I own 7 stocks that are 15+ baggers (and counting)

Here are 10 traits they all have in common:

The data:

Stock / # of bags / purchase year:

$AMZN / 15+ / 2010
$FB / 15+ / 2012
$GOOG / 15+ / 2009
$MELI / 15+ / 2011
$CMG / 20+ / 2012
$NFLX / 60+ / 2010
$TSLA / 60+ / 2012
1: Founder-led

$AMZN - Bezos
$CMG - Ells
$FB- Zuck
$GOOG - Page
$MELI- Galperin
$NFLX - Hastings
$TSLA - Musk

Founders tend to be:
+Detail oriented
+Innovative
+Mission driven
+Think long-term
+Have skin/soul in the game

Look for founders!
2: Consumer-facing

All of these companies attract millions/billions of consumers

This eliminates customer concentration risk and enables long-term brand building
3: High sales growth

All of these companies were growing revenue 20%+ BEFORE I bought them

Sales growth is the engine that drives profit growth

Profit growth is the engine that drives stock appreciation

Find companies that can grow sales 20%+ for decades
4: Word of mouth advertising

The best advertising is no advertising

Invest in companies that make products/services that are so good that their customers do all the marketing
5: Category Mindshare

▪️Name an electric car company
▪️Name a search engine
▪️Name a streaming service

The odds are good that you said Tesla, Google, Netflix

Find companies that grab all of the mindshare in an important, emerging market
6: Pricing Power

▪️If $AMZN raised prices, would you notice?
▪️If $CMG raised prices, would you notice?
▪️If $NFLX raised prices, would you cancel?

Find companies that create so much value that they can raise prices and not lose customers
7: Optionality

$AMZN Bookseller ➡️ AWS / Everything Store
$MELI eBay of Latin America ➡️ PayPal of LatAm
$NFLX DVD-by-mail ➡️ Streaming
$TSLA Sports cars ➡️ Energy Storage

Look for companies with innovation & experimentation built into their DNA
8: Massive opportunity

▪️Facebook wants to connect the world
▪️Netflix wants to entertain the world
▪️Tesla wants the world to switch to sustainable transport

All of these opportunities are measured in the hundreds of billions (if not trillions)
9: Widening Moat

All of these companies widened their moat over time

Moat sources:
▪️Network Effect
▪️Switching Costs
▪️Low-cost production
▪️Brand

Look for companies that are building a lasting competitive advantage
10: Distinctive cultures

▪️ $NFLX 125-slide culture presentation

▪️ $TSLA attracts people who believe deeply in Tesla’s mission

▪️ $AMZN culture celebrates experimentation

Great cultures attract great employees

Find cultures that stand out!
Important:

To earn multi-bagger returns I had to hold through:

▪️50%+ declines
▪️Short-seller reports
▪️Public Relations fiascos

If my behavior was wrong, I wouldn’t have earned multi-baggers

This is why I always:
Interestingly, aside from $MELI, none of these stocks were “hidden”

I had heard of:
▪️Amazon
▪️Chipotle
▪️Facebook
▪️Google
▪️Netflix
▪️Tesla

YEARS before I became a shareholder

Sometimes, great investments are obvious
What company checks all of these boxes today?

One idea: Peloton $PTON

(All the details can be found in my most recent YouTube video)

https://t.co/wFMwTR292X
Want to screen for these traits?

All of them are covered in my investing checklist

You can download a free copy of it here: https://t.co/HI5T9wZgbw
Enjoy this thread?

Follow me @brianferoldi

You may enjoy all of my other threads on money, investing, & self-improvement

https://t.co/9zUKu1NhAl
Summary:

1: Founder-led
2: Consumer-facing
3: High sales growth
4: Word of mouth
5: Mindshare
6: Pricing Power
7: Optionality
8: Huge TAM
9: Widening Moat
10: Distinctive cultures

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The Mother of All Squeezes

How Volkswagen went from being on the brink of bankruptcy to the most valuable company in the world in two days

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1/ At the peak of the 2008 financial crisis, Volkswagen was considered a very likely candidate for bankruptcy.

Heavily indebted and already financially struggling before 2008, with car sales expected to plummet due to the ongoing global crisis.


2/ With GM and Chrysler filing for bankruptcy in 2009, shorting the VW stock would seem a safe bet.

If you are not familiar with stock shorts and short squeezes check my thread


3/ On October 26, 2008, Porsche announced it had increased its stake at VW from 30% to 74%.

This was a surprise to many who were led to believe that Porsche wasn't planning a takeover of VW, based on the company's announcements.


4/ Before the announcement, the short interest was approximately 13% of the outstanding shares, a number considered relatively low.

Porsche had a 30% stake, the Lower Saxony government fund held 20% of the shares, and another 5% was held by index funds.

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