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The Review: The festive fixtures - A thread

Hi everyone, welcome to the latest edition of “The Review” where I look at the blanks, doubles and the new fixture rescheduling in detail:

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL

(Data taken from @FFScout and @FFH_HQ with consent)

 Before I start, I'd like to make a small request. I post about FPL on my Instagram too, so if you have an Instagram account, follow up here!

https://t.co/1tZ92vBXIT
Q: How do we tackle the next three GWs?

Given the unfortunate and untimely postponements of last GW, a lot of FPL managers were left deflated. For luck to have the final say was always going to be infuriating – given the amount of planning that goes into...
... each GW, particularly the amount of work being put into all kinds of strategies by FPL managers of late. Just a slight point I’d like to make here, your frustration is only natural but it’s worth noting that a lot of gains are still to be made in the season so try and keep...
... your heads up as we head into the most crucial stage of the season. Last evening, the Premier League announced that Burnley v Man United will be played in GW 18, meaning that Man United and Burnley no longer have any blank coming up. Bruno Fernandes is highly owned, so...
... his owners directly get an additional player available in GW 18. Whether that is enough for you as a FPL manager to avoid the Free Hit chip depends on your team, but in my opinion, 7-8 quality players heading into GW18 should be good enough reason to avoid the Free Hit...
...The other news that came out was that Aston Villa v Man City will now be played in GW 19, meaning that like Burnley and Man United, both these teams not only have a fixture in GW 18 but also have a double GW in GW 19. This is of particular importance to...
... Martinez, Grealish, Watkins, De Bruyne and City defence’s owners who suddenly find themselves with the ideal core of players heading into GW 18 and 19. I would not be selling any of these players at this stage. What stands out for me here is that Man City have great...
... fixtures either side of the double now, and have the standout fixtures in the GW itself too (che BHA CRY+AVL wba SHU bur). Triple Man City is an absolute must to navigate this run of fixtures in my opinion. Someone like a De Bruyne is probably the go-to captain...
... heading into the double GW 19 and potentially an outside shout for triple captaincy too. Investing in Man United players could be worthwhile too, given that they have have low ownerships (differentials alert!) and equally good fixtures either side of the...
... double too (AVL bur liv/ful SHU ars SOT). This new COVID outbreak also raises slight doubts in my mind for the GW 19 Bench Boost strategy, as during these uncertain times, you never know which games might get called off...
... The Premier League has set a dangerous precedent cancelling fixtures hours before the games, hence we may not know if any GW19 fixtures are to be cancelled prior to the deadline.
Q: Who is the best captaincy shout this week and why?

I think the Spurs v Leeds fixture is the one to target here. I see Bruno Fernandes is the most popular choice in most social media polls, but I find the Man United v Villa game extremely hard to call. I think Bruno...
... should be safe to get some returns, but I don’t think Villa will get obliterated. Man United’s attack has been in form, accumulating the most chances created and big chances created in the past six GWs but they will now come up against an extremely resilient Villa side...
... who limited Chelsea to just the one big chance in midweek and have been 3rd best for big chances conceded all season. I can see Jose being pragmatic and picking Leeds off on the counter which should suit Harry Kane and Son Heung Min, in particular. This could be a...
... very similar game to the Southampton vs Spurs game earlier in the season where Spurs get dominated but end up making merry on the counter. Despite two clean sheets in their last two games, Leeds are still ranked worst for big chances conceded and expected goals conceded...
... in the past six GWs. Spurs, meanwhile, are also the bookies favorites to score 2.5+ goals this week. Regarding Mo Salah, I think like any other week he should be a safe choice for captaincy but I don’t think his ceiling is as big this week either. Southampton are ranked...
... second best for shots conceded at home this season, so they will make it tough for Liverpool.
Q: Is Robertson a better FPL asset than Trent Alexander Arnold this season?

(read below)
Robertson v Trent (over the 20/21 season):

Mins per shot inside the box: 240 vs 1142
Mins per big chance: 720 vs 1142
Mins per chance created: 50 vs 50
Mins per big chance created: 205 vs 381
Mins per touch in the final third: 2.47 vs 2.55
Mins per penalty area touch: 30 vs 54
The numbers above are self-explanatory. Robertson is out-stating Trent in almost all the key underlying numbers. The quality of his chance creation means that he tends to do better for bonus as well. Further, it’s significant to note that Robertson...
... is almost twice as involved in the opposition penalty area as compared to Trent. I think the sample size is large enough to safely say that Robertson is a superior asset this season.
Q: Is Trent Alexander Arnold a worse FPL asset than he was last season?

(read below)
Trent 19/20 vs 20/21:

Mins per shot inside the box: 212 vs 1142
Mins per big chance: 1588 vs 1142
Mins per chance created: 36.5 vs 50
Mins per big chance created: 176 vs 381
Mins per touch in the final third: 2.52 vs 2.55
Mins per penalty area touch: 58 vs 54
The numbers above suggest that it’s important that we see Trent in a different light this term. He’s still a good asset to own in isolation on a standalone basis but when you compare his numbers to his previous ones, it’s noticeable that he hasn’t reached the same heights...
... this time – particularly when you notice the decline in the creativity department. Not only is Trent creating fewer chances this season but the quality of chances created has dropped significantly too.
Q: Who should be the budget midfielder of choice, Raphinha or Soucek?

(read below)
Raphinha vs Soucek (last 8 GWs):

Mins per shot inside the box: 38 vs 65
Mins per big chance: 686 vs 240
Mins per chance created: 40 vs 720
Mins per big chance created: 343 vs 720
Mins per penalty area touch: 17 vs 27
Leeds xG 15.1 v West Ham xG 9.2
Both Raphinha and Soucek would be my budget midfielders of choice heading into the double GW. Picking one is extremely tricky given that both are of a similar price and that both Leeds and West Ham have good fixtures in the DGW...
... Raphinha tends to do better for underlying numbers overall, but Soucek gets chances of higher quality and is being encouraged by Moyes to get more involved in the opposition’s penalty area, so I’d imagine his numbers will only improve...
... If I had to pick one, I would pick Raphinha because Leeds are a more attacking side, but it’s super close.
Q: Che Adams, sell or keep? Does he fare better with or without Danny Ings?

Adams (with Ings 20/21) vs Adams (without Ings 20/21)

Mins per shots inside the box: 55.28 vs 90
Mins per big chance: 124.4 vs 360
Mins per big chance created: 199 vs 180
Southampton (when Ings and Adams play) vs Southampton (with Adams only)

Shots inside the box per game: 7 vs 5
Big chances per game: 1.67 vs 0.75
Chances created per game: 7.83 vs 6.5

By looking at the above comparisons, it can be seen Adams and both Southampton as a whole...
... tend to do far better in terms of underlying numbers when Danny Ings is playing. Now that Danny Ings is fit and there to support him, it is worth keeping Adams heading into his double GW (LIV - lei + ARS AVL mun).
Q: Is Anwar El Ghazi the go-to Aston Villa midfielder of choice now?

Firstly, I’d like to look at how the addition of El Ghazi has affected Villa in terms of their goal threat:
Aston Villa (GW 2-12) vs Aston Villa (GW 13-16)

Shots inside the box per game: 10 vs 13.25
Big chances per game: 2.8 vs 3.25
Chances created per game: 12 vs 15.5
By looking at the stats, it can be seen that El Ghazi has given Villa a different dynamic. Villa’s attacking numbers were impressive enough as it is but have since further improved with El Ghazi’s addition to the team. Now I compare him to Jack Grealish:
Grealish (last four GWs) vs Grealish (GW 2-12) vs El Ghazi (Last four GWs)

Mins per shot inside the box: 45 vs 39 vs 28.9
Mins per big chance: 360 vs 180 vs 69.4
Mins per big chance created: 120 vs 129 vs 347
By looking at the underlying stats it can be seen that El Ghazi has been providing a better goal threat than Grealish, who has seen a slight decline in his goal threat numbers versus his season averages and seems to have taken up a more creative role which is due to him...
... dropping into midfield and acting as a playmaker. With El Ghazi on penalty and direct set piece duties and approximately being a couple of million cheaper than Grealish, he would be the Villa midfielder...
... I would pick if I were picking one right now considering they have a double GW coming up. (mun TOT EVE + mci bur sou)
Q: In this section I look at the defensive assets of Leeds:

Dallas vs Alioski (over the season):

Mins per shot inside the box: 238.5 vs 151.5
Mins per big chance: 477 vs 454.5
Mins per big chance created: 715.5 vs 303
Mins per touch in the final third: 4.44 vs 3.63
In my analysis above I have ignored Ayling as he has been playing centre back of late so carries little to negligible threat. Dallas is the more secure asset in terms of his starting place, but I’d assume that Alioski would also keep his starting position, at least...
... for the short term given his stellar performances of late. When both him and Dallas play, he is the superior asset as the numbers above highlight. I now look at Leeds’ recent defensive performances:
Leeds (GW 1-14) vs Leeds (GW 15-16)

Big chances conceded per game: 3.21 vs 1.5
Shots inside the box conceded per game: 11.5 vs 6

The stats from the last two GWs show improvement for Leeds in the defensive department compared to their season averages. Investing in a...
... Leeds defensive asset could be worthwhile since Leeds play twice during DGW 19, but be aware of the lack of fixture in the blank GW. (tot - BHA + SOU new lei).
Q: Should faith be kept in Dominic Calvert Lewin?

FPL managers are growing increasingly frustrated by the lack of big returns from the Everton talisman, who has been averaging ∼3.83 points in his previous six matches. I now look at his numbers during this spell:
Calvert Lewin (GW 10-15)
Shots inside the box: 13 (Forward Rank: 5th)
Big chances: 6 (Forward Rank: 1st)
xG: 3.22 (Forward Rank: 3rd)

Despite the loss of Richarlison and James Rodriguez to injury, it can be seen that Calvert Lewin is still posting good numbers averaging...
... a big chance per game. With Richarlison back to help him against West Ham and favorable fixtures to follow (WHU wol avl LEI NEW), it might be worthwhile keeping faith in the forward.
Q: What has been the impact of Sam Allardyce West Brom’s defence?

Here I compare West Brom’s numbers under Bilic to their numbers under Allardyce, which I have further bifurcated...
...when I compare his first game in-charge against an inform Villa with the next two fixtures against Liverpool and Leeds:

WBA (GW 1-13) vs WBA (GW 14) vs WBA (GW 15-16)

Shots conceded inside the box per game: 10.7 vs 11 vs 8
Big chances conceded per game: 2.7 vs 3 vs 2
By looking at the underlying stats, it can be seen that West Brom have improved defensively over the past two GWs despite the fact that they conceded five times to a Leeds side who were ruthlessly clinical. This might be early signs of a bigger improvement incoming...
... It’s too early to invest in their defence as yet but Sam Johnstone owners can hope for better returns should their numbers continue to improve with mixed fixtures and a double GW to follow (ARS - wol + whu MCI FUL).
Credit to my friend @SFK7 for helping me in my work!

If you are looking to follow my work, follow me at:

Twitter: https://t.co/oBvQzf7Dor

Instagram: https://t.co/1tZ92vBXIT

YouTube: https://t.co/mDw5fLXaAG

I await your feedback. Wishing you all a very happy new year!

More from AbuBakar Siddiq

AbuBakar Siddiq
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The Review: GW 12 - A thread

Hi everyone, welcome to the latest edition of “The Review” where I analyze the Premier League football played at the weekend:

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL

(Data taken from @FFScout and @FFH_HQ with consent)

Q: Who is the best differential striker?

A lot of FPL managers have sent in their questions regarding a differential striker this week as they see this as a way to make up some points over the condensed fixture schedule...

...Let us take a look at which of the following options are worth investing in:

Watkins vs Ings vs Ché Adams v Wood (this season)
Mins per shot inside the box: 39.1 vs 40 vs 57.5 vs 52
Mins per big chance: 81.8 vs 108.5 vs 172.5 vs 105
Mins per big chance created: 900 vs 760 vs 172.5 vs 941
xG: 5.72 vs 4.5 vs 3.62 vs 3.63

I think Watkins is the one who stands out here and given his fixtures (BUR wba CRY che mun), even without penalty duties he can represent good value. Considering that Villa are ranked first for shots inside the box and xG over the last six GWs, he’s an excellent pick...
SOCCER
AbuBakar Siddiq
AbuBakar Siddiq
@BigManBakar
The Review: GW 19 - A thread

Hi everyone, welcome to the latest edition of “The Review” where I look at the double GW gone by, De Bruyne and Vardy replacements in detail:

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL

(Data taken from @FFScout and @FFH_HQ with consent)

Before I start, I'd like to introduce you to this game called Fantasy5. It’s free to enter, with a £10k weekly prize. All you have to do is to pick 5 players that you think will beat their Fantasy points target. I find it to be a lot of fun! Link

At this point, I’d also like to mention that I post about FPL on my Instagram too, so if you have an Instagram account, follow up here!

Q: Is Son the obvious De Bruyne replacement? Is it worth doubling up on Spurs attack and if not, who to choose if picking one?

I think we’re at that point where avoiding Heung Min Son despite having the option to get him for De Bruyne if you don’t own him already has to be...

... classified as overthinking. I say that because Son over the past three GWs is top for xG and big chances in the league which is incredible given that Son featured only thrice during that period while some other players played four times. Son is averaging two big chances...
FINANCE
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AbuBakar Siddiq
AbuBakar Siddiq
@BigManBakar
The Review: GW 11 - A thread

Hi everyone, welcome to “The Review” where I look back on the key numbers of GW 11 with a look ahead to GW 12:

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL

(Data taken from @FFScout and @FFH_HQ with consent)

1) Which Tottenham Hotspur assets are worth holding?

Another solid performance on both ends of the pitch saw Spurs earn bragging rights over Arsenal in the north London derby. Despite having tough fixtures Heung Min Son and Harry Kane have still been among the goals for Spurs...

... therefore it may be worth to have another look at how the duo have been performing and who would seem to be the better option to invest in:

Son (GW 1-8) vs Son (GW 9-11)

Mins per shot inside the box: 49.4 vs 267
Mins per big chance: 71.3 vs 267
Mins per big chance created: 214 vs 267
Avg. FPL points per game: 9.25 vs 8.67

Kane (GW 1-8) vs Kane (GW 9-11)

Mins per shot inside the box: 28.6 vs 270
Mins per big chance: 79.3 vs 90
Mins per big chance created: 89.3 vs 270
Avg. FPL points per game: 10 vs 6
SOCCER
AbuBakar Siddiq
AbuBakar Siddiq
@BigManBakar
The Review: GW 23 - A thread

Hi everyone, welcome to the latest edition of “The Review” where me and @urboihamza look ahead to the upcoming double GWs and chip strategies in detail:

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL

(Data taken from @FFScout and @FFH_HQ with consent)

Before I start, an update on the Fantasy5: There have been no winners for two consecutive GWs now, so I feel the organizers have been more sympathetic in setting targets yet again this week. This might be your best chance to win £10k! Link below:

At this point, I’d also like to mention that I post about FPL on my Instagram too, so if you have an Instagram account, do follow up here:

I’d like to dedicate this Review of mine to my dear friend Dylan who is an avid FPL player and a regular reader of my pieces. He is battling a brutal illness so my thoughts are with him and his family during these tough times – stay strong lil bro and good luck!

Q: What is the optimum strategy for FPL managers wildcarding sometime soon who do not have their Free Hit in hand?

I’d like to credit to @BenCrellin for his outstanding work helping to shed more clarity on the double GWs coming up. Southampton winning against Wolves...
SCIENCE
AbuBakar Siddiq
AbuBakar Siddiq
@BigManBakar
The Review: GW 20 - A thread

Hi everyone, welcome to the latest edition of “The Review” where I look at the GW gone by and Kane replacements with an eye on the upcoming GW21:

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL

(Data taken from @FFScout and @FFH_HQ with consent)

Before I start, I'd like to introduce to you this game Fantasy5
that I play each GW. It's free to enter and all you have to do is pick 5 players to beat their Fantasy points target. It's very exciting and you have a chance to win £10k! Link

At this point, I’d also like to mention that I post about FPL on my Instagram too, so if you have an Instagram account, follow up here!

Q: In this section, I talk about Manchester City.

I first run a comparison between Man City’s midfielders from GW 13-20:

(read below)

Gündoğan V Foden v Bernardo v Sterling

Mins per chance created: 46 v 26 v 57 v 51
Mins per shots in the box: 38 v 32 v 81 v 41
Mins per big chance: 92 v 208 v 285 v 124
Mins per expected involvement: 149 v 179 v 278 v 122
GAMING

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This year has been quite something.

But let's try to pick some of the most clownish stories this year had to offer.

Here's to 2020's end of year thread 1/50


Have you got a license for that opinion?

2/50


At least academics remain the same.

3/50


And Sweden didn't change

4/50


Don't have much to say about this one

5/50
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Thread: P&F Super Pattern

An effective price pattern defined using properties of P&F charts.

#Superpattern #Pointandfigure #Definedge


Point & Figure is an oldest charting method where price is plotted vertically, and the chart moves only when price moves. It is a different way of looking at the price, the objective box-value and reversal value offers advantage of identifying objective price patterns.

When price is moving up, it is plotted in a column of 'X'. When it is going down, it is plotted in a column of ‘O’. Normally, three-box reversal criteria is used to define the trend & reversal. Unlike a bar or candle, the P&F column can have multiple sessions in it.


Link to know more about the subject:
https://t.co/2xtLAVPBvm

See below chart. Price is in a strong uptrend, P&F chart would produce a long of column of 'X' with more number of boxes in it.


If such a trend is followed by some time bars without meaningful price correct, P&F chart would not move, and it will remain in column of 'X' in such a scenario.
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10-K Diver
10-K Diver
@10kdiver
Get a cup of coffee.

Let's kickstart 2022!

To that end, here are 22 key concepts to help you appreciate and achieve Financial Independence.

Concept #1.

What is Financial Independence?

It's a state of *self-sufficiency*. It's when you have enough money, and enough income-producing assets, that you and your family can live comfortably for the rest of your lives -- WITHOUT needing a job.

Concept #2.

Financial Independence is not really about spending MONEY how we like -- although, to an extent, that becomes possible.

It's about being FREE to spend our TIME how we like.


Concept #3.

Financial Independence is not really about quitting our jobs and retiring from work -- although that's possible.

It's about being FREE to pursue *whatever* kind of work we find most fulfilling. Things we love to do. Things the world benefits from. Etc.


Concept #4.

For most of us, the path to Financial Independence consists of:

- Starting Early,
- Saving Diligently, and
- Investing Responsibly.

Here's an inspiring story of a janitor who amassed an $8M fortune by following this very playbook:
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Ming Zhao
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Day in the Life of a Hedge Fund Analyst

Few live to tell the tale.

"Was it like Billions?"
"Describe ur investment process?"
"What did u learn?"

I get these questions all the time, but for a while I was afraid of answering publicly. No more!

Hedge fund story time.
👇
🧵/

1/ ⏰ 6AM Pre-Market Review

Wake up thinking about ur overnight positions.
What happened during London/Asia trading?
Scan the major news on ur way to office.
🏢🚕🚶‍♀️

Think about how ur getting screwed by beta (general macro, FOMC, inflation, etc.) cuz ur net long (or net short).

2/ 7AM Portfolio Review

U'll typically have ~250 names in the portfolio "universe" (stocks w/ active positions & those on watchlist but already modeled).

Review each thesis vis-a-vis new market conditions. Anything changed?
Should u downside/upsize any?
New trade opportunities?

Here's a checklist of top items to check per company:

- Any earnings calls this week?
- Any product releases?
- Any new sell-side reports? Downgrades/Upgrades?
- Any M&A rumors in the space?
- Any management change announcements?
- Any guidance revisions?
- Any legal happenings?

3/ 8AM Plan out your daily/weekly agenda

Major types of events that'll populate ur calendar:
- Investor day at XYZ
- Q1-Q4 earnings call
- XYZ road show
- Dinner event w/ IR (investor relations) at XYZ
- Private buy-side bus trip (w/ mgmt @ XYZ) arranged by GS
- JPM conference
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anshul gupta
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India’s largest lender SBI is gradually capturing the very lucrative unsecured personal loan(PL) market.

A thread 🧵


As per credit bureau CRIF Highmark Unsecured PL market has seen significant growth in recent years. This has been driven a lot by liquidity crunch due to lockdown and emergency medical needs.

Total unsecured PL portfolio as per CRIF was estimated to be at 4.1 lakh crore as on March 19. This increased to 6.5 lakh crore by March 21.


Interestingly, in spite of fintech and NBFC penetration, public sector banks still had majority share – they originated 50% of incremental unsecured PL loans in FY 21 by value.


SBI’s PL portfolio during the period also increased from 1 lakh crore in March 19 to 2.4 lakh crore. This growth was driven by their Xpress credit product which uses credit bureau and other data to sanction loans within just eight minutes!
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Sri Adi Jagannatha Perumal Temple, Thiruppullani, TN

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This temple is mentioned in the Tamil classic devotional literature” Naalayira Dhivya Prabantham”, Thirumangai Azhwar sung a song on this place and the temple. and also Thiruppllai temple is referred in Valmiki Ramayana, Ramayana written by the great Tamil poet Kambar....👇


It is one of the 108 Divya Desam temples. Thiruppullani Sri Adi Jagannatha Perumal is also called as Sri Kalyana Jagannatha Perumal. It is believed that those who have difficulties or dhoshams regarding marriages and childbirth worship Jagannatha Perumal...👇
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Department List of UCAS-China PROFESSORs for ANSO, CSC and UCAS (fully or partial) Scholarship Acceptance
1) UCAS School of physical sciences Professor
https://t.co/9X8OheIvRw
2) UCAS School of mathematical sciences Professor

3) UCAS School of nuclear sciences and technology
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4) UCAS School of astronomy and space sciences
https://t.co/7Ikc6CuKHZ
5) UCAS School of engineering

6) Geotechnical Engineering Teaching and Research Office
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7) Multi-scale Mechanics Teaching and Research Section
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😎 Microgravity Science Teaching and Research

9) High temperature gas dynamics teaching and research section
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10) Department of Biomechanics and Medical Engineering
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11) Ocean Engineering Teaching and Research

12) Department of Dynamics and Advanced Manufacturing
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13) Refrigeration and Cryogenic Engineering Teaching and Research Office
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14) Power Machinery and Engineering Teaching and Research
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On the occasion of youtube 20k and Twitter 70k members

A small tribute/gift to members

Screeners

technical screeners - intraday and positional both

before proceeding - i have helped you , can i ask you so that it can help someone else too

thank you

positional one

run - find #stock - draw chart - find levels

1- Stocks closing daily 2% up from 5 days
https://t.co/gTZrYY3Nht

2- Weekly breakout
https://t.co/1f4ahEolYB

3- Breakouts in short term
https://t.co/BI4h0CdgO2

4- Bullish from last 5

intraday screeners

5- 15 minute Stock Breakouts
https://t.co/9eAo82iuNv

6- Intraday Buying seen in the past 15 minutes
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7- Stocks trading near day's high on 5 min chart with volume BO intraday
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Thank you
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Anshul Pandey
Anshul Pandey
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TYPES OF SINS(PAAP) AS PER SKAND PURAN.

There are three types of Adharma- Sthool, Sukshma and Ati Sukshma. The group of Sins in the Sthul section carries you to Narak. These sins are committed through your thoughts, words and deeds.


It is of four types.

1)First is the sin committed by your mental state-
Thinking about woman other then your spouse.

A)Resolution to amass wealth from others.

B)Thinking ill about others.

C)Thinking of doing a forbidden or unworthy deed.

2)Second is the sin that you commit through your words :-

A)Talking irrelevant things.

B)Telling a lie.

C)Speaking harshly.

D)Talking ill about others.

3)Third type of sin is committed through your body actions-

A)Eating food not prescribed to you or forbidden.

B)Violence.

C)Eating fancier food.

D)Acquiring other's wealth.

So these twelve types of sins.

There are six types of sinners or Mahapatak

1)One not bowing his head in front of a temple.

2)Never praise Shiva.

3)People who behave untowardly way in front of Ishwar.

4)People who do not show respect to Ishwar, guru or one who are undignified.

5)One who do not behave properly.

6)One who is jealous of other bhakts.

Below is the list of sins which people may commit.

1)One who does not help a needy person or a person in pain,
RELIGION