Cipla concall was today at 10:40 pm (late night)

Here are the key takeaways 😃

@unseenvalue @darshanvmehta1 @AlgoBoffin @iramneek

Introduction

- Company being the first one to launch Remdesivir and the whole portfolio for covid 19

- Company is no.2 in lung leadership. Will try to unlock the complex generics in US.

- Growing faster than the average market growth.
- Trying to bring respiratory technology in China and in Brazil.
- There is a fair amount of unlocking through digitalization.
- ESG to improve in future. Becoming carbon neutral and water neutral.
US business
- Were able to add

- would be doubling the revenue in US.

- The pipeline is nicely diversified , now the products are diversified into respiratory + injectable around 30%
Indian market: One india strategy
- To cosumerize the business.

- Generic business is no.1 in india.

- Brand is moving from generic business to consumer business.

- Goal is to keep beating market growth by expanding the depth in portfolio.
- There has been a deeper distribution system because the generic business is moving faster than expected.

- Synergizing the distribution channel for prescription, trade generics, and consumer health.
Consumer wellness
- Goal is to make 12- 15% of revenue in next 3 to 5 years. Right now ots around 5 percent.
South African business
- Going relatively fast in CNS and respiratory business.
- Nice portfolio in HIV.

Emerging markets
- Solid partnership are present in these market.
Digital initiative

- Can unlock a great potential in profit through digitalization
- Automation in manufacturing and digitization of data.
- Company is re imagining the business to be more digital.
ROIC story

- Capital is being diverted to respiratory division. Comaony likes this category.
- 50 to 60% will come from new launch of products and rest would be through cost control.
- In india company want to expand a bit but the major focus is to push the revenues higher.

Respiratory portfolio
- The company has a para 4 filing and has a partnership with a generic company.
Future acquisition
- Company is open to acquisition which would be easy to digest

- India and us business are very attractive but company is not seeing huge potential in capital allocation towards acquisition.

More from The Tycoon Mindset

Framework on Buyback covered till now.

This Mega Thread covers our entire thesis on this buyback special situation play, across different sectors & our experience with it.

{Thread of Threads}
🧵👇

Basic of Buyback


Just Dial buyback experience & Notable Learning


Past Case Studies with different learning:

1. TCS Buyback


2. Gandhi Special tubes

More from Health

this simple, counter narrative fact keeps cropping up all over the world.

hospital and ICU utilization has been and remains low this year.

it's terribly curious that so few of these monitoring tools provide historical baselines.

getting them is like pulling teeth.


we might think of this as an oversight until you see stuff like this:

this woman was arrested for filming and sharing the fact that their are empty hospitals in the UK.

that's full blown soviet. what possible honest purpose does that

this is the action of a police state and a propaganda ministry, not a well intentioned government and a public heath agency.

"we cannot let people see the truth for fear they might base their actions on real facts" is not much of a mantra for just governance.


90% full ICU sounds scary until you realize that 90-100% full is normal in flu season.

staffed ICU beds are expensive to leave empty. it's like flying with 15% of the plane empty. hospitals don't do that.

and all US hospitals are mandated to be able to flex to 120% ICU.

the US is currently at historically low ICU utilization for this time of year.

61% is "you're all going to go out of business" territory as is 66% full hospital use.

can you blame them for mining CARES act money? they'll die without it.

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Trump is gonna let the Mueller investigation end all on it's own. It's obvious. All the hysteria of the past 2 weeks about his supposed impending firing of Mueller was a distraction. He was never going to fire Mueller and he's not going to


Mueller's officially end his investigation all on his own and he's gonna say he found no evidence of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election.

Democrats & DNC Media are going to LITERALLY have nothing coherent to say in response to that.

Mueller's team was 100% partisan.

That's why it's brilliant. NOBODY will be able to claim this team of partisan Democrats didn't go the EXTRA 20 MILES looking for ANY evidence they could find of Trump campaign/Russian collusion during the 2016 election

They looked high.

They looked low.

They looked underneath every rock, behind every tree, into every bush.

And they found...NOTHING.

Those saying Mueller will file obstruction charges against Trump: laughable.

What documents did Trump tell the Mueller team it couldn't have? What witnesses were withheld and never interviewed?

THERE WEREN'T ANY.

Mueller got full 100% cooperation as the record will show.
The first ever world map was sketched thousands of years ago by Indian saint
“Ramanujacharya” who simply translated the following verse from Mahabharat and gave the world its real face

In Mahabharat,it is described how 'Maharishi Ved Vyasa' gave away his divine vision to Sanjay


Dhritarashtra's charioteer so that he could describe him the events of the upcoming war.

But, even before questions of war could begin, Dhritarashtra asked him to describe how the world looks like from space.

This is how he described the face of the world:

सुदर्शनं प्रवक्ष्यामि द्वीपं तु कुरुनन्दन। परिमण्डलो महाराज द्वीपोऽसौ चक्रसंस्थितः॥
यथा हि पुरुषः पश्येदादर्शे मुखमात्मनः। एवं सुदर्शनद्वीपो दृश्यते चन्द्रमण्डले॥ द्विरंशे पिप्पलस्तत्र द्विरंशे च शशो महान्।

—वेद व्यास, भीष्म पर्व, महाभारत


Meaning:-

हे कुरुनन्दन ! सुदर्शन नामक यह द्वीप चक्र की भाँति गोलाकार स्थित है, जैसे पुरुष दर्पण में अपना मुख देखता है, उसी प्रकार यह द्वीप चन्द्रमण्डल में दिखायी देता है। इसके दो अंशो मे पीपल और दो अंशो मे विशाल शश (खरगोश) दिखायी देता है।


Meaning: "Just like a man sees his face in the mirror, so does the Earth appears in the Universe. In the first part you see leaves of the Peepal Tree, and in the next part you see a Rabbit."

Based on this shloka, Saint Ramanujacharya sketched out the map, but the world laughed