Yup, autocorrect. 😅
More from Sahil Sharma
Most of market does not beat the market by a lot. Which is alright.
In any activity the distribution of outcomes follows bell curve (Gaussian).
Those that are willing to put in effort reap the benefits. 😀
Otherwise we always have option to go for hard working PM's/etf/mf
For lot of consumer facing cos scuttlebutt is actually not that hard. We find reviews online (eg: app reviews on playstore, or reviews of products on social media)
B2B is hard to scuttlebutt, need to reach out to people in co and hope that are willing to talk. Connections help
In any activity the distribution of outcomes follows bell curve (Gaussian).
Those that are willing to put in effort reap the benefits. 😀
Otherwise we always have option to go for hard working PM's/etf/mf
Things to need to do before you buy a stock. I wonder though how many investors have the ability for item numbers 5, 6 & 7. I don't pic.twitter.com/E5AMVxbpNb
— Prashanth (@Prashanth_Krish) August 16, 2021
For lot of consumer facing cos scuttlebutt is actually not that hard. We find reviews online (eg: app reviews on playstore, or reviews of products on social media)
B2B is hard to scuttlebutt, need to reach out to people in co and hope that are willing to talk. Connections help
what better way to start sunday than a #kilpest thread: a classic peter lynch pick & shovel investment for the diagnostics sector. If you like the thread, please retweet this tweet to help educate max investors. 🙏🙏
Before I dive into Kilpest, some words on microcap investing. Everyone **needs** to be aware of what they are signing up for.
Two interviews from @varinder_bansal sir’s Omkara capital with very successful microcap investors (one with @iancassel sir: https://t.co/WDSOOIcUn8 ...
@iancassel & one with @hiddengemsindia sir: https://t.co/iC8iKOsKWz) do a wonderful job explaining all the landmines & things to keep in mind. Do watch these, please before you buy any #microcap
@iancassel @hiddengemsindia My own take is that one has to create a diversified PF of uncorrelated microcaps (if you'd typically invest in 5, make it 10 and so forth). Understand that liquidity risks will always remain.
Which one of these 4 companies should I make next thread on?
— Sahil Sharma (@sahil_vi) June 14, 2021
Before I dive into Kilpest, some words on microcap investing. Everyone **needs** to be aware of what they are signing up for.
Two interviews from @varinder_bansal sir’s Omkara capital with very successful microcap investors (one with @iancassel sir: https://t.co/WDSOOIcUn8 ...
@iancassel & one with @hiddengemsindia sir: https://t.co/iC8iKOsKWz) do a wonderful job explaining all the landmines & things to keep in mind. Do watch these, please before you buy any #microcap
@iancassel @hiddengemsindia My own take is that one has to create a diversified PF of uncorrelated microcaps (if you'd typically invest in 5, make it 10 and so forth). Understand that liquidity risks will always remain.
A lot of people ask: how do you find companies to invest in? very good question.
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. 🙏
1. https://t.co/2bvvRSBScr
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
"Market Capitalization > 50
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
...
Operating cash flow 5years /5 < Operating cash flow 3years /3
AND
Operating cash flow 7years /7 < Operating cash flow 3years /3"
In this screener, i am looking for
smallcaps with a min mcap,
which have a bare minimum average ROCE & valuation accordance to the unit economics
which are also growing topline
and where operating cash flows are also increasing, on an average basis
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. 🙏
1. https://t.co/2bvvRSBScr
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
"Market Capitalization > 50
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
...
Operating cash flow 5years /5 < Operating cash flow 3years /3
AND
Operating cash flow 7years /7 < Operating cash flow 3years /3"
In this screener, i am looking for
smallcaps with a min mcap,
which have a bare minimum average ROCE & valuation accordance to the unit economics
which are also growing topline
and where operating cash flows are also increasing, on an average basis
More from Ds
1/
Get a cup of coffee.
In this thread, I'll walk you through 2 probability concepts: Standard Deviation (SD) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD).
This will give you insight into Fat Tails -- which are super useful in investing and in many other fields.
2/
Recently, I watched 2 probability "mini-lectures" on YouTube by Nassim Taleb.
One ~10 min lecture covered SD and MAD. The other ~6 min lecture covered Fat Tails.
In these ~16 mins, @nntaleb shared so many useful nuggets that I had to write this thread to unpack them.
3/
For those curious, here are the YouTube links to the lectures:
SD and MAD (~10 min): https://t.co/0TwubymdE6
Fat Tails (~6 min):
4/
The first thing to understand is the concept of a Random Variable.
In essence, a Random Variable is a number that depends on a random event.
For example, when we roll a die, we get a Random Variable -- a number from the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
5/
Every Random Variable has a Probability Distribution.
This tells us all the possible values the Random Variable can take, and their respective probabilities.
For example, when we roll a fair die, we get a Random Variable with this Probability Distribution:
Get a cup of coffee.
In this thread, I'll walk you through 2 probability concepts: Standard Deviation (SD) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD).
This will give you insight into Fat Tails -- which are super useful in investing and in many other fields.
2/
Recently, I watched 2 probability "mini-lectures" on YouTube by Nassim Taleb.
One ~10 min lecture covered SD and MAD. The other ~6 min lecture covered Fat Tails.
In these ~16 mins, @nntaleb shared so many useful nuggets that I had to write this thread to unpack them.
3/
For those curious, here are the YouTube links to the lectures:
SD and MAD (~10 min): https://t.co/0TwubymdE6
Fat Tails (~6 min):
4/
The first thing to understand is the concept of a Random Variable.
In essence, a Random Variable is a number that depends on a random event.
For example, when we roll a die, we get a Random Variable -- a number from the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
5/
Every Random Variable has a Probability Distribution.
This tells us all the possible values the Random Variable can take, and their respective probabilities.
For example, when we roll a fair die, we get a Random Variable with this Probability Distribution:
