THREAD

Breaking down the “efficacy” and safety of the #COVID19 vaccines if applied to the population

https://t.co/q8sXpkVxjs
https://t.co/tYCGHKgzqW
https://t.co/mQicBLheTJ
Pfizer vaccine summary: https://t.co/u4h7jZWbW8
Moderna vaccine summary: https://t.co/tiBOzjq1Xj
AstraZeneca vaccine summary: https://t.co/tPMa4II0ZE
IMPORTANT NOTE:

Given that only ~1 in 5 #COVID19 cases require hospitalization, this means that only ~20% of the already minute levels of decreases provided by vaccines in the occurrence of #COVID19 would prevent #COVID19 leading to hospitalizations...

https://t.co/UD5pIQjIY2
^ Hence:

* Pfizer vaccine would lead to only ~0.03% less #COVID19 hospitalizations over 1 week

* Moderna vaccine would lead to only ~0.24% less #COVID19 hospitalizations over 2 months

* AstraZeneca vaccine would lead to only ~0.24% less #COVID19 hospitalizations over 6 weeks
^ Simultaneously:

* Pfizer vaccine would cause 1,443,042 serious adverse events over 1 week

* Moderna vaccine would cause 3,081,988 serious adverse events over 28 days

* AstraZeneca vaccine would lead to 54,600,009 serious adverse events over 6 weeks

https://t.co/9Ckp1Fy53h
^ Barring further follow-up and surveillance, we currently have no idea how much more presentation of serious adverse events (resulting in: death, substantial risk of being life-threatening, hospitalization, and/or disability/permanent damage) would occur beyond these follow-ups.
Meanwhile, along with providing rapid health restoration, sufficient niacin supply is mechanistically established to serve as ensured protection against the development of #COVID19

Further, niacin is a safe, natural vitamin; readily available; & would cost <1 cent a gram in bulk https://t.co/rAFMIHzUeA
We also have no idea of effectiveness beyond brief follow-ups

Beyond brief follow-up, they could very well even exasperate burden of disease outcome (i.e. #COVID19 hospitalizations) that they intend to & do initially—albeit meaninglessly—protect against!

https://t.co/ROir4ebMjB
Some more on this... https://t.co/Yz2ji8aPRG

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