BC CRYPTO
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1/ “Bitcoin is better at being gold than gold” - SkyBridge Capital

@Scaramucci 's SkyBridge Capital released their investment thesis for their new Bitcoin Fund LP. They go a step further than other investors in why they are actively choosing bitcoin over gold

A thread 👇

 2/ SkyBridge Capital’s main fund, with $9.3B AUM, had invested ~$182M in BTC. In Dec., they announced they were raising a new, separate Bitcoin only fund and already transferring ~$25M of BTC into it
3/ Today they opened to accredited investors w/ min invstmnt of at $50K. This Bitcoin LP won’t trade BUT you only pay 0.75% annual fee and no premium, the portfolio is priced by Bloomberg’s fixed rate (XBT). In contrast, GBTC trades OTC, a 2% yr fee, and a premium to BTC’s price
4/ Their website is a vast library of info. Not just their Offering Memo, pres. & investment thesis. It also includes:
- FAQ videos (Michael Saylor features and Scaramucci has cited him as a major influence)
- Readings on Bitcoin (@real_vijay The Bullish Case for Bitcoin)
5/ Towards the bottom of the page, they also take a dig at GBTC’s premium and offer to walk through a “GBTC swap” to their fund. They understand the hurdles that many traditional investors face in investing into BTC and lean into it

https://t.co/gQBrGYKy7m
6/ But more enjoyable than reading digs at GBTC, is reading the digs on Gold. Because, as other large institutional investors have recently bought Bitcoin, they have largely done so while also still holding gold
7/ An example - Ruffer’s $775M bitcoin ($27B AUM) buy through their multi strat fund (~2.5% of the portfolio) was a huge step...but still small compared to their gold and inflation linked bonds holdings…
8/ Another example - The head of global equities at Jefferies cut the gold exposure in the long-only pension funds in favor of Bitcoin...but BTC remains 5% allocation vs. 65% Gold bullion/mining
9/ With a Bitcoin only LP, there’s no getting around the question of “why BTC vs. gold?.” SkyBridge needs to tackle it head on, and they do. Their investment thesis is 10 pages (not including legal disclaimers) and ~1/3 are why gold is inferior to BTC and how BTC will be gold 2.0
10/ They quickly establish that there is a need for a deflationary asset - increasing debt, increasing money supply, low interest rates

They then quickly ask is “Gold to the rescue?”

No.
11/ The major points for pro BTC vs. gold?
- Fixed vs. limited supply (G increases ~1.25%/yr)
- Tech industry will be primary driver of marginal wealth creation(a digital asset fits)
- More wealth is being transferred to Millennials- transferability/storage of BTC fits this demo
12/ A summary graphic is also included
13/ The SkyBridge presentation expands on Gold 2.0 even further - why Bitcoin is superior and uses gold as an example of potential growth

As they say in the opening page, “Bitcoin is better at being gold than gold”
14/ The presentation and thesis continue with covering the halvings, growing adoption and bitcoin as a portfolio diversifier, but my favorite part remains an institutional investor directly addressing the question of why Bitcoin over gold?
15/ TL;DR: The launch of the SkyBridge Bitcoin LP is another strong step in Bitcoin’s adoption by investors

1) They address the problematic premium w/ GBTC for investors
2) They address head on why an institutional investor would choose Bitcoin over gold

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As a “lifelong” technician, I am finding that bitcoin lends itself well to technical analysis. Here is my take on the recent price action. (THREAD)

Elliott Wave Theory: Looking at the chart pattern since the recent high of 64,870, I can't help but notice that a textbook 5-wave decline may be unfolding. According to EWT, primary trends move in 5 waves and corrections are 3 waves. /2

The typical progression is that wave 1 is generally dismissed as noise, then wave 2 is a sharp and deep retracement of wave 1 (at least 62% but sometimes 75% or more), which creates the false comfort that it was indeed just a minor correction. /3

Then wave 3 comes & that's the big one. It's called the recognition wave & is typically the longest & most impulsive wave (usually 1.618x wave 1). /4

After the wave 3 low, the 4th wave is often a triangle or "zigzag" (a triangle pattern that retraces much less of wave 3 than wave 2 did of wave 1). A rule of thumb is 38%. Finally we get wave 5, which is often equal to wave 1, but often also less (0.618x). /5
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Alex Kr\xfcger
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Options used to be close to irrelevant for bitcoin's price.

Until now.

At current price levels, hedging large option notionals has a major impact on price.

Here's a quick thread on options 👇

Let's start with the meaning of delta.

Delta is the rate of change of an option's price relative to a change in the price of its underlying.

For example, the price of a 50 delta option will move 50% as much as the underlying.

For practical purposes, think of it as how much of the underlying you have:

- if long 50 delta call on 1 BTC => long 0.5 BTC
- if long 50 delta put on 1 BTC => short 0.5 BTC
- if short 50 delta call on 1 BTC => short 0.5 BTC
- if short 50 delta put on 1 BTC => long 0.5 BTC

An option where the option's strike (i.e. exercise price) is equal to current spot price is known as an at-the-money option (ATM). ATM options have a delta of 50, while deep in the money options have a delta of close to 100.

Can also think of delta as probability. A 50 delta option has a 50% chance of expiring in the money.

For a call, the higher price goes => the more in the money the call => the higher the delta.

Once delta gets close to 100, odds are ~100% the option will expire in the money.
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Sahil Bloom
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Lindy Effect 101

With Bitcoin's return to the spotlight, debates on its long-term viability are raging. Its proponents contend @nntaleb's Lindy Effect says the technology is here to stay.

But what is the "Lindy Effect" and how does it work?

Here's Lindy Effect 101!

👇👇👇


1/ First, a few definitions.

The Lindy Effect is a theory that the future life expectancy of specific non-perishable items, like a technology or idea, is proportional to their age.

Put simply, the longer it has already lasted, the higher the likelihood it will continue to last.

2/ The term "Lindy effect" is a reference to Lindy's, a New York deli frequented by comedians in the 1960s.

While author Albert Goldman used the term "Lindy's Law" in a 1964 article, it was mathematician Benoit Mandlebrot who moved the dialogue towards the current definition.


3/ In his book, entitled The Fractal Geometry of Nature, Mandlebrot commented that the more stage appearances a Lindy's comedian made, the more future appearances he could be predicted to make.

The longer he lasted, the longer he would continue to last.

4/ @nntaleb built upon Mandelbrot's work, formally coining the term "Lindy Effect" in his book, Antifragile.

He noted the Lindy Effect with books - the longer a book has been in print, the longer it is likely to survive.

With no natural upper bound, power laws come into play.
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Emperor\U0001f451
Emperor👑
@EmperorBTC
🚨Altcoin Trading Indicator🚨

How to use it. A THREAD.

Please Share.

To use it to buy Altcoins and make a high probability entry, the following conditions needs to be fulfilled.

For a long.
1. A green candle Closes above the cross.
2. Heikin Ashi candle turns green.
3. Price should be above 0.236 Fib from the swing high.


How to add the Indicator.

1. Click on the link and Add it to favorites and apply.
https://t.co/Kn90qgDjMi

2. Or Search it in the tab and then apply it.


The indicator itself the most comprehensive Moving Average Indicator which provides 9 MAs and 13 Different times of MAs.

The base of the indicator was by @insiliconot.

To further enhance it, I have added a cross indicator on the cross which works the best historically on Alts.


Condition 1- The cross.

Entry is made when a Cross occurs on the EMA 13/21.
The indicator automatically indicators the Cross with P for a positive cross or N for a negative cross.

This is the first condition for an Entry.
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\U0001f42e Mikko Ohtamaa
🐮 Mikko Ohtamaa...
@moo9000
1/ Welcome to #DeFi Wednesday.

Let's talk about how interest-bearing cash on a blockchain is going to revolutionise boring corporate treasury management that concerns every company is is a larger business than all crypto trading in the world.

Enter the thread

👇👇👇


2/ Blockchain community is often seen as toxic maxis and redditors who shill other their weekly favourite shitcoin in the hope of getting Lambo.

Sometimes we also do things that progress humanity towards the better future and interest-bearing cash is one of those things.


3/ Less chad and more things that actually matter:

My incomplete theory of interest-bearing cash is also available also as a blog post:

https://t.co/uiG0fZiVyu

It is 15 pages. Pick your slow poison or die fast by continue reading here.

4/ First time in the history we have an ability to create interest-bearing cash-like instruments.

Interest-bearing cash ticks up dollar (euro) balance real-time in your wallet.

Here is a demonstration using @aaveaave aDAI, based on @makerdao DAI, and @TrustWalletApp


5/ Interest-bearing cash is not like your bank's saving account. Your money in a bank is not yours, but bank's. There are some flaws in the current banking system causing a headache for Chief Financial Officers (CFOs)
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The QFS can and will transplant funds into a bank account as has been explained earlier,/3

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Further Examination of the Motif near PRRA Reveals Close Structural Similarity to the SEB Superantigen as well as Sequence Similarities to Neurotoxins and a Viral SAg.

The insertion PRRA together with 7 sequentially preceding residues & succeeding R685 (conserved in β-CoVs) form a motif, Y674QTQTNSPRRAR685, homologous to those of neurotoxins from Ophiophagus (cobra) and Bungarus genera, as well as neurotoxin-like regions from three RABV strains

(20) (Fig. 2D). We further noticed that the same segment bears close similarity to the HIV-1 glycoprotein gp120 SAg motif F164 to V174.
https://t.co/EwwJOSa8RK


In (B), the segment S680PPRAR685 including the PRRA insert and highly conserved cleavage site *R685* is shown in van der Waals representation (black labels) and nearby CDR residues of the TCRVβ domain are labeled in blue/white
https://t.co/BsY8BAIzDa


Sequence Identity %
https://t.co/BsY8BAIzDa
Y674 - QTQTNSPRRA - R685
Similar to neurotoxins from Ophiophagus (cobra) & Bungarus genera & neurotoxin-like regions from three RABV strains
T678 - NSPRRA- R685
Superantigenic core, consistently aligned against bacterial or viral SAgs
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RANI GAIDINLIU:THE LESSER KNOWN FREEDOM FIGHTER

Rani Gaidinliu joined the freedom struggle at 13 &was sentenced to life imprisonment at 16."We r free people—the White should not rule over us.”Thus calling out to her Zeliangrong tribesmen was the voice of 13yr-old Rani Gaidinliu.


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