1/Closing price different from the last trading price (LTP)

•There is so much noise regarding PE premiums going up or CE premiums losing their value tomorrow morning at the opening ( in case flat).

•Remember that the LTP usually differs from the closing price.

The most valuable aspect in trading you aren't using:

POSITION SIZING

Sizing is the key, you'll make big money only if you own a significant size without compromising on risk.

Here are 10 of them, and they are for free: 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ For a faster growth, one needs to have a bigger size:

• What difference would it make if a stock moves by 300%?

• But then, what if you had only 1% capital allocation?

• Despite the stock performing spectacularly, your account won't reflect the same, due to small sizing.

2/ Three types of position sizing:

1. Fixed absolute Rupee amount that one is willing to risk.
2. % risk of the total capital.
3. Basis the edge.

Risk tolerance should be taken into consideration while determining appropriate position sizing.

3/ Fixed absolute Rupee Amount:

• Eg: Total capital is Rs. 10 lacs and the max risk per trade is Rs. 7500

• Lets say a stock is trading at 1200 and your SL is 1120 (i.e. your risk per unit us Rs. 1200-1120 =Rs. 80)

• Optimum qty: 7500/80 = 94 units

4/ Percentage risk of total capital:

• Lets say you want to risk 1% of the total capital on each trade.

• Considering the total capital of Rs. 10 lacs, you shall risk Rs. 10,000 i.e. 1% of 10lacs on each trade.

• Quantity to be traded/invested calculation remains the same.

Sep 23, 2021 - Weekly expiry, preceded by the FOMC meet and not to mention the gap up which then turned out to be a trending day

Here’s how the strangles were converted into straddles & how the positions were managed!

Time for a Thread 🧵

• Wednesday night (IST) there was an event, FOMC meet
• Markets were jittery, as they say, when US sneezes the world catches cold
• Both Dow & Nifty were weak
• All eyes were fixed on the Fed Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s take on interest rate and the pace of asset purchases

• So didn’t wanted to get caught on the wrong side, hence on Wednesday noon Shorted a strangle
• ~700-800 points away from where the BNF was about to close i.e. 37k levels
• 37800 CE @ 43 & 37700 CE @ 34 & 36200 PE 28 & 36300 PE at 34

• On Wednesday 37K strike witnessed heavy CE & PE Open interest 2.5mn & 2mn of CE & PE writing respectively

• On Wed night, the cat was out of the bag and Mr. Powell kept interest rates at zero & continued the current pace of asset purchases
• Dow celebrated the news and on Thursday morning (weekly expiry) i.e. Sep 23, 2021 BNF opened with a gap up of ~300 points and opened at 37241

@Kunaljain_007 #HDFCBANK
Flag & pennant formation

Options trading is luring a lot of inexperienced traders who are looking for supernormal gains.

However, most of them end up losing money as they aren't familiar with the basics yet.

8 basics you must know before placing your next trade 🧵:

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Option Premium consists of two things:

i) Intrinsic value which represents how much money the option would be worth if it were to expire right now.

ii) Time value represents the premium you pay since the option does not expire right now.

2/ Intrinsic value:

•It is the difference between the strike price and the asset's current market price when the difference is positive.

•Intrinsic value for ITM calls> 0.

•Positive payoff for the buyer.

3/ Example of identifying ITM options:

4/ Time value aka Theta:

• Theta represents the time value decline of an options contract.

•Time value is the additional amount over & above Intrinsic value.

•Time value on an option with 20 days to expiry > Time value on an option with 2 days to expiry.

How to make 1% consistently via Option Selling?

• Analyzing the trend
• Selling OTM's
• Making adjustments
• Capturing trending move
• Without big drawdowns
• Right Position Sizing
• Risk Management

Here are the 11 aspects to focus on:

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1. Analyze the trend:

To begin with, determine whether Bank Nifty is trending, consolidating, or stuck in a range.

Why?

Cause we can predict what it will do then.

2. How many points to capture?

The margin required for selling one lot is around Rs. 1.5 lakh for a strangle.

If we earn around Rs. 1500 on one lot, we would make 1% return on our capital.

1500/25 = 60 points

Either sell directional 60 and make it zero.

Or 30-30 both sides.

3. How do we begin in the weekly expiry?

Can tend to skip Friday's as there are two days holiday.

In those 2 days market has ample time to come out with news, react to SGX and so forth.

So from a R:R perspective it is not great to carry from Friday.

Even the decay isn't huge if you see unless there's a big gap and you are on the correct size of it.

The Weekly candle also is from Monday to Friday.

So at Friday EOD we know how the weekly candle looks as well.

High accuracy #MACD strategy for #shortterm #mediumterm swing trades and investment.

1. Never buy a stock with monthly MACD (12,26,9) below signal line.
2. Buy a stock when monthly MACD(12,26,9) just crossed and settled above signal line.
Who wants screener on this strategy?

𝗠𝘂𝗹𝘁𝗶𝗕𝗮𝗴𝗴𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝟮-𝟱𝘅 𝗦𝘁𝗼𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗦𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿

Explained in only 3 tweets 🧵🧵

Gold standard info if you can use

𝗞𝗶𝗻𝗱𝗹𝘆 𝗥𝗲-𝗧𝘄𝗲𝗲𝘁 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗠𝗮𝘅 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵🙏🙏

1) Screening using chart Ink -

Create a screener to find EMAs confluence 20-50-100-200 on weekly time frame.

Here is the screener created just now

2) Now do manual screening by sorting from high volume and find the stocks that have corrected well on chart -

Look at Mirza International -

- Base formed after correction
- EMAs confluence
- Pump to 3.5x in less than a year
- Enter when candle closes above EMAs confluence

3) Last Step is to do some Fundamental Screening -

- Debt is manageable
- Cash flow not reducing
- Operations expanding ?
- Read more what's in pipeline
- Compare with peers and check if its undervalued
- Check the forecasts of that sector

Enter if passes in above

Join Telegram for more such learning

IN TRADING, THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND!

Buying a weak stock and Selling a strong stock is a crime in trading.

Sharing 3 SIMPLE methods that a buyer can use to identify strong stocks in an uptrend and increase the probability of success.

Sharing screeners link to help you out!

1/ Near All-Time High Screener:

Stocks that are bullish have the characteristics that they continue to make new highs. One of the best ways to identify such stocks is to look out for the stocks that are in the 25% range of all-time high levels.

Screener link to identify near all time high

2/ Using 200 EMA for Investing:

Investors can use 200 EMA on the weekly time frame and any stock that is above it can be considered as a strong stock in investment.

Pidilite is above 200 EMA since 2010 and it has created enormous wealth for investors.

This screener can be used to identify a list of stocks that are above 200 EMA on the weekly time frame and are strong stocks to