#HINDUNILVR
Decade old move appears to have ended here. If last cycle is any indication, then 61.8% retracement can't be ruled out. (around 600)
Market is falling out with consumer facing businesses, be it HDFC Bank (consumer finance) or HUL (Consumer goods).
More from Mayank Narula
#Bitcoin
Monthly divergence may come into play.
I said best case scenario is market dump over next few months, and it's happening now.
I won't be surprised if it takes off to new all time high after flushing out new entrants.
Monthly divergence may come into play.
I said best case scenario is market dump over next few months, and it's happening now.
I won't be surprised if it takes off to new all time high after flushing out new entrants.
#BITCOIN
— Mayank Narula (@Mayank_Narula1) March 5, 2022
Pending RSI divergence on monthly chart which requires a dip under 13805 to get resolved.
But monthly RSI divergences can go on for years before the resolution.
Best case scenario will be panic dump over next few months. pic.twitter.com/hi67hMg9sZ
I did this comparison between Aarti Drugs and Tata Elxsi back in Oct when Tata Elxsi was at 1200-1300. Now it is 4200+.
Here is one more stock displaying similar characteristics: Mayur Uniquoters.
#MayurUniq
Coming out of 7 years consolidation.
Weekly and monthly RSI crossing over 70.
Can it do what Aarti Drugs and Tata Elxsi did in last 1 year?
#MayurUniq
Monthly RSI crossed over 70 in Sep'09 and stayed till Sep'11.
Stock did 5x in that time.
Here is one more stock displaying similar characteristics: Mayur Uniquoters.
Spot the similarities here in the price action:#AARTIDRUGS
— Mayank Narula (@Mayank_Narula1) October 10, 2020
2013-2015: Monthly RSI goes over 70 and stock goes up 4-5x.
2015-2020: range consolidation
2020: repeat of 2013-15 in few months pic.twitter.com/53L2fNpJoM
#MayurUniq
Coming out of 7 years consolidation.
Weekly and monthly RSI crossing over 70.
Can it do what Aarti Drugs and Tata Elxsi did in last 1 year?
#MayurUniq
Monthly RSI crossed over 70 in Sep'09 and stayed till Sep'11.
Stock did 5x in that time.
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I’m torn on how to approach the idea of luck. I’m the first to admit that I am one of the luckiest people on the planet. To be born into a prosperous American family in 1960 with smart parents is to start life on third base. The odds against my very existence are astronomical.
I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.
In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.
So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.
Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.
Ironies of Luck https://t.co/5BPWGbAxFi
— Morgan Housel (@morganhousel) March 14, 2018
"Luck is the flip side of risk. They are mirrored cousins, driven by the same thing: You are one person in a 7 billion player game, and the accidental impact of other people\u2019s actions can be more consequential than your own."
I’ve always felt that the luckiest people I know had a talent for recognizing circumstances, not of their own making, that were conducive to a favorable outcome and their ability to quickly take advantage of them.
In other words, dumb luck was just that, it required no awareness on the person’s part, whereas “smart” luck involved awareness followed by action before the circumstances changed.
So, was I “lucky” to be born when I was—nothing I had any control over—and that I came of age just as huge databases and computers were advancing to the point where I could use those tools to write “What Works on Wall Street?” Absolutely.
Was I lucky to start my stock market investments near the peak of interest rates which allowed me to spend the majority of my adult life in a falling rate environment? Yup.