#FreeTip
Don’t just go by narrow cpr blindly to foresee a trending market. A wide range with open and close at the almost the same level will also have a narrow cpr. So a narrow cpr with a narrow prev day range is to be seen together.
If price hovers within cpr the whole day,..

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it is most likely an indication of a trending day emerging in the near future.
Alternatively another way of foreseeing a possible trend day is to look for narrow Cam R3s3. Infact this does not require additional PDR confirmation .
All r probabilities; not certainties.

#FreeTip
Basic rule for day trading in option buying for beginners.
1) Stick to monthly atm options.
2) Suppose u have a capital of Rs 5 lacs. Your max risk appetite is 1% which is 5k. Assume u look at BNF chart and find a buy setup at 35000 ...

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with a stop of 34900 ( 100 point difference). This essentially means that the 35000 atm options will have a stop of Rs 200 ( delta 0.5) assuming all other things are equal. So the number of lots U should typically deal with based on 1% Risk on 5 lacs capital ...

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is 5000 / 200, which is 25 , ie 1 lot. If your risk appetite is 2%, then u are allowed to take 50, ie 2 lots. Hence if option price is say, Rs 400, ur stop will be 200 and u have to deal with one lot which means your deployment is 25 x 400 = Rs 10,000....

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On the contrary if you deploy the full amount, 500000/(25x400) = 1250 , 50 lots, u r bound to lose the capital at the shortest possible time.
3) This might appear ridiculous, but this is the only way to go steady with control over risk.

Option stop difference is Rs 50 and not Rs 200 as mentioned. Simple calculation overlooked. Accordingly number of lots will increase . However concept remains unchanged.

#FreeTip Most of the stocks after coming out of a base moves 20%-25% after which it starts consolidating to form another base. So ideally book profits at 20%-25%.Only exception is when a stock goes up 20% within 3 wks of breakout,in which case hold for min 8 wks. O Neil Rule.

#FnO Stocks for Tom intraday trading 08/09/2021
Rules for Long
1) Break of Cam R4 / PDH whichever is higher.
2) Stop Cam R3.
3) If capital = 1 lac, then RA = 1% of 1lac = 1000, Posn Size = 1000 / (r4-r3)
4) Exit 50% - 75% at 1:2 Reward. Move stop to cost for remaining.
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5) Entry style finer tips - Breakout of R4; Plot a 20 period MA. If candle size is big on breakout of R4, wait for retest to either R4 or 20 period MA and enter at a bullish pa closer to any of these.
6) Exit style finer tips - Exit 50% at 1:2 (Very imp)....

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Balance 50%, either trail at cost or trail along with 20 period MA. Keep trailing SL in system. Not in mind.
7) Maximum loss per day should not exceed 3%, which means that by chance if you have tried 3 stocks and all 3 failed, stop trading for the day. Dont try to recover..

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8) Include your profits for next day position sizing thereby giving room for compounding gradually.
9) If broader market is in general up, it is better to enter r4 breakouts; if broader market is in general down, it is better to enter s4 breakouts....

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10) If not sure about broader markets, enter one r4 breakout and one s4 breakout simultaneously if your account size permits.
Good Luck.

#INDICATORS
All my TV indicators can be accessed by adding to favorites from the below link:
https://t.co/vSyPBEvnLY
Notable ones r:
1) JPMUPS - contains all the pivots
2) Pivotshift
3) ADMIN
4) DPW
5) Pivotwidth for next session
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and much more.

#FreeTip If 1-2 days before earnings if you observe a otherwise nice uptrending that passes trend template criteria, down 3-5% with low volume (5-10 day low), it is most likely retail panic selling before results and chance of upmove increases .

#NIFTY
Big Picture !!!
The monthly chart says it all for the next 2.5 years.
All u have to do is to continue your SIPs at any cost irrespective of violent volatilities.
Note: Dont start trolling if market comes down tom. It is big picture. Not for short term.
Good Luck.

#INDICATORS
Intraday trading is all about identifying 3 components 1) Trend 2) Direction 3) Momentum
(TDM).
Trend - Developing cpr width
Direction - PivotShiftIndicator
Momentum - PivotRSI.

Just finished devloping color codes for identifying trades based on TDM.

#Knowledge
#Options
Ever wondered y gamma is the enemy of straddle / strangle sellers and what it means?

Presume readers are aware of option Greeks meaning...

To understand , first ...

Relationship between delta, gamma, theta and option premium.
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Theta + (int Rate x Underlying price x Delta) + ( 0.5 x variance of underlying x Underlying price x Underlying Price x Gamma ) = Int rate x Option premium.

Strangle and straddles are delta neutral setup;For a delta neutral setup, the second term becomes zero; Hence,
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Theta +
(0.5 x variance of UL x UL price x Underlying price x Gamma)
= Int rate x option premium

Straddle and strangles have typically zero delta at initiation; they also have positive theta, meaning they gain over time assuming other components of option r constant ..

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In a delta neutral portfolio, if theta is largely +ve , Gamma will be -ve by a large extent to satisfy the above relation mathematically, which means that as expiry nears the strangles and straddles will have large -ve gamma; This is wat u see traders telling gamma effect.

#FreeTip Qrly EPS breakout stocks are more likely to move in excess of 5% multiple times after a technical price breakout. High double or triple digit Annual qoq EPS growth rate have even more chances. Best site to see this is @MarketSmithIND . Egs #Datamatics #Icil etc.

#FreeTip
#INTRADAY
Trend,Direction,Momentum(TDM).
D and M can be assessed only after mkt opens. Trend can be assessed the prev day through Cam lvl 3 width. Try trading BNF ONLY when Cam width is narrower (Red) which can be assessed the prev day. U can see improved results.

#FreeTip
A simple illustration to analyse stocks in a very simple way:
1) Prepare a list of stocks with more than say, 400% returns last 1 year and currently above 3 digits. U will have around 30-40 NSE listed stocks.
2) Look at each stock chart just before breakout
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3) Take a note book and right down against each stock, the behaviour of MAs Vis a vis the stock, for eg., 30 week MA / daily 200 ma / 150 ma, 50 ma, etc.); the behaviour of Relative Strength (RS); behaviour in terms of volume; any pattern like rectangular breakout etc.
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4) Might take 3 plus hours for the above exercise. Once you are done, see the common elements against all stocks. That is the edge you have knowing the behaviour of super performance stocks. U need not hold for 400%. U can atleast get 20% out of it.
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5) A eg. is -- few of the stocks had 3 year rectangular breakouts with RS at new high / 52w high. This is just an example. Dont immediately look for only this criteria. I can help you out with a list of triple digit stocks in excess of 400% over last 1 year.
GoodLuck.

#FreeTip The Art of doing nothing in trading is most effective in case of monthly rectangular breakouts . Longer the rectangular breakouts most effective the breakouts are and the usual targets are 50% of breakout level x (1 + range %) and the time period is usually < 1 year .

#HDFCBANK 1441
A possible H & S pattern in weekly chart.
Dropped below 30 week MA as well which is not a good sign. (Week is not yet over).
1350-1375 is the key zone which is the possible neckline if this pattern matearalises. Need to review at that time for further view.

#PivotShiftIndicator
Those who followed this today would not have gone long in the open.
Both PSI and advance decline momentum were sloping downwards continuously even when the mkt gapped up and kept going up.Trollers might say this as post Mortem. But I made what I can... 😌.

#PRAJIND
366
Nice strong bullish pattern with price currently consolidating with dry volumes.
Ideally should move up if broader market supports.
Good to go long above 378 with stop of 8% for a nice upmove.
Fundamentals not checked.

#FreeTip
#KNOWLEDGE
#PutCallParity
The difference between a call and put of a particular strike is approx equal to the difference between the spot and the strike price and accurately equal to the difference between the spot and the discounted present value of strike price.

#Knowledge
A 2016 post that I posted in AAFL Facebook group on max pain ... Might be useful from awareness perspective...