Authors Brian

7 days 30 days All time Recent Popular
Read it. Understand the data plots. And tell me it doesn't leave a bad taste in your mouth. If it doesn't leave a bad taste in your mouth, tell me why.


Takes vote dumps in each state & plots ratios of Biden votes to Trump. Then draws three lines showing that if a data plot is above the line then it is in either the 95th percentile, 99th percentile, or 99.5th percentile. IOW, only one out of every two-hundred points are above it.

The study takes into account that large ballot dumps which heavily favor a candidate make sense, if there are also smaller ones which favor the candidate more. Seems logical. Larger data dumps should be smoother than smaller data dumps.

All states except MI/WI/GA are blue. Notice anything? Notice how the controversial and much needed dumps for Biden that happened in the wee hours of the morning in crucial states are the most unlikely of all data dumps?


Might say these were mail in ballots that were expected to heavily favor Biden. Why don't we see this in other states that weren't absolutely crucial to Biden's victory coming down the stretch? Why are these three states the most extreme? Why not heavy blue areas like NYC or SF?