The Sovereign Individual (1999) is a guide for navigating the current transition from Industrial to Information Age.

Remarkably, it predicted the rise of 'digital gold'.

“If our deductions are correct, you stand at the threshold of the most sweeping revolution in history.”

A🧵

1/ "Widespread adoption of public-key/private-key encryption technologies will soon allow many economic activities to be completed anywhere you please."

"Many transactions in the Information Age will not need to be domiciled in any territorial sovereignty at all."
2/ From Monopoly to Competition

"This new economic dynamic directly contradicts the desire of government left over from the industrial era to impose monopoly pricing for its protection services."
3/ The Death of Seignorage

"In the past, megapolitical transitions have been associated with changes in the character of money."

"As cybercommerce begins, it will lead inevitably to cybermoney."

"..this new cybermoney will be denationalized."
4/ "Any individual or firm with access to cyberspace will be able to easily shift out of any currency that appears in danger of depreciation."
5/ "While paper money will no doubt remain in circulation as a residual medium of exchange for the poor and computer-illiterate, money for high-value transactions will be privatized."
6/ "..the new digital gold.. will be almost impossible to counterfeit for the fundamental mathematical reason that it is all but impossible to unravel the product of multihundred-digit prime numbers. All receipts will be verifiably unique."
7/ "The verifiability of the digital receipts rules out this classic expedient for expropriating wealth through inflation."

As "there is no intrinsic necessity that currency depreciate or that the nominal cost of living rise every year."
8/ Privatizing Money

"Hayek argued in 1976 that the use of competitive, private currencies would eradicate inflation.. Any issuer of a private currency failing to maintain its value would soon lose its customers."
9/ "The new digital gold will overcome many of the practical problems that inhibited direct use of gold as money in the past."

"Digital receipts will not be too heavy to carry.. Nor will it be difficult to divide.. into units small enough to pay for even microvalue purchases."
10/ "The capacity of digital money to deliver micropayments will facilitate the emergence of new types of businesses that heretofore could not have existed, specializing in organizing the distribution of low-value information."
11/ "the most momentous consequence of the new digital money will be the end of inflation and the deleveraging of the financial system. The economic implications are profound."
12/ "The death of inflation will take away the disguised profits that inflation previously conveyed to those who were monopolistic issuers of currency."

Additionally, "they will lose a major part of their indirect capacity to commandeer resources."
13/ "This will create a dilemma for Western gov'ts. They will face a sharp drop in revenue from taxation and the virtual elimination of leverage in the monetary system. At the same time, they will retain the unfunded liabilities and inflated expectations for social spending.."
14/ "The result to be expected is an intense fiscal crisis with many unpleasant social side effects.. The economic consequences of this transition will probably include a one-time spike in real interest rates. Debtors will be squeezed.."
15/ "Because it will probably be gold-linked, cybermoney will also benefit from the appreciation of gold. The price of gold will probably rise significantly relative to other commodities.."

Why?
"The real price of gold almost always rises in deflation."
16/ "to compensate the issuers of currency directly.. use of the new monetary system will therefore probably involve a more explicit transaction cost."
17/ "Higher real rates all around will spur liquidation of high-cost, unproductive activities, and temporarily reduce consumption."

Long-term "the liberation of capital to find the highest returns globally, should rapidly compensate for the output lost early in the transition.."
18/ "Conventional thinkers reviewing our argument.. would conclude that the breakdown of income redistribution in the leading nation-states would doom the world to economic collapse. Do not believe it."
19/ "A dramatic improvement in the efficiency of resource use will arise when revenues historically engrossed by governments come to be controlled instead by persons of genuine talent."
20/ "The new stewards of wealth are likely to prove far abler than politicians in utilizing resources and deploying investment... megapolitical conditions will allow the ablest investors and entrepreneurs rather than specialists in violence ultimate control over capital."
21/ "..freedom from predatory violence will allow the cybereconomy to grow at far higher compound rates of growth that conventional economies dominated by nation-states."

"..the cybereconomy will rapidly become the most important new economy of the new millennium."
22/ "If it becomes impossible for politicians to obtain resources to redistribute, the public may respond in a rational way and forget about politics, just as well-intentioned people ceased organizing marches of penitents when the Middle Ages came to an end."
23/ "Setting aside transition difficulties, which could last for decades, the long-term prospects for the global economy should be highly bullish."

---------------
THE END
---------------
If you found this thread interesting, here are some other books you may enjoy:

https://t.co/ATPE2N8D1a

More from Crypto

You are running out of time to get ahead in cryptocurrency.

You know what's coming:

🔺️ Regulation
🔺️ More shutdowns
🔺️ Banks deciding who gets to do business

It's time you got your own crypto wallet.

Don't know how? I'll show you.

/////THREAD\\\\\

METAMASK

What's metamask? It's a wallet. That you -- I mean YOU -- own.

You see, when you buy crypto through an exchange like CoinBase, you own it but only kind of.

If they get

🔺 Hacked
🔺 Shutdown
🔺 Servers crash

-- your money is STUCK.

We are gonna avoid that 👇


First thing,

Go to

https://t.co/JXAp9o5RzJ

You can download it on your computer. It's a browser extension.

Alternatively, go to the app store on your Android or iPhone. It's there too.

As part of the setup process, you will choose a password.

More importantly though...

SEED PHRASE

As you follow the setup process, you will be given a 12-word seed phrase.

WRITE. THIS. DOWN.

Take it down and guard it like the map to Davey Jones' Locker.

THESE ARE THE ONLY WAY TO RECOVER YOUR ACCOUNT.

DO NOT LOSE.

We good? Great.

Let's continue.


Once you're all setup, your MetaMask wallet is going to look something like the picture below.

See where it says Crypto Address? That's where your actual address will be.

It'll be a random arrangement of letters, numbers, etc.

Click on it to copy to your clipboard

NEXT STEP
Excited to share our 2020 #Bitcoin review.

2020 will be remembered as the year the long fabled institutions finally arrived and #Bitcoin became a bonafide macroeconomic asset.

Below are the top highlights of each month for Bitcoin’s historic year.

1/


Bitcoin is now at all-time highs capping off an extremely successful year.

But it was by no means stable ride up.

2020 was a historically volatile year.

@YoungCryptoPM and I provided a detailed overview of every month of 2020 in all its

Jan.

3 days into the new year the US assassinated Iran’s top general Soleimani.

BTC surprisingly reacted to the events behaving like a safe haven as the risk of war increased.

The events provided the first hints of BTC potentially having graduated to a legitimate macro asset.


Feb.

COVID-19 reached a tipping point causing markets to crash.

BTC’s correlation with the S&P 500 reached an ATH in the following weeks.

This is when everyone learned BTC was not a recession hedge, it was a hedge against inflation and loss of confidence in fiat currencies.
https://t.co/JB7dJ3qp6M


Mar.

Financial markets in free fall.

The liquidity crisis was so severe BTC experienced one of it’s worst days ever.

Now known as Black Thursday, on March 12, BTC plummeted as much as 50% to below $4,000 at its lowest point on the day.

BTC closed the day down 40%

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The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.


In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.

In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.

This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.

In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.