#INDIAVIX print above 35 has been good time for investment in last 10 yrs of Market

Feb VIX printed 30 . If it spikes further in March, can be good time for catching falling knives in Stocks.

#BollingerBand Squeeze Breakout

Sharing An Entry Set-up For Cash Market Since Cash Market Is Running Hot Currently

Bollinger Bands Are Volatility Bands with Centre line, Upper & Lower Band

Centre Line Is Simple Moving Average

Default Is 20 Period Simple Moving Average

Upper & Lower Bands are constructed by Adding / Subtracting Standard Deviation Values from SMA

Default is 2 Standard Deviation Away from 20 SMA for Upper & Lower Band

During Trending Phase, Bollinger Bands generally expand as Standard Deviation Expands in Trending Phase

During consolidation standard deviation drops, causing Upper & Lower Bands to contract towards centre line

This Gives the look like bands are getting squeezed, hence the name Bollinger Band Squeeze Breakout

Entry Setup occurs as below:

1. After Good Rally, Price takes pause, goes in consolidation of few weeks, typically 3-8 weeks

2. Bollinger Bands tighten or Squeeze, indicating volatility contraction

3. While bands are in squeeze, price rises to Upper Band

4. After Touching Upper Band, Price is Rejected

5. price Rejection creates Lower Low on Daily charts, which is called Bearish Fractal

6. High Point from Which price is rejected & creates Bearish Fractal become Breakout Point

VWAP starting with day open candle is quite popular

Try #VWAP with period for change where period equal to number of bars in trading day. Acts as magnet for Intraday Mean Reversion moves

Exibit- Banknifty of last 2 days

US #VIX vs #SPX

VIX spikes above 30 are common but print above 45 have marked major bottoms

VIX at 33 today, yet to get there

#SPX AVWAP from pre pandemic High & Pandemic low around 3866-3780 . That's like 6-8% more from here and should provide launchpad for fierce bounce. Tough May & next 2-3 weeks though.

#TrendFollowing
#SystemTrading
#StopLoss

In TrendFollwoing, We Look To Enter Trade & Keep Holding as Long as It is in Our Favour. Initial Stop Loss Is Important Part of System Trading.
How To Decide What Should Be Initial StopLoss? (1/n)

Too Tight StopLoss Will get Stopped Out Frequently.
Too Loose Will Cause Bigger Loss & LessRR.
What Is Optimum StopLoss?

We Need To Generate Data on What is Called Minimum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE Is The Max Amount By Which Trade Goes Against Us From Entry Point (2/n)

MAE Can Be Measure in Amount Or Percentage Or ATR. We calculate MAE In ATR so as to adjust for Different Volatility of Different Scrips. Here You Can See The Data for MAE in ATR For Our #Stock #Futures #Swing #Trading System For Long & Short Trades For December (3/n)

Visual Look Tells That Price Doesn't Go Against Us By More Than 2 ATR in More Than 95% Of Trades. So We Can Safely Take 2 ATR StopLoss For Our Trades From Entry Point. Also, More Than 90% Of The Trade Show Loss After Entry Which Can Be Used To Decide Level Of PullBack Entry (4/4)

This System is Based on 25Min TimeFrame & 75 Candle ATR. Every System Uses Different Entry Method, Different TimeFrame For Signal Generation & Different No Of Candles For ATR. So Don't Assume 2 ATR is Universal Stoploss. See What Suits Your System & Then Develop Own StopLoss (5)

My System for momentum trading🧵:

1. Stock Identification:

Daily and Weekly Delivery Analysis using @mystockedge
Theme Confirmation using Internet and Network

2. Stock Confirmation:

Relative Strength of a stock visavis market using RS55 model listed in @mystockedge

1/n

3. Stock Participation:

Only when chart showing short term breakout along with RS55>0 and RSI>50. I am ready to leave some initial movements.

4. Position buildup:

Every time the stock gives a breakout from the previous swing high add more position and go all-in.

2/n

5. Stock Exit:

I run two portfolios: Short term Swing and Long term Swing.

For Exit in Short term swings, I use a 2hourly Chart with super trend and RS. I am using @tradingview for the same.

For long term swing, I exit when the RS of the stock goes below 0. Period.

n/n

Breakout Screener with AMAZING UPDATE!

One-click on the link to view the charts directly from the screener!

@gocharting team helped us to get this wonderful feature!

https://t.co/3teN7Jtuyk

(Screen download link is inside the post)

#Retweet and share!

Inside Bar (IB) is an effective trading strategy where a range is formed & we trade on a Breakout/Breakdown.

What is IB?

Textbook definition of IB:
When the current bar is trading inside the previous candle's high and low (range)

Here's a live example from the Tata Steel Chart where you can see multiple IB forming on 15 minutes chart.

I've marked 2 IBs in the circle where we can find the mother candle & the inside bar candle.

So how do we trade this?

If the overall trend is bullish, then you should be looking at high on the mother candle. When the mother candle's high is broken, you can place your SL at:
1. Low of the mother candle, or
2. Low of the Inside Bar candle.

Both the eg are in charts:

And Vice Versa for the Bearish bias.

If the overall trend is bearish, then you should be looking at low on the mother candle. When the mother candle's low is broken, you can place your SL at:
1. High of the mother candle, or
2. High of the Inside Bar candle.

I prefer keeping the high or low of the inside bar candle as my SL.

Remember there are 100s of ways to trade this, ultimately your position sizing & risk management will come into play.

Position sizing can be calculated using the SL, and risk can be managed.