• A cash stock wizard, who doesn't trade the stereotype triangle, rectangle, H&S etc.

• Creative enough to look beyond the obvious

• Covering another unique set up: Rating Houses Contra Trades or as he calls it "Moody-no-so-Moody indicator"

🧵 to learn from @iManasArora

• Usually international rating agencies come with a downgrade only after a massive correction in the stock

• Similarly these rating agencies come with an upgrade report post a sharp rise in the stock

• Don't take them on face value and DYOR!
• How Ultra Bullish articles from rating/broker houses is used to dump the stock to retail

• New traders provide liquidity for BIG players to offload their stocks
#HEG
• Example 1: BofAML sees 100% rise

• Read this thread to know in detail #HEG
https://t.co/IKabWNmt3O
• How depressive articles from rating/broker houses is used to make the retailers sell their stocks

• Retailers provide opportunity to the BIG players to accumulate them at rock bottom prices

#TATAMOTORS
• Example 2: S&P downgrades TATAMOTORS

• Read this to know in detail #TATAMOTORS

https://t.co/rX9WfLM0ZZ
Example 3: UBS downgrades #BAJFINANCE

https://t.co/U3iLqfvQrW
Example 4: Moody's crack down on 5 Indian PSU's

@iManasArora utilized this opportunity to go long in PNB

https://t.co/F9mNlJDiea
• From the above examples it is quite clear that taking contra bets is easy

BUY, when the following conditions are met:

1. The stock has already plummeted by 90-100%

2. The rating report then downgrades the stock

3. The stock refuses to go down any further
SELL, when the following conditions are met:

1. The stock had already had a fab run up (15-20x in a very short span i.e. 12m)

2. The rating report then gives an ultra bullish tgt of 100% up from CMP

3. News based rally on a low volume
• Before blindly taking contra bets, check whether the conditions above are met and

• Also, learn Stage Analysis
• And if you think @iManasArora only takes contra bets on:

1. Extended moves
2. Rating houses report

Then wait, this time he is bullish on a country - 'Time to buy Russia'

https://t.co/URyKZvJIEX
Next time you see an upgrade/downgrade report from some major rating agency just see whether the conditions mentioned in this thread is met, basically DYOR before acting on it!

#BroTip
If you have missed @iManasArora Extended moves & Reversal plays set up then check it here

https://t.co/kBrasnQrcT
You can also go through his TL @iManasArora where he shares his tricks which no textbook has covered

Hope you discovered something new (because that's the point!)
If you did, share it with a friend

Hop back up to retweet the first tweet

More from Nikita Poojary

Over the past month, we have shared 15 powerful threads:

These threads cover topics like:
• Trading
• Psychology
• Strategies (both directional & non-directional)
• Investing
• Free tools for traders
• Free technical analysis courses, etc.

Here they are all in one place!

1/ Top 26 threads from the past 26 weeks of year


2/ How to build your Twitter


3/ The most simple set-up of Subasish Pani -


4/Free valuable tools that helps you to trader better!

More from Screeners

Time for a new thread on the possibilities I am looking for.
Do read it completely to understand the stance and the plan.


1. The moving average structure - Many traders just look at the 200 ma test or closing above/below it regardless of its slope. Let's look at all the interactions with 200 ma where price met it for the first time after the trend change but with 200 ma slope against it


One can clearly sense that currently it is one of those scenarios only. I understand that I might get trolled for this, but an unbiased mind suggests that odds are highly against the bulls for making fresh investments.

But markets are good at giving surprises. What should be our stance if price kept on rising? Let's understand that through charts. The concept is still the same. Divergent 200 ma and price move results in 200 ma test atleast once which gives good investment opportunities.


2. Zig-Zag bear market- There are two types of fall in a bear market, the first one is vertical fall which usually ends with ending diagonals (falling wedges) and the second one is zig zag one which usually ends with parabolic down moves.

You May Also Like