BC TRADING

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Christmas Machiavelli
@corporatemach 5 years, 5 months ago 649 views

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If you are in the top 10% of the income distribution,

and you are a Rightwing Free Market Libertarian

(you want zero government enforced wealth redistribution)

the probability you are motivated by real ideological conviction is low...

...the probability you are motivated by sheer self interest is high.

People are not trustworthy witnesses as to what their own motivations are.

If you ask a rich person who wants zero government enforced wealth redistribution (Socialism) why they want this, they are likely to give you Free Market Libertarian rhetoric about some 'Non-Agression Principle'.

The truth is much simpler; they care a lot more about their ability to NOT pay taxes, than they do about poor people's ability to access free stuff in the form of government services.

Debates about Wealth Redistribution/Socialism

have nothing to do with Ideology,

and everything to do with Self Interest.

**Zero Sum Conflict Over Finite Resources**

It is in the best interest of The Poor for the Government to do Generous Wealth Redistribution, and to fund it by placing taxes on The Rich.

It is in the best interest of The Rich for the Government to do Minimal (Ideally Zero) Wealth Redistribution, so they don't have to pay taxes to fund it.

Leftwing Socialist Ideology and Rightwing Libertarian Ideology are just post hoc rationalizations manufactured to help justify the interests of The Poor and The Rich, respectively.

It's not really about Ideology.

It's about Interests and Greed

**Zero Sum Conflict Over Finite Resources**

CAVEAT:

It is a *Negative Sum Game* (bad for everyone), if there is Wealth Redistribution/Socialism funded by Government Deficit Spending.

Sooner or later, the Government's Debts will become enormous, and the country will either go bankrupt, or the government will print a bunch of money to pay off its debts (thereby causing hyperinflation).

In either case (Government Bankruptcy OR Hyperinflation) it means economic catastrophe, for 100% of the population, both rich and poor.

EXAMPLES:

Time Period: 1990 - 2020

Rich People Winning (Low Taxes, Little Wealth Redistribution): SINGAPORE

Poor People Winning (High Taxes, Generous Wealth Redistribution): DENMARK

DISASTER, Government Deficit Spending Leading To Economic Catastrophe For Everyone, Both Rich And Poor: VENEZUELA

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Many traders don't indulge in understanding GREEKS because they think they are very complicated.

There are 4 primary greeks:

Delta
Gamma
Theta
Vega

In my experience, understanding DELTA is enough to take benefit of greeks.(1/n)

Delta measures the rate of change of options price based on the directional movement of the underlying.

So this means we can know in advance (theoretically) how much an option will move with the underlying & so we can prepare our strategies accordingly. (2/n)

Value of delta varies between 0 & 1 for calls and -1 & 0 for puts. This figure tells how much an option price will change, when the underlying moves 1 point. So example a delta of .2 of call indicates that for every 1 point change in the underlying, the price will move .2 (3/n)

For option writers who want to trade in neutral strategies like straddle, strangle, ratios, calendar etc, delta can be very helpful. So be it any complex strategy, knowing the NET DELTA can give you an idea of how your strategy will perform in different scenarios. (4/n)

Net delta is just the sum of the deltas of all the bull options (call+ & put-) minus the bear options (call- & put+).

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𝗡𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆-𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗻𝗶𝗳𝘁𝘆 𝗢𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆

Complete Backtest and Indicator link

🧵 A Thread 🧵

𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽:
🔸 Monthly Option Buying
🔸 50 ema on 3 min timeframe
🔸 Supertrend 10 , 3
🔸 Chart : Banknifty , Nifty Futures as we backtested on futures
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🔸 Premium nearest to 200 Rs only

[2/18]

Why Monthly Option buying ?
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🔸 Supertrend and MA Settings
[3/18]

🔸 Indicator Link
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🔸 https://t.co/zVXavqLBto
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🔸 Supertrend : 10,3
🔸 Moving Average 50 ema
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SPACVet
@SpacVet

My number 1 stock pick for 2021 is: Pine Island Acquisition Corp.

$PIPP

Let me break down why I think this will be THE SPAC of 2021. 👇

TL:DR – the management team is loaded with President Biden’s closest friends and advisors. No other SPAC has this level of access.

$PIPP company overview:

-focused on defense, government service & aerospace
-perfect focus when you consider who is on their Management Team

$PIPP Management

-here's where it gets EXCITING
-founded by John Thain (ex Merrill Lynch CEO and Uber director)
-then STACKED with veteran Government and Administration key figures

$PIPP Insane Management Connections

-the list of PIPP "DC Partners" includes:

-- President Biden's pick for Secretary of State (Tony Blinken)
-- President Biden's pick for Secretary of Defense (Gen. Lloyd Austin).

$PIPP - The Joe Biden Connection

- Tony Blinken and President Biden are close allies.
- Blinken has been an advisor to Biden for decades
- Blinken set to be appointed Sec. of State

Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal

I gathered the best Youtube videos to learn Expiry trading for free.

If you want to master expiry trading, open this thread: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll find in this thread:

1. ATM strikes to zero
2. Big Gaps on Expiry Day
3. How to trade expiry when Nifty is behaving differently
4. Using Data points to trade expiry
5. Play for a flat move
6. How to profit post 3 pm exploiting the close price?

Let's go ↓

1. How to develop a framework to trade in ATM strikes on expiry day? Subhasish Pani on @vivbajaj Sir's channel.

One of call or put at ATM is going to go to zero.

Whichever is moving rapidly has a higher probability of going ATM/ITM. Sell the slower

2. How to trade a big gap up on expiry day?

If market bias is bullish and a gap-up happens, it comes for selling.

Can buy puts at the breakout of an inside candle as the market has a good probability of at least heading toward the previous day's

3. How to trade in Bank Nifty if it has already moved 160 points from its high to low by 11:30? @ThetaGainers

Sell near otms with double stop loss.

Avoid if stuck in a very small range.

Get out of both by 1

$Shravan Venkataraman \U0001f525\U0001f680\U0001f4b0$

Shravan Venkataraman 🔥...
@theBuoyantMan

Working on some execution optimisation related backtesting. I have so far been executing with market orders only. Going towards higher lot sizes, I'd like to optimise for minimal slippage.

First off, on NSE, if you place a market order, you get filled at the best bid/ask right?

If we want to optimise this, the first non-creative idea one can think of is, slicing the order into different lot sizes, and placing a limit order for each slice at the mid point of current best bid & ask.

But this requires your latency to be the least.

Why would latency affect it?

I looked at tick historical data, and there are more than 18-20 ticks in a second (auction and quote combined).

Even if you keep 10 ticks per second, your best bid/ask can shift from the time you place to the time exchange receives the order.

So, the next best thing that people can do is place tranches of orders every 1s, 3s, 5s, 10s, 15s - in their preferred time range, and get filled at the midpoint or best-bid+1/2/3/4/5 in the depth.

What you need is liquidity.

But if you're trading breakouts, then it's highly likely that your limit orders may not get filled if the action is too fast.

So, a retry mechanism is required in such cases.

If nothing works, you convert your orders to marketable and get filled at worse slippage.

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[ a thread ] 💻🏠🌍

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Technical Analysis Masterclass- Part 2

'Entering the trade'

Entering a trade without ascertaining a certain things is gambling.

In this masterclass we will learn the pre-requisites to enter a trade.

DON'T ENTER A TRADE WITHOUT DETERMINNG THE FOLLOWING.

Please share.

We understand what reward to risk (popularly called risk to reward) is.
It will be denoted by R:R.

We will also try to bust a few myths about R:R and how to avoid losing trades.

Before entering a trade, you need to determine 3 things.

1. Entry trigger
2. Stop loss
3. Target

1. Entry trigger = Reasons for entering a trade. There could be multiple reasons or a single reason for entry.

Generally a set of reasons AKA confluence is a higher probability trade and a generally a safer entry.

Example of an entry trigger.

2. Stop Loss.

The price in the opposite direction of the trade where the trade is exited, at a loss.

At this level, the reason for the entry becomes invalidated according to TA and the price can then move in the opposite direction, probabilistically.

3. Target is the possible price level that the asset might touch based on previous trends or confluence AND where a possible reversal could occur.

Target is the next path of least resistance from where the price might reverse.

We will always ONLY use TA to determine all 3.

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