Should you add more in Equity or redeem right now?
A thread 🧵to guide retail on why & what should they do at these historic market highs.
Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more retail investors (1/n)
#investing #StockMarket
If you r new to fundamentals, 👇 can help https://t.co/Um5trNKc13
Market PE at 40 and yet the market is not falling, why? Getting asked this question multiple times. Here's a thread covering \u2018very basic\u2019 premier on valuation for my retail investor friends.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) January 14, 2021
Do hit the \u2018re-tweet\u2019 and help us educate more investors (1/n) pic.twitter.com/8oCkBmmOXY
Over the last many years, markets have corrected 10-15% each calendar year. Can it happen this year as well? Can very much and that can be a great entry point. Why? (4/n)
-Crude going up
-$ index moving up
-Inflation moving up
-COVID uncertainties
All of the above are –ve for markets & liquidity on the other side driving markets up, its impossible to judge the near term movement of the markets (5/n)
-Stick to your asset allocation
-Don’t take large lumpsum bets, spread it over time
-Continue your SIPs
-If you are new to markets, take MF route than direct equity (6/n)
-Don’t expect sizeable returns for the coming 2 years
-Look at this market more from a medium term perspective (7/n)
-Global growth
-Lower interest rates
-CAPEX
-China + 1 (8/n)
(a) Liquidity is infused in the markets by both, central banks & governments
(Understand more about how liquidity drives the markets 👇 https://t.co/CCJIDFgu6I) (9/n)
Liquidity is fueling the stock market rally says everyone. What is this liquidity? How does it get created? How does it fuel stocks, commodities? (Thread)
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) December 18, 2020
Hit the \u2018re-tweet\u2019 and help us educate more investors\u2019 (1/n)
(d) We also have Europe committing 750B Euros of infra spend
(e) If global growth even increases by 1%, India will benefit by 0.30 - 0.40% due to exports and capital inflows (11/n)
(a) Vs pre pandemic, G-Sec is down roughly 1.8% & repo is down 2.25%. There is a huge 17-18L cr liquidity in the banking system which can be lent (12/n)
(c) Corporate borrowings have and will continue to hugely benefit with these lower rates (13/n)
(a) There are clear signs of CAPEX returning in Housing, Infra as well as corporates (lower rates helping)
(b) To quote only housing, the house price to income ratio is 4.5 times today across 20 cities, best in the last 20 years. There is demand for housing. (14/n)
(d) Housing revival indirectly connects with 80 odd sub sectors & is a huge employment provider. Construction is the second largest employment generator
(e) We have also seen huge government spending’s after recessions (15/n)
(a) Some part of China’s share of global trade is expected to come to India due to Labour cost going up over the last decade in China, trade issues that China has with many, environmental challenges that china is facing (16/n)
- Today we are roughly at 2.2 – 2.3 times PAT to GDP ratio vs our average of 4.5 times, upside possible.
- From an FY23 perspective, with estimated EPS to be around 874 on nifty, we are trading at 18 times (19/n)
- Its impossible to judge the near term movement, stick to your asset allocation
- This market should be looked at from a medium term perspective and has become very sector/stock specific
- Avoid looking at this market from a near term perspective (21/n)
The thread is purely for education and should not be taken as an investment advice. (22/n)
Have earlier written on,
-Sector Analysis - Banking, Paints, Logistic, REIT, InvIT, Sugar, Steel
- Macro
- Debt Markets
- Equity
- Gold
- Personal Finance etc.
You can find them all in the link below 👇https://t.co/UrRt87OLLF (END)
Here\u2019s a compilation of Personal Finance threads I have written so far. Thank you for motivating me to do it.
— Kirtan A Shah (@KirtanShahCFP) December 13, 2020
Hit the 're-tweet' and help us educated more investors
More from Kirtan A Shah
Personal Finance 101 – My learning’s about investing
This topic is for everyone, whether you manage your money yourself or through your advisor, it will go a long way in managing your finances.
Do re-tweet & help us educate retail investors (1/n)
Subscribe to our YouTube for some interesting educational content around Personal Finance - https://t.co/jvgNEDWiAZ
And you can also join our Telegram channel for regular updates – https://t.co/Ekz6I8pDGt (2/n)
(1) Lets start with Life Insurance
Term Insurance is the best way to take an insurance cover & probably the only product to buy in life insurance. Make sure u disclose all the necessary information before taking the insurance. Smoking, Alcohol, any pre-existing deceases etc(3/n)
Have atleast 10-15 times of your annual income as insurance cover
But there are variants of term insurance that you should avoid (4/n)
(A) Term plan with return of premium
For a non-smoker born on the 1st Jan 1985 & policy term 39 years (till age 75), the regular premium for a 1-cr term insurance is 22,157 (inclusive of GST) but with returns of premium is 42670 (inclusive of GST). An increase of 20,513 (5/n)
This topic is for everyone, whether you manage your money yourself or through your advisor, it will go a long way in managing your finances.
Do re-tweet & help us educate retail investors (1/n)
Subscribe to our YouTube for some interesting educational content around Personal Finance - https://t.co/jvgNEDWiAZ
And you can also join our Telegram channel for regular updates – https://t.co/Ekz6I8pDGt (2/n)
(1) Lets start with Life Insurance
Term Insurance is the best way to take an insurance cover & probably the only product to buy in life insurance. Make sure u disclose all the necessary information before taking the insurance. Smoking, Alcohol, any pre-existing deceases etc(3/n)
Have atleast 10-15 times of your annual income as insurance cover
But there are variants of term insurance that you should avoid (4/n)
(A) Term plan with return of premium
For a non-smoker born on the 1st Jan 1985 & policy term 39 years (till age 75), the regular premium for a 1-cr term insurance is 22,157 (inclusive of GST) but with returns of premium is 42670 (inclusive of GST). An increase of 20,513 (5/n)
More from Stockslearnings
This is so useful. Thank you @heartwon 🙏
On this auspicious day of #GuruPoornima2020
— \u03b1\u043c\u03b9\u0442\u0442 \u0455\u03b1\u03b9\u03b7\u03b9 \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3 (@heartwon) July 5, 2020
Would like to present a simple yet effective way of understanding and following the TREND of the instrument/stock.
Q: Why I came up with the concept?
A: I wanted to remove noise, keep my chart simple where just a glance, tells the story
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THE MEANING, SIGNIFICANCE AND HISTORY OF SWASTIK
The Swastik is a geometrical figure and an ancient religious icon. Swastik has been Sanatan Dharma’s symbol of auspiciousness – mangalya since time immemorial.
The name swastika comes from Sanskrit (Devanagari: स्वस्तिक, pronounced: swastik) &denotes “conducive to wellbeing or auspicious”.
The word Swastik has a definite etymological origin in Sanskrit. It is derived from the roots su – meaning “well or auspicious” & as meaning “being”.
"सु अस्ति येन तत स्वस्तिकं"
Swastik is de symbol through which everything auspicios occurs
Scholars believe word’s origin in Vedas,known as Swasti mantra;
"🕉स्वस्ति ना इन्द्रो वृधश्रवाहा
स्वस्ति ना पूषा विश्ववेदाहा
स्वस्तिनास्तरक्ष्यो अरिश्तनेमिही
स्वस्तिनो बृहस्पतिर्दधातु"
It translates to," O famed Indra, redeem us. O Pusha, the beholder of all knowledge, redeem us. Redeem us O Garudji, of limitless speed and O Bruhaspati, redeem us".
SWASTIK’s COSMIC ORIGIN
The Swastika represents the living creation in the whole Cosmos.
Hindu astronomers divide the ecliptic circle of cosmos in 27 divisions called https://t.co/sLeuV1R2eQ this manner a cross forms in 4 directions in the celestial sky. At centre of this cross is Dhruva(Polestar). In a line from Dhruva, the stars known as Saptarishi can be observed.
The Swastik is a geometrical figure and an ancient religious icon. Swastik has been Sanatan Dharma’s symbol of auspiciousness – mangalya since time immemorial.
The name swastika comes from Sanskrit (Devanagari: स्वस्तिक, pronounced: swastik) &denotes “conducive to wellbeing or auspicious”.
The word Swastik has a definite etymological origin in Sanskrit. It is derived from the roots su – meaning “well or auspicious” & as meaning “being”.
"सु अस्ति येन तत स्वस्तिकं"
Swastik is de symbol through which everything auspicios occurs
Scholars believe word’s origin in Vedas,known as Swasti mantra;
"🕉स्वस्ति ना इन्द्रो वृधश्रवाहा
स्वस्ति ना पूषा विश्ववेदाहा
स्वस्तिनास्तरक्ष्यो अरिश्तनेमिही
स्वस्तिनो बृहस्पतिर्दधातु"
It translates to," O famed Indra, redeem us. O Pusha, the beholder of all knowledge, redeem us. Redeem us O Garudji, of limitless speed and O Bruhaspati, redeem us".
SWASTIK’s COSMIC ORIGIN
The Swastika represents the living creation in the whole Cosmos.
Hindu astronomers divide the ecliptic circle of cosmos in 27 divisions called https://t.co/sLeuV1R2eQ this manner a cross forms in 4 directions in the celestial sky. At centre of this cross is Dhruva(Polestar). In a line from Dhruva, the stars known as Saptarishi can be observed.