BC BUYBACK
Saved by @stranzer4

Framework on Buyback covered till now.

This Mega Thread covers our entire thesis on this buyback special situation play, across different sectors & our experience with it.

{Thread of Threads}
🧵👇

 Basic of Buyback

https://t.co/UuBaIz13sj
Just Dial buyback experience & Notable Learning

https://t.co/DNErlbIYHi
Past Case Studies with different learning:

1. TCS Buyback

https://t.co/JI2SgRL1ZO
2. Gandhi Special tubes Buyback

https://t.co/wAV61DzkQ2
3. E-Clerx Buyback

https://t.co/NEuSSuX9md
4. Start Cement Buyback

https://t.co/IECwWGPrTB
5. Balrampur Chini & Amrit Corp Buyback

https://t.co/9o7abL9PZB
6. Quick Heal Technologies Buyback

https://t.co/Y7CTl0jYIh
7. Tips Industries Buyback

https://t.co/Mn0q7NNLGJ
8. Tanla solutions Buyback

https://t.co/KHmLuM8KZu
9. Securities Intelligence Service (SIS) Buyback

https://t.co/BgNnguMnok
10. Aarti Drugs Buyback

https://t.co/00Ehc6xvVs
11. NTPC Buyback

https://t.co/Yi39WzLDxP

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Greenpanel Industries conducted their earnings con-call today at 4:00 pm

"One of the major MDF player in India"

Here are the key highlights of the call 😀👇

@varinder_bansal @nid_rockz

- MDF segment has margin of 24% during the quarter. There was price hike during the quarter as some raw material prices also went up. Company is planning 200 bps improvement in margins

- The current quarter looks good so the company is planning for 100 percent to 110 percent capacity utilization for both plants.

- The company have divided forex loss in 2 parts: 7 crore in interest and 1 crore above EBITDA.

- Company have sold out some assets of subsidiaries and also faced operational loss which can be experienced again.

- Exports market: Anti dumping which was announced couple of weeks back has been confirmed by the government. This will improve the margins.

- Capex of 55 crore. One part of the capex is for increasing capacity by adding additional machinery at the existing plants. The second part of the capex is for reducing the cost of operation.
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Zurich axioms - A book on Risk taking, by Max Gunther

@safiranand @jposhaughnessy @Vivek_Investor @BalakrishnanR @Covel @shyamsek @_anshulkhare

#investing
#Bookthread 👇🧵


Switzerland, a country with no strategic or geographical advantage, became the world’s banker by learning how to manage risk and facing it head on.

Zurich axioms are simple rules in order to learn about betting to win.

The First Major Axiom:
ON RISK

- Life is an adventure. In order to experience life to its full potential one has to take meaningful risk.. All Investments are speculation. Some people accept it. some don’t.
Always play for meaningful stakes.


- An investment with a small stake would not incur significant loss but will not generate any significant gain too. It should also not be so huge that loss would bankrupt a person.

- Resist the allure of diversification. The more one diversifies, the smaller the speculation gets. Through diversification all the losses and gains are likely to cancel out and no sizable difference is made.
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Warren Buffet & Charlie Munger's wisdom on

- LTCM
- Circle of Competence (Q by @MohnishPabrai )
- Buy & Hold Strategy

Berskhire Hathaway AGM: 1999

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#investing


1). On LTCM:

Munger: What was interesting was how talented they were and then also got in so much trouble. It also demonstrates general system of finance involving derivatives is irresponsible.

Warren: Here you had extremely experienced people operating with their own money.

• They went broke. Why do people risk losing something very important to gain something that’s totally unimportant? The added money has no utility whatsoever.

If almost impossible to go broke without borrowed money being in the equation. No gain is good enough when there is no gain to offset the risk of loss.


2. Estimating Company’s IV

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Roadmap for Ethanol blending In India 2020-25:

Decoding the opportunities in Ethanol Blending in India and how certain sector can benefit out of it.

Retweet for maximum reach to spread knowledge. 🙏🙏

🧵👇

Data-facts:
• 98% of India fuel requirement in road transportation is met through fossil fuel.
• Bio fuels only consist about 2% of use for road transportation.

• Ethanol is the important part of biofuel. It is naturally produced from fermentation of sugar by years or via petrochemical process such as ethylene hydration.
• Combined ethanol distillation capacity of India is 684 crore litres

There are different types of Ethanol variants:
1. E-10: In this, 90% of usage is gasoline & 10% Ethanol.
2. E-10 is maximum used in India.
E-20:
3. In this, 80% of usage is gasoline & 20% Ethanol.

The calorific value of ethanol is around 2/3rd of gasoline

Recent Target Improvements:

• National Policy for Biofuel has increased the target of Ethanol Blending to 20% from 10%
• With low quantity around 50% of petrol sold is E10 blended & rest is unblended(E0).
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HDFC Life Concall was today at 5.15 pm

Here are the key highlights of the Conference call 😀👇

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Business Updates:

• Continue to see pickup in saving business.
• Growth is there both in volume of policy and increase in ticket size.
• Market share remained increasing at 27% and is increasing gradually.
• Solvency Ration remained at 202%.

• Bank Assurance Channel has grown 22%. Agency Channel continuous to gain growth. HDFC Bank remained growth drive.
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• Risk Management has been constantly watched and remained on track.

• Product Mix across key channels shown is growth gradually.

New Scheme Launches: Company has yesterday launched new health plan with add on features.


Tax:
• Tax is now no longer a reason for the people to buy insurance, as customer perspective towards Insurance is improving.

Saving
• Savings have been coming back to the growth target.
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2/ Usually at the 20 minute mark (sometimes I set a timer) I'm so engrossed in what I'm doing that I don't want want to stop and end up working on it for the next hour or two. But getting started seems to be the hardest part.

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It also discusses the evolution of universe.( https://t.co/2aK1AZSC79 )

Next is the portrayal of Vidur and his dialogue with Maitreyji. Then there is a mention of Creation of universe by Brahma and the preachings of Sankhya by Kapil Muni.


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You want to buy a house.

You take a loan from the bank.

The bank asks you, “what if you don’t pay back?”

You say, “take my home and sell it”.

(Thread)

That makes sense. The bank gives you a loan and in case you don’t pay, the bank will take over your house and sell it and recover its money.

That’s collateral.

Banks also lend money to big corporations. With them, banks don’t always have collateral.

So a loan where the bank has collateral is considered safer for the bank.

In the early 2000s, the banks in the USA were giving out loans to people for buying houses.

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The Straddle is my favorite trade these days. But more often than not, one needs to adjust to make a good return from it. There are many ways to do this depending on your view, psychology and imagination. Will discuss a few that I use

The Straddle is a delta neutral strategy and it is important to keep deltas in check during the course of the Trade and not let them run away from you. Of course Volatility is the elephant in the room- but not going there as that will require a separate discussion

The first and most common method is to go 'inverted.' That is to say to shift the untested side to generate additional Premium and increase the runway to Breakeven. So if you start with a Straddle at 700 and price goes to 740, you can move the PE up to say 720.

How much should you move the untested side? While again this is a matter of skill, experience and artistry, the rule of thumb is to cut deltas by half. Remember, prices will move and you have to allow sufficient room for them to fluctuate

The second method is to shift the entire Straddle in the direction of the move. So if you have a 700 Straddle and Price goes to 740, you can shift the Straddle to 720. If you time this right, it can generally be done at virtually no cost or minimal cost.
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