BC OPTIONSLEARNINGS
Saved by @SAnngeri

🧵*Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 7th Oct Expiry* 🧵

To form a view, let's have a look at both:
1. Technicals
2. Data

Also, 3 strategies to deploy for:
1. Aggressive Traders
2. Moderate Risk Traders
3. Low-Risk Traders

 1. Technicals

Let's start with technicals. We'll look at -
1. Daily charts.
2. Hourly / 60 min charts.
3. 15 min charts.

Formed an indecisive candle on the daily timeframe right at support. Unless we sustain below 36900 for 15 mins, the probability of a bounce is high.
2. 15 min charts.

Above Friday's High on 15 min charts, if we sustain that level for 15 mins can sell strangles.

If we gap down on Monday, only selling calls would be a good idea as the probability of the market going below 36900 would increase.
3. Hourly / 60 min charts.

On hourly charts, wait for a 1 hour close above 37900 levels to again look for Future buy opportunities.

The structure of Lower high and lower low will change to a higher high here.
Option chain data.

Shows a stiff resistance at 38000 levels. There was an addition in put writing at 37000 levels, expecting them to run for cover if 36900 breaks.

Positions haven't been built a lot so best is to wait for a day or two.
Strategies to deploy?

1. Aggressive Traders

Can sell 37500 calls if market sustains below 36900 for 15 mins.

Should get around 100-150 rs for your sold call that time.

ROI is around 2.5%.
2. Moderate Risk Traders

Expecting all puts below 36200 to expire at 0 & Calls above 38500 to expire at zero too.

If the market sustains 15 mins above Friday High can sell strangles of 36200 and 38400.

ROI is approximately 1.8%.
3. Low-Risk Traders

Sell puts below 35800 and calls above 38700.

I have chosen a strangle of 35600 and 38900 for you. Fetches you approximately 1% ROI.

You guys should be targeting 2% per month and playing far away from spot levels of BNF.

4 expires per month to make 0.50%.
Let us see how this analysis plays out, if you have other ideas on how to trade this week let me know in the comments.

Good luck! 😁✌️

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A THREAD on . . . .

How @ITRADE191 selects strikes to trade in and how he follows risk management.

Short thread explained via pictures with the help of @niki_poojary.

1. At the start of the week

i.e. on Friday and Monday, DJ Sir prefers to sell OTM options of 50 rs premium in Nifty.

- ATM options won't decay a lot at the beginning
- With this premium reward is good
- Since these strikes are 4-5 strikes away they are relatively safer


2. On Tue/Wed/Fri

He prefers to trade in ATM or near OTM options.

- ATM options have the highest theta decay
- Since there are only 2-3 days to expiry options sellers by default have a higher probability of winning
- Huge reward if market stays flat


3. Directional/Trending days

- Capture huge profit via ATM option selling
- Futures only where he has good conviction
- Even if doesn't trend much decay will be huge
- Only on days Tuesday to Thursday


4. Which series to trade options in?

- INTRADAY trades option selling is ONLY in weekly expiry
- Option buying for hedging is done MAJORLY in next week/monthly expiry
- This way we have time to adjust
- Theta decay slower than weekly
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Here are my top 10 best tweets of the week: 24th September.

• Stocks to buy & hold forever
• Companies which will always be in business
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Have covered:
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2. Workbook
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1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.


2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.


3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.


4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
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Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
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Learn it and you can make money faster than ever.

Use these 3 Threads to master Saving Taxes in the next 5 min:

Collaborated with @niki_poojary:

First of all, you need to open a company account if you want to save the highest


1) If you are earning more than 50 lakhs, study this thread.

Listed out the benefits of trading in a corporate


2) How can Individuals save on taxes.

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How to use a corporate account to lower taxes drastically

A comprehensive 🧵 :

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll find in this thread:

1. Forming a Private Ltd Company
2. How you get surcharge benefits
3. Loans
4. Paid up Capital
5. NBFC license required?
6. When should you think about opening a company?

Let's go: ↓

1. Make a Pvt Ltd Company.

Form a company with family members and trade under it.

The family members should be directors of the company. Will explain why later.

Why form a company?

You will only need to pay 25% flat tax.

Individuals have to pay 30% tax above 10 lakh profits.

2. Surcharge Benefits:

You will be charged a lower surcharge in a corporate account.

Check the picture below:


Total Tax Outlay:

The total tax outlay for individuals is 30% plus surcharge.

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A THREAD

Topic: HOW TO TRADE IN RISING PREMIUMS SCENARIO

Option sellers specially Straddle sellers feel that rising premiums give them excellent opportunity to make easy money. So what they are seeing is the theta aspect of options & ignoring the delta/gamma/vega forces.

1/

With rising premiums come high delta moves. There is a reason why premiums are all increasing up in the first place. High uncertainty & fear is what's controlling the markets during such times. So a volatile 200 point move in nifty is always on the cards.

2/

Adjusting during such delta moves involves high slippages. Such costs go in our system & are irrecoverable. So if the ATM straddle is around 400 & after 200 point downmove, the next straddle is at 450 & the loss is not just 50points but compounded much more.

3/

Also there are chances that there is no decay throughout the day. So a straddle seller has to take that heavy risk of carrying it forward & chances of gap openings are high during such times. If converted into Ironfly, then the cost of the wings is too expensive.

4/

Thus cutting down the initial credit significantly.

There will also be very few instances when premiums don't fall till expiry day. So with each delta move the cost of holding a straddle gets accumulated & pressure keeps mounting for the stubborn option sellers.

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We don't have to be smarter than
the rest. We have to be more disciplined than the rest. - Warren Buffett.
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Try to explain Nifty future trade here
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If you trade in nifty then keep watching Reliance and IT index closely.. if you do BNF then hdfc bank, ICICI, SBI, Kotak
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Conditions :
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2)Candle close above previous 5 candle high
3) RSI above 60
4) Volume above previous 5 candles
5) ADX above 30
1/n

Select Double Moving Average 8 and 34
2/n


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4/n


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