DrVijayMalik_ValueGuru_Checklist
Ist Upd - 05Jul2020

#Thread

A small tribute to @drvijaymalik on the occasion of Guru Purnima🙏

#valueinvesting #stocks
#SalesGrowth #OPM #npm
#CurrentRatio #DebtToEquity
#SSGR #MarginOfSafety #MaxPEtoPay #EarningsYield
#FII
#MaithanAlloy

1n

@drvijaymalik The Final Checklist for Buying Stocks !

Financial Checklist !

Taking Maithan Alloys as Sample Stock !

Tax Payout Shown in 1n (above).

2n
Valuation Checklist !

Earnings Yield > 10Yr G-Sec Yield. Higher the difference better it is.

Max PE to Pay calculated on the basis of Prevailing Current Interest Rate in the Economy (10Yr G-Sec Yield)

3n
Business & Industry Checklist !

10yr Cumulative PAT vs CFO. Ideally both should be similar or CFO may be little higher (Maithan Alloy Example)

Creation of Value for shareholders -
10Yr Increase in Market Cap > 10yr Increase in Retained Earnings (Maithan Alloy Example)

4n
Management Checklist & Other Business Parameters !

Most of this needs to be done manually. Take it as homework🙂

Maithan Alloy FII (1.87%) & Promoter Shareholding(74.99%).

Less FII better it is.

Check Change in Promoter Holding in last 3yrs (insider Buying) in 1n (above)

5n
Margin of Safety !

EY Vs 10yr G-Sec

SSGR > Current & Over a Period Sales Growth. Higher SSGR better it is.

Maithan Alloy SSGR Calculation @drvijaymalik

FCF vs CFO ratio over 7 to 10yrs. Higher the ratio better it is.

MaxPEtoPay - 3n (above)

6n
Please refer below thread from Dr Vijay Malik for details -

https://t.co/P5uR2wc6vD

7n
Missed to post one point in Financial Checklist (2n) above.

If CFO meets outflows of CFI & CFF it would be great.

For Maithan Alloys in FY 2019 CFO is 15 Cr short of meeting the outflow of CFI & CFF.

8n
Credit Rating Checklist !

Credit rating should be min BBB- . It should be improving over the years.

Maithan Alloys is a Net Cash Company667 Cr in Mar 2019

Credit Rating: CARE AA CRISIL AA CARE/CRISIL A1+

9n

More from Screening Stocks Enjoy 'My StressBusters'

You May Also Like

A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.


2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.


3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.


4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.