A year ago we left the EU, but the real impact of leaving will only be felt from tomorrow.

1/13

Although the ‘deal’ includes tariff free access to the single market and customs union – it still destroys friction free access to the EU markets, which will destroy many UK businesses and cost many UK jobs.

2/13
It of course fails to address the UK’s services industry – which represents 80% of trade with the EU.

3/13
But there are also other factors – lorry drivers will need to be paid more to wait in queues. Or they won’t come.

4/13
So there will be supply failures for product from the EU – impacting everything from supermarket shelves to car and aerospace manufacturing industries.

5/13
There are not the resources to certify food exports – eg vets for lamb. So expect farming businesses to suffer or go bankrupt.

6/13
We have avoided the catastrophe of no deal and are set to slowly negotiate better and more sensible access, without doubt paying dues if/as required.

7/13
We have lost much – freedom to study, work, live, and retire in the EU – being some of the biggest losses.

8/13
And we lost the fight for a second referendum – every attempt to stop the Brexit con was blocked by the deliberate and self-serving actions of politicians.

9/13
So we are now in a state where the majority support for EU membership has never been greater. Yet we are out.

10/13
It was never about the “will of the people”. It was about the self-serving interests of power-hungry politicians. They won. The UK lost. Badly.

11/13
The anxiety of what Brexit will do is over. Now we will just sadly watch the reality unfold.

12/13
Keep safe. Keep well. And wishing everyone the best, regardless, for 2021.

13/13

More from Brexit

On this, I think it’s highly unlikely to occur in the timeframe given. For several reasons, I don’t think it’s realistic for Scotland to secede, and then join the EU, in 9 years.

For that, thanks goes to Brexit.

A thread because why not...


Two important dates: March 2016 and January 1st 2021.

Firstly, prior to the 2014 referendum, the Nationalists proposed a date of March 2016 to secede.

Secondly, today - the end completion of Brexit five-and-a-half years after Cameron’s majority in 2015.

Brexit has demonstrated many things, primarily that splitting unions is not easy. The UKs membership of the EU was 47 years and by the end it was not at the heart of the EU. The Union has existed for over 300 as a unitary state.

Dividing a unitary state, like the UK, will not be easy. Frankly, it will make Brexit look simple. Questions of debt, currency, defence, and more will need to be resolved ... something not addressed with Brexit.

Starting with debt. Scotland will end up with its proportionate share of the UKs national debt. It’s not credible to suggest otherwise. Negotiating what is proportionate won’t be easy when both sides disagree.

It’s importance will be seen shortly.

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