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Oh for crying out loud. I don't know anyone who thinks we can get R below 0.9 with this new variant. It's 22 virus generations to even get from 50,000 cases to 5,000 at R=0.9 - that's 4 months. TTI is a complete fantasy right now: spend the money on the vaccine rollout. https://t.co/MyeBt8tC1w
— Oliver Johnson (@BristOliver) January 3, 2021
During wave 1 cases fell very fast, faster than I think most people were expecting. Particularly in Scotland. Rt was probably ~0.5 until we started easing off.
This was despite a constant leak of cases coming out of hospitals and LTC facilities as we were rationing PPE and are policies were nowhere near ideal. There was insistence from infection control that droplet protections were sufficient. We have all learned a lot since then.
Not to mention we have learned to avoid the shit show of actively importing cases into care homes. We've learned not to repeat that. Other sectors have learned too.
We've learned a lot and there's no reason we can't control this new variant. But we will not manage if we don't try and act with clarity of purpose.
A thread in 15 parts
(0/15)
Recall that a quasigroup (Q,*) is a set Q with a binary operation * such that for each a,b in Q, the equations a*x=b and y*a=b have unique solutions x,y. Groups are quasigroups and this property is usually one of the first things proved in elementary group theory.
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Note that we don't assume associativity of *!
A loop is a quasigroup with an identity element. The story of why they are called loops is an interesting one and may even be true, but I will save it for another day. I am going to focus on loops in this thread.
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Natural examples of nonassociative loops:
- The nonzero octonions under multiplication
- The sphere S^7 under octonion multiplication
- I have discussed other examples
Rethinking Vector Addition
— Michael Kinyon (@ProfKinyon) December 1, 2020
or
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Nonassociativity
A thread in 29 tweets
(0/28)
For each x in a loop Q, define the left & right translations L_x, R_x : Q->Q by L_x(y)=xy and R_x(y)=yx. These mappings are permutations of Q. The composition L_x L_y of two left translations is not necessarily a left translation because Q is not necessarily associative.
(4/15)
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Like company moats, your personal moat should be a competitive advantage that is not only durable—it should also compound over time.
Characteristics of a personal moat below:
I'm increasingly interested in the idea of "personal moats" in the context of careers.
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) November 22, 2018
Moats should be:
- Hard to learn and hard to do (but perhaps easier for you)
- Skills that are rare and valuable
- Legible
- Compounding over time
- Unique to your own talents & interests https://t.co/bB3k1YcH5b
2/ Like a company moat, you want to build career capital while you sleep.
As Andrew Chen noted:
People talk about \u201cpassive income\u201d a lot but not about \u201cpassive social capital\u201d or \u201cpassive networking\u201d or \u201cpassive knowledge gaining\u201d but that\u2019s what you can architect if you have a thing and it grows over time without intensive constant effort to sustain it
— Andrew Chen (@andrewchen) November 22, 2018
3/ You don’t want to build a competitive advantage that is fleeting or that will get commoditized
Things that might get commoditized over time (some longer than
Things that look like moats but likely aren\u2019t or may fade:
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) November 22, 2018
- Proprietary networks
- Being something other than one of the best at any tournament style-game
- Many "awards"
- Twitter followers or general reach without "respect"
- Anything that depends on information asymmetry https://t.co/abjxesVIh9
4/ Before the arrival of recorded music, what used to be scarce was the actual music itself — required an in-person artist.
After recorded music, the music itself became abundant and what became scarce was curation, distribution, and self space.
5/ Similarly, in careers, what used to be (more) scarce were things like ideas, money, and exclusive relationships.
In the internet economy, what has become scarce are things like specific knowledge, rare & valuable skills, and great reputations.