than people think. Everyone will be looking to WFH somewhere cheaper.

These aren’t necessarily bold predictions, I know
Basically Dems will do their best to move us forward, hampered by the system they actually respect, no one will appreciate that at all, and Republicans will go completely off the farm and never come back

But they’ll still win a lot until they’re not allowed to lie & call it news

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Ready?

Create a private foundation and give it all away. 1/

Let's stipulate first that lottery winners often have a hard time. Being publicly identified makes you a target for "friends" and "family" who want your money, as well as for non-family grifters and con men. 2/

The stress can be damaging, even deadly, and Uncle Sam takes his huge cut. Plus, having a big pool of disposable income can be irresistible to people not accustomed to managing wealth. https://t.co/fiHsuJyZwz 3/

Meanwhile, the private foundation is as close as we come to Downton Abbey and the landed aristocracy in this country. It's a largely untaxed pot of money that grows significantly over time, and those who control them tend to entrench their own privileges and those of their kin. 4

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Real talk.

The right as spent years trying to paint @NancyPelosi & @HillaryClinton as extreme leftists who will take your guns, sterilize your sons, outlaw Christianity, and tax you at 80%.

Meanwhile...

The far left has tried to insist that they were both Republican-lite.

1/

Some on the far left call them war mongering neoliberal corporate owned whores.

That's on a good day, for both.

None of these charges, by either side, are remotely true of course. Not that this matters to the people putting this shit out there.

2/

The facts are these.

@HillaryClinton and @NancyPelosi have been fighting people, usually white men, for tnings their entire lives.

With little respite.

At times they have had to make impossible choices and compromises just to beo let in the door. Most women have.

3/

It must be easy to be some 26 yo white dude who has never had anyone tell him no his whole life to sit in judgement of women like them.

"How dare she..."

...do what was necessary to get a place at the table.

...do exactly what men have been doing w/o your disapproval.

4/

Let's face it, most men suck when it comes to issues that don't pertain directly to their own self interests. White men are even worse. We just are.

Most men especially suck when it comes to women's issues and I mean really suck.

How many left leaning men fell to #MeToo?

5/
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@AuthorMonika No; we have been British here long before we were Scottish. British comes from 'Pritani' which is what the people here called themselves and the whole island before the Romans invaded.

When the Romans were here they Latinised this to Britannia, but also, for example, the Vindolanda tablets found at Hadrian's wall record the locals north of the wall as 'Britunculi' ' the little britons'

Looking at the post Roman period the 'scots' were Irish pirates who started to invade and colonize from the west. There has been a tribal split known between the 'British' - which covered the central belt where most of 'Scots' still live now, and the 'picts' to the North.


Now the latest research on the Picts suggests from their language that they and the 'British' had an originally common source and both from a same root proto-british language.


Then if you move forward to the Declaration of Arbroath - it literally says that the Scots invaded from Ireland and 'expulsis primo Britonibus et Pictis omnio deletis' - 'first routed the British then destroyed every single Pict'
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