1. The ideal outcome @JRubinBlogger & @AliVelshi IS that the MAGA faction turns on the "establishment" part of the party & they tear each other apart. This is why only 20 M.O.Cs are acknowledging Biden- they are TERRIFIED of this. But I should make something clear & this is

2. something that @rickwtyler and this panel doesn't seem to be sending a vibe off that it gets and that is that absent some type of intraparty Civil War 2, the Republican Party is not a party in decline, heading into a sunset, its a party primed to go into the 2022 cycle & take
3. the Speaker gavel from @SpeakerPelosi! I mean, jeez guys- all of the stuff just talked about in terms of its abandonment of sanity, of the rule of law, of its dereliction of duty to the Constitution while it performs gross fealty to a swamp creature, all of that was true 1
4. month ago and what happened?? They gained 11+ House seats and potentially will hold the senate majority even though Ds had 6 pathways to it. 6! No, as craptastic as it is, despite the fact that it stood ready to execute a coup it spent months preparing for w Trump, the GOP is
5. STRONG right now. Its voters- and NOT just the nuts you see at the MAGA rallies, I'm talking about mild-mannered regular folks you run into at the bank and work with at Progressive Insurance- those folks are STOKED on the Trump Admin (albeit the Right Wing media over the past
6. decade, and esp the last 5 years, moved from conservative spin to full on alternative facts to create an alternative universe- which allows R voters to assess Trump along a set of contrived metrics that are completely fabricated and not based at all on his actual performance.
7. That's why- as early as Jan. 2019- in my NYT-op ed, Why Trump Will Lose in 2020 I said that turnout for both sides will be massive. I learned from the 2018 cycle how galvanized the Rep electorate was- that is was being fired up via negative partisanship. That is why Ds
8. underperformed in some of the 2018 senate races and lost in GA Gov and TX and FL ultimately. Watching that panel on @AliVelshi one would have the impression of a GOP descending. Please don't think like that! The potential that the party fractures over Trump's loss is our best
9. hope for this. If we get lucky, this will cause a massive 2nd Civil War in the Rep Party & distract them from focusing on the D Party. In addition to this, the electioneering/messaging/branding/offensive overhaul I am hoping to work with the DNC on will be CRITCAL to upsetting
10. what will otherwise be a bruising Midterm. If Ds go into the Midterm under the same electioneering system they've been using (as they used in the 2020 cycle) the House majority is gone. They've got to position themselves as the governing party up against a party of extremists
11. who are intentionally trying to sabotage the economic recovery playing politics and frames the Midterm as a referendum as a question on whether the GOP can be trusted with power. The American people don't know why Congress is broken. They don't know why legislation doesn't
12. come from Congress. When COVID relief legislation doesn't get passed through the whole of the fall general election season, voters are told by media that "Congress adjourned without passing anything." They aren't told- America, you need direct payments, small business grants,
13. 600 added to unemployment because if you are a middle class wage earner, unemployment comes nowhere close to replacing your wage. And do you know WHY you don't have these things? BC the Rep Party controls the senate and refuses to give it to you. In fact, the Republican Party
14. has become SO extreme that more than half of their senators want to give you NOTHING. That's right, NOTHING. Americans never hear these points. They don't hear them via a bully pulpit which could be implement due to control of the House & pressers, they don't get it in ads,
15. and they sure as hell didn't get it as the basis of the Dem's case for the 2020 general election in which you'd have thought they might have wanted to put before voters this basic fact: if you want gov to function for you- you're going to have to elect a functional party to
16. control it. Tell voters- show up, vote for this NC senate race & give us control of the senate so we can finally pass ___, ____, ___. Give voters stakes. Make them realize that there's a connection between their decision to vote & the outcomes they'll receive policy wise.
17. Take some pages out of the GOP playbook- stop making the vote micro, make it macro. Make voters see a tangible benefit to themselves. And if they're not liberals- for god's sake, make that tangible benefit money! Understand that voters DON'T know all of the current events and
18. news you know. Actually, they don't even know 1/8 of that stuff. They didn't watch the House impeachment hearings and chances are good that they didn't even read an article about it either! We, the people reading this thread, working on campaigns, reading about politics,
19. CARING about politics- we are freaks. We are not typical people. My political science students- even the majors, most of them (albeit the fact that they were young) didn't know who McConnell was. And they, themselves are far more informed that any avg. American. The GOP gets
20. this. They realize that they are working with clean slates when it comes to the electorate. They can fill those slates with anything they want. They can focus on big themes. They can tell Black voters not to vote for Biden bc of a 1994 Crime Bill vote even though he's running
21. to remove from office a man who is simultaneously to that ad, running ads on TV in WI, MI, and PA telling "suburban housewives" that they must vote Trump bc their suburban homes are under invasion (it is implied by Black robbers off camera) and only Trump can save them. The
22. The very same type of white fragility propaganda that MAKES whites likely to shoot Black people for crimes like walking with Skittles & a hoodie in the dark. The VERY worst kind of propaganda. So Ds need to refine their electioneering system and start talking to the voters
23. that actually exist and not these mythical voters that their focus group & polling data creates.

BC far from weak- the GOP is coming out of 2020 strong. IF they can shake Trump off in Jan, they will be favored to take the House w/o the changes I'll be fighting to implement.

More from Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌

Yes, actually that's kind of the problem these days.

All the 🔥takes will be shown to be wrong once the voter file data & analysis like this one w the FULL RESULTS get done, which is why I'VE NOT PUBLISHED MY 🔥TAKE IN NYT yet

We'll have to decide if we want it fast, or right


There is ONE STORY in elections right now and its education. Its not rural vs urban, or Black and White, Latino and White

Its educated versus non-educated

And its global

1. I'll add that it's very imp that Ds understand, crystal clear, this fact (that edu is the divide that rules all other divides). After Parscale's success in 2020 the GOP will now double down on their efforts to come after non-college educated, non-white voters bc now they KNOW

2. they're gettable. The 2018 and 2020 cycle were "feelers." No doubt donors and strategists were skeptical. Now they have the analytic proof and the $ will be flowing. This is one reason that I decided that I had to get into electioneering myself. Someone is going to need to be

3. there talking to these voters from the Left (and talking to them with effective messaging- for ex they don't give two shits about insider trading corruption) or you'll see even more erosion in the D's vote share among non-college educated non-white voters, I'm sure of it. Its
1. I think so. I don't think the issue are plans. The issue is that the ability of our govn't to function-to create & enact policy- has been seriously abridged the past decade to the point where it can't function. We've seen virtually no legislation this past decade & pretty


2. much none relying on just "regular order." Although the Ds spent almost a year trying w the ACA before giving up & using a procedural trick in the end. Keep in mind, McConnell changed the operation of senate so that all bills, ALL, had to reach 60 vote threshold in the senate

3. That was a MASSIVE change to the legislative filibuster (a massive abuse of it). It creates a super majority requirement for laws that the Framers didn't design. And given the issue of misrepresentation the senate, which is causing a Tyranny of the Minority, its really shut

4. down the federal lawmaking apparatus. If Ds flip these 2 GA senate seats, the legislative filibuster will be right back in the spotlight bc McConnell will use it to lockdown Biden's legislative agenda. And we'll have to see how Biden responds. I agree that Biden needs to give

5. McConnell an opp to change his behavior, but if he doesn't Biden will have to go w EOs or ending the legislative filibuster. Either that, or getting nothing done. The GOP will seek to do to him what they did to Obama- use control of the senate OR the filibuster to prevent

More from Politics

So let's see a show of hands: how many of you even knew Huber was digging into the Clinton Foundation? While he was assisting Horowitz in his digging into the FISC/Steele Dossier/Fusion GPS/Perkins Coie/DNC/Hillary campaign stuff?


I'm sure Huber is coming to DC *only* to discuss Clinton Foundation things with Meadows and his committee.

He for certain, like, won't be huddling with Horowitz or that new guy, Whitaker while he's in town. That would NEVER HAPPEN. [wink wink wink!] 😉

I just spent a year and a half telling you they will SHOW YOU what they are REALLY DOING when they are READY.

Not before.

No matter how much whining is done about it.

I'm exhausted but it's worth it.

Now you know why they're f**king TERRIFIED of Whitaker, the closer tapped by Trump to come in late for the hysterical fireworks that will ensue soon.

Look who's suddenly fund raising for his legal defen- er, I mean, ha ha - his reelection campaign!

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