One key learning from @VijayKedia1 Sir:
Many of the cos he invested in: vaibhav global, Tejas networks, sudarshan chemicals he was tracking for 4-5 years before he decided to invest. Wants to pull the trigger near the bottom of biz cycle
Patience
More from Sahil Sharma
Most of market does not beat the market by a lot. Which is alright.
In any activity the distribution of outcomes follows bell curve (Gaussian).
Those that are willing to put in effort reap the benefits. 😀
Otherwise we always have option to go for hard working PM's/etf/mf
For lot of consumer facing cos scuttlebutt is actually not that hard. We find reviews online (eg: app reviews on playstore, or reviews of products on social media)
B2B is hard to scuttlebutt, need to reach out to people in co and hope that are willing to talk. Connections help
In any activity the distribution of outcomes follows bell curve (Gaussian).
Those that are willing to put in effort reap the benefits. 😀
Otherwise we always have option to go for hard working PM's/etf/mf
Things to need to do before you buy a stock. I wonder though how many investors have the ability for item numbers 5, 6 & 7. I don't pic.twitter.com/E5AMVxbpNb
— Prashanth (@Prashanth_Krish) August 16, 2021
For lot of consumer facing cos scuttlebutt is actually not that hard. We find reviews online (eg: app reviews on playstore, or reviews of products on social media)
B2B is hard to scuttlebutt, need to reach out to people in co and hope that are willing to talk. Connections help
#neulandlab 🌋🌋 read on to understand this company and its story of transformation. On twitter, 🌋 has become synonymous with neuland, and this is how i will use it throughout the thread. If you like the thread, plz retweet & help fellow investors learn
Starting with a simple primer on the Pharma industry. They make medicines for all of us. The part of the medicine which gives it its potency against the ailment it cures is called API: Active Pharmaceutical
(here is a reference few people will get, but have to make it since I love it :D):
If Guardians of the globe (https://t.co/vH2C1TDbPy) were a medicine, Omniman (https://t.co/0DGb1MAtXN) is the API.
Back to 🌋. There are pharma companies which sell APIs as well as the finished medicine (FDF: Finished Dosage Formulation). Neuland are pureplay API manufacturers. This provides them some advantage since they don't compete with their clients (the FDF makers).
Medicine is diverse. There are medicine which were first discovered in 1920s (https://t.co/6DXNrhOK46), to those being created now (https://t.co/tcr7dAexmO). Naturally then, some of this involves very complex chemistry to manufacture, others are relatively easier to manufacture.
Starting with a simple primer on the Pharma industry. They make medicines for all of us. The part of the medicine which gives it its potency against the ailment it cures is called API: Active Pharmaceutical
(here is a reference few people will get, but have to make it since I love it :D):
If Guardians of the globe (https://t.co/vH2C1TDbPy) were a medicine, Omniman (https://t.co/0DGb1MAtXN) is the API.
Back to 🌋. There are pharma companies which sell APIs as well as the finished medicine (FDF: Finished Dosage Formulation). Neuland are pureplay API manufacturers. This provides them some advantage since they don't compete with their clients (the FDF makers).
Medicine is diverse. There are medicine which were first discovered in 1920s (https://t.co/6DXNrhOK46), to those being created now (https://t.co/tcr7dAexmO). Naturally then, some of this involves very complex chemistry to manufacture, others are relatively easier to manufacture.
Such opportunities only come once in a few years.
Step-by-step: how to use (the free) @screener_in to generate investment ideas.
Do retweet if you find it useful to benefit max investors. 🙏🙏
Ready or not, 🧵🧵⤵️
I will use the free screener version so that everyone can follow along.
Outline
1. Stepwise Guide
2. Practical Example: CoffeeCan Companies
3. Practical Example: Smallcap Consistent compounders
4. Practical Example: Smallcap turnaround
5. Key Takeaway
1. Stepwise Guide
Step1
Go to https://t.co/jtOL2Bpoys
Step2
Go to "SCREENS" tab
Step3
Go to "CREATE NEW SCREEN"
At this point you need to register. No charges. I did that with my brother's email id. This is what you see after that.
Step-by-step: how to use (the free) @screener_in to generate investment ideas.
Do retweet if you find it useful to benefit max investors. 🙏🙏
Ready or not, 🧵🧵⤵️
I will use the free screener version so that everyone can follow along.
Outline
1. Stepwise Guide
2. Practical Example: CoffeeCan Companies
3. Practical Example: Smallcap Consistent compounders
4. Practical Example: Smallcap turnaround
5. Key Takeaway
1. Stepwise Guide
Step1
Go to https://t.co/jtOL2Bpoys
Step2
Go to "SCREENS" tab
Step3
Go to "CREATE NEW SCREEN"
At this point you need to register. No charges. I did that with my brother's email id. This is what you see after that.
A lot of people ask: how do you find companies to invest in? very good question.
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. 🙏
1. https://t.co/2bvvRSBScr
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
"Market Capitalization > 50
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
...
Operating cash flow 5years /5 < Operating cash flow 3years /3
AND
Operating cash flow 7years /7 < Operating cash flow 3years /3"
In this screener, i am looking for
smallcaps with a min mcap,
which have a bare minimum average ROCE & valuation accordance to the unit economics
which are also growing topline
and where operating cash flows are also increasing, on an average basis
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. 🙏
1. https://t.co/2bvvRSBScr
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
"Market Capitalization > 50
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
...
Operating cash flow 5years /5 < Operating cash flow 3years /3
AND
Operating cash flow 7years /7 < Operating cash flow 3years /3"
In this screener, i am looking for
smallcaps with a min mcap,
which have a bare minimum average ROCE & valuation accordance to the unit economics
which are also growing topline
and where operating cash flows are also increasing, on an average basis
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The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
The story doesn\u2019t say you were told not to... it says you did so without approval and they tried to obfuscate what you found. Is that true?
— Sarah Frier (@sarahfrier) November 15, 2018
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
Facebook originally a CIA program called "LifeLog".
LifeLog, via DARPA, terminated on Feb 4th, 2004.
Facebook was launched on Feb 4th, 2004.
Many of the LifeLog team became execs at FB.
Zuckerberg is a figurehead.
CIA allowed Cambridge to help Trump win
https://t.co/enzOXDCogV
Pentagon Kills LifeLog
LifeLog, via DARPA, terminated on Feb 4th, 2004.
Facebook was launched on Feb 4th, 2004.
Many of the LifeLog team became execs at FB.
Zuckerberg is a figurehead.
CIA allowed Cambridge to help Trump win
https://t.co/enzOXDCogV
Project: Lifelog
— Robert Horan (@Robby12692) December 13, 2018
Started by DARPA in 1999, the goal of Lifelog was to create a database on civilians without their knowledge, and track everything they do.
The project "ended" on Feb 4th, 2004.
Facebook began the exact same day.
The CIA funneled tens of millions into Facebook. pic.twitter.com/r7hwF0v9kh
Pentagon Kills LifeLog