Which cos according to you have highest probability of tripling revenue in next 4 years (~30% cagr)?

FY26 revenue is 3x FY22 revenue ?

My guess among cos I track: Sona comstar, saregama, mastek, dynemic products, sastasundar, angel one

@dixit_37 Yup, autocorrect. 😅

🧵🧵🧵🧵 👇

Artificial Inteligence = 🖥️ + 🧠

When can you expect your fridge & mobile phone to revolt against you? (Spoiler Alert: Not in the foreseeable future).

Please Do 're-tweet' the Thread & help me spread the knowledge to more people.

1. The Language
In order to understand Artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning, we need to start at the very basics.

Humans speak and understand a wide variety of 'natural' languages (this is what computer science community calls them): like English, Hindi, Marathi, Bengali, Tamil etc.

But have you seen a peculiarity of human languages? They do not have a precise meaning associated with a given sentence. On an average, every English word has 2 meanings. This makes human conversations confusing, with the need for multiple turns & clarifications. Example 👇:

Person 1 conversing with Person 2 face to face:

Person 1: Lets go watch The Dark Knight. Its our marriage anniversary!
Person 2: I dont like going out at night. Its too scary & depressing.
Person 1: Oh, what i meant was watching the movie "The dark Knight".

Vaibhav Global.

The OG 💍💎💍💎💍💎 in the dust.

🧵👇

1. Business Model.

Vaibhav Global is a vertically integrated omnichannel company that sells value fashion jewellery & lifestyle products.

Don't worry, I'll break those terms down in subsequent tweets.

Let's dive deeper into the vertical integration aspect. VGL is present across the value chain.
(i) Identifying trends & products.
(ii) Manufacturing or sourcing.
(iii) Selling.

(i) Identifying trends & products.
VGL's value starts at identifying trends in jewellery, lifestyle, fashion products across the world. Their employees are well entrenched in this space.

(ii) Manufacturing or sourcing.
VGL then decides whether to manufacture it, or source it from outside. This flexibility results in the crazy high 63% FMCG like ROCE. Why? Coz producing in-house is capital intensive. Sourcing goods is good for the capital efficiency.

A lot of websites provide you with data for trading.

However, I liked the free website of Icici Direct the most.

Here is a breakdown of what it can do: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Advantages:

1. Quantitative Analysis in one place
2. Easy to find stocks where action taking place
3. Find the exact price levels at which OI is being added.

You can check out this free website by clicking on this

Where is the action taking place?

For eg, Nifty Heatmap Can easily scan for:

- Long Build up = Price Up and OI up
- Long Unwinding = Price Down and OI down
- Short Buildup = Price Down and OI up
- Short Covering = Price Up and OI down

Price levels of OI being added:

• Check 15 mins Built-up in any stock
• Can find Intraday Bullish and bearish trend
• Eg of IBUL who was down 5% on Friday. Short Built-up had started in the morning itself.
• Shows the quantities which are being traded in those intervals.

Time Intervals:

• There are 25, time intervals available every day.

• If a stock has to go up or down a lot it will be heavily dominated in these time intervals.

• IBUL had 10 times short built up on Friday. -5.79 %

• ITC had 14 long built-ups on Friday. +2.6%.

#RSI is a common indicator which most of us use in the stock market.

This learning thread would be on
"𝙐𝙨𝙚𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙍𝙎𝙄"

Like👍 & Retweet🔄 for wider reach and for more such learning thread in the future.

Also, an investment strategy is shared using RSI in the end.

1/16

Setup 1:

RSI- commonly used to show whether price is overbought or oversold.

General rule:
𝐑𝐒𝐈 > 𝟕𝟎 -- 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭
𝐑𝐒𝐈 < 𝟑𝟎 -- 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐨𝐥𝐝

One becomes cautious once price becomes overbought and optimistic when price becomes oversold.

2/16

Let's understand this with an example of Laurus Labs:

1. It was in overbought zone and after a few days when a small dip was seen from 693 to 588 (15% downside)

2. It was in oversold zone and after a few days when a small rally was seen from 59 to 107 (82% upside)

3/16

Well, this looks very easy, but it is not.

When a price is in overbought zone and is in momentum, then it can move up without taking a dip and exiting or shorting stock would prove wrong.

When IRCTC was in overbought zone, price went up from 2718 to 6396 (135% rally).

4/16

Similarly, for oversold stock.

When a price is in oversold zone and is crashing, then it can move down without taking an upmove and buying stock would prove wrong.

When DHFL was in oversold zone, price went down from 126 to 11 (91% crash).

5/16

(1/3)

I am using only one indicator in the chart.
i.e DC(20) = Donchain Channel
I use 3 min chart and the DC period is 20, so DC high is basically the last 1 hour high & DC low is the last 1 hour low.
The middle line is the median of high and low.

(2/3)

Donchian channels are mainly used to identify the breakout of nifty/BNF.
We can take directional bias based on the indicator.
If nifty is breaking DC high, can take bullish view.
if it is breaking DC down, can take bearish view.
if it is in between, can trade range-bound.

(3/3)

We can monitor nifty/banknifty futures with volume along with DC.
If the volume is 1.5 to 2 times the average volume and if DC high/low is taken out then it can be a strong bullish/bearish signal.

#USDINR is headed towards is All time highs this month

High USD oil + high USDINR = big headwinds