1/ Thoughts on Disney's Analyst Day.

Obviously a longtime Disney D2C bull; I was astounded, shocked by slate's quality, range, volume.

This is Disney going beyond a digital "Vault" plus originals. It is saying all of your favorite stories, more,

2/ Not just a stronger Disney+, but one that hugely raises the tablestakes of competition, growth, press coverage, notability.

Paramount+ plans new Star Trek year round. Feels quaint now. Peacock will have a Jurassic Park + Fast series eventually. Cool.

https://t.co/yaH4k4L1GA
3/ In "Content, Cars, and Comparisons in the 'Streaming Wars'", I wrote about how Disney $1B in content spend gets several billion of equivalent spend through its resonance

Mando was a top 5 show per @ParrotAnalytics in 2019. Disney thinks it can have 10 "Top 5s" a year.
4/ Trade talk can be misleading, but it takes only a cursory look at Twitter, the most popular shows of the past decade (Walking Dead, Thrones, Mando, Stranger Things), Disney's dominance at the box office (8 of top 10 in 2019) and wonder how to beat this

https://t.co/t8l0tQvuu1
5/ Roadmap doesn't just suck oxygen out of streaming wars (as Netflix did from 2014-18), it will enable Disney+ to rapidly grow its price

If I pay $54 a year to use Disney+ for 2 months, what happens when it's year-round?

Worth $15 month in 2023.

https://t.co/wyLkyzfqi8
6/ Disney obviously sandbagged its original 60-90MM estimate, but elevating this forecast to 230-260MM on the same time horizon, one year in, has to be the largest elevation at a company of this size... ever?
7/ Disney spoke about how much more popular Disney+ was with households without kids. That's key.

At the same time, half of those I know with kids... had set-up iPads for their kids to watch a four hour corporate event... out of enthusiasm for Disney+. That's unreplicable
8/ This is an impossibly great company. And still surprised.

From Oct 2019:
Disney, IP, and "Returns to Marginal Affinity"
https://t.co/8Rapc2gHi4
https://t.co/KDwt3Lh2c9
9/ Also important is to note the extraordinary talent Disney was able to attract despite (1) Capped backends; (2) IP constraints; (3) Disney+ centric distribution.

Darren Aronofsky making Disney+ docuseries? Patty Jenkins doing Star Wars? Amy Adams doing an Enchanted 2?

More from Economy

Interesting thread, but I don't think ecosocialists or degrowthers are arguing that if German socialists had come to power the world would be green by now. Socialism is not automatically green. Eco-socialism is what it says - a green version of socialism - to be tested /1


The historical counterfactual also in not totally convincing. So let's assume Germany and Europe went socialist. The world economy would have evolved exactly the same way it did? 🤔 I doubt it, this is too deterministic. Examples: /2

We do not know if the transition from coal to oil would have taken place when it took place, the way it did. From Timothy Mitchell we know that oil was a fix for capitalism to bypass the labour strikes of coal workers. One would think that socialists would treat workers better /3

We also do not know if socialist governments would strong arm the Middle East the way capitalists did, starting wars to secure cheap oil, and setting up puppet governments. One would want to think that Rosa Luxembourg would not go down that path..../4

We also do not know if they would have continued colonial unequal exchange, extracting raw materials as cheap as possible from the rest of the world. Without cheap oil and cheap materials, it is anyone's guess if GDP and CO2 would be where it is now. /5

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