More from Alok Jain ⚡
More from Gold
Gold - through SGBs was my move on diversifying! Holder since Jan'20 - so far so good!
A🧵on talk given by @PositiveGamma on Investing in Gold!
(1/16)
Link to the here - https://t.co/NxEkVKZi2H
MMTC PAMP is where Krishna worked before Setu and he was also responsible for launching Digi Gold at PayTM!
1) Why Gold?
1.1 Diversification - Volatility & Returns not tied to market conditions - diff. from financial assets.
(2/16)
1.2 Safe Haven - High value asset, easy to transport! Large value - limited space. Liquid and easy to convert to cash across the world.
1.3 Hedge against inflation and currency depreciation! (Depreciation of Rupee is a major factor behind Gold returns in India)
(3/16)
1.4 Upside in Tail Risk - Confidence in currencies & financial systems is low, gold can see upside in scenarios like this!
1.5 Upside on Demand/Supply - Constant Demand - Supply is stable!
2) Gold - Indian Context - Better returns compared to other asset classes...
(4/16)
... specially in the last 2-3 years. Gold has done well both in low inflation & high inflation returns. So both real (ex. inflation) & nominal returns have been good!
3) How much to Allocate?
3.1 Diversification/Inflation Hedge - 10-20%
3.2 Tail Risk/Safe Haven - 5-20%
(5/16)
So far doing good. 2000 is the level I would be looking for. https://t.co/j1kiKRSx0y
GOLD - 1 9 2 7 from 1 8 5 0
— The_Chartist \U0001f4c8 (@charts_zone) February 24, 2022
No indicators, nothing. Understand the language of the price. https://t.co/l6pEGD7r6D pic.twitter.com/JWZjlTLSBF
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Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020