1. The NIFTY rebounded in March - Spril from > -3SD & has now tagged and exceeded the +2SD for Six Consecutive weeks.
2. There have been 12 prior instances since 1998 when it has tagged or exceeded the +2SD for >= 5 weeks.
So, this is going to be a longish thread on the NIFTY.
In my last analysis, had mentioned that there wasn't enough data to analyze the NIFTY yet. In 2 weeks we now have more data to analyze.
1. The NIFTY rebounded in March - Spril from > -3SD & has now tagged and exceeded the +2SD for Six Consecutive weeks.
2. There have been 12 prior instances since 1998 when it has tagged or exceeded the +2SD for >= 5 weeks.
We have already done 6 cons. weeks this rally. That means good chance we stop tagging the +2SD in the next couple of weeks.
5. What happens when the NIFTY stops tagging the +2SD? Either a mild consolidation to + 1 SD [currently @1263 and rising] or a pretty decent correction. Mild Correction happened 4/11 times.
-2SD 5/11 times [currently @ 10500] Or to
- 20WSMA 2/11 times [ currently @ 11800]
7. Why am I not sure of the timing? RSI can go up another 2 - 3 points. Weekly RSI tends to reverse from 76 - 77 or higher levels. BUT
9. If you take the two data points together. Untag of the +2SD on the Weekly charts and the movement of the Daily RSI, THEN ....
10. When we go to the Monthly charts, it is as bullish as they come and the RSI is also only @ 66 BUT
Q. Are we done with the rally?
A. No we're just starting out on one of the biggest multi-year rallies BUT
1. UGLY --> CNX IT. Exceeded +3 SD on the Monthly charts. Losing momentum on the BB charts & Monthly RSI at the highest level since December 2010 [10 years ago].
2. The Fine Ones --> CNX Energy, CNX Finance, CNX Infra ...
3. The dark horses [These are really multi-decade turnarounds so hard to say yet] - CNX Realty and any PSU Index.
4. The one that concerns me: CNX FMCG
5. The one I'm not sure about is CNX Autos.
More from Bank
Last week the @ECB extended its current asset purchase program, now totalling €1.8 tn. Several EU states can borrow at negative interest rates.
10 years ago, the eurozone almost collapsed, a result of a misconstructed currency that was meant to fail from the outset.
A thread👇
1/Before the introduction of the euro, fluctuating exchange rates were seen as threat for economic integration & embarrassment for those who were inflating their currencies faster than others.
The European Monetary System, set up in 1979, was an attempt to stabilise fx rates.
2/The EMS was doomed to fail as members applied different monetary policies while trying to keep their fx rates in a pre-defined corridor.
The German Bundesbank refused to devalue the Mark when other centr. banks inflated their currencies - strengthening the Mark by comparison.
3/Traditionally, Southern EU countries have been more prone to inflation & high debt levels due to a large public sector, strong labour unions & generous pension systems.
Northern countries like Germany & the Netherlands typically had more prudent monetary & fiscal policies.
4/To get rid of the stubbornly conservative Bundesbank & monetise public deficits more easily, Southern countries spearheaded by France pushed for a single currency and used Germany’s desire for reunification in 1989 to make it give up the D-Mark.
10 years ago, the eurozone almost collapsed, a result of a misconstructed currency that was meant to fail from the outset.
A thread👇
1/Before the introduction of the euro, fluctuating exchange rates were seen as threat for economic integration & embarrassment for those who were inflating their currencies faster than others.
The European Monetary System, set up in 1979, was an attempt to stabilise fx rates.
2/The EMS was doomed to fail as members applied different monetary policies while trying to keep their fx rates in a pre-defined corridor.
The German Bundesbank refused to devalue the Mark when other centr. banks inflated their currencies - strengthening the Mark by comparison.
3/Traditionally, Southern EU countries have been more prone to inflation & high debt levels due to a large public sector, strong labour unions & generous pension systems.
Northern countries like Germany & the Netherlands typically had more prudent monetary & fiscal policies.
4/To get rid of the stubbornly conservative Bundesbank & monetise public deficits more easily, Southern countries spearheaded by France pushed for a single currency and used Germany’s desire for reunification in 1989 to make it give up the D-Mark.
Saturday marks the 30th anniversary of German reunification.
— HODLdax (@HODLdax) September 30, 2020
Did you that Germany had to sacrifice its national currency for it?
Let\u2019s look back at the fateful decisions leading to the Euro, a secretive project driven by much political interest and little economic reason.\U0001f447 pic.twitter.com/XcWgBOr29O
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First thread of the year because I have time during MCO. As requested, a thread on the gods and spirits of Malay folk religion. Some are indigenous, some are of Indian origin, some have Islamic
Before I begin, it might be worth explaining the Malay conception of the spirit world. At its deepest level, Malay religious belief is animist. All living beings and even certain objects are said to have a soul. Natural phenomena are either controlled by or personified as spirits
Although these beings had to be respected, not all of them were powerful enough to be considered gods. Offerings would be made to the spirits that had greater influence on human life. Spells and incantations would invoke their
Two known examples of such elemental spirits that had god-like status are Raja Angin (king of the wind) and Mambang Tali Arus (spirit of river currents). There were undoubtedly many more which have been lost to time
Contact with ancient India brought the influence of Hinduism and Buddhism to SEA. What we now call Hinduism similarly developed in India out of native animism and the more formal Vedic tradition. This can be seen in the multitude of sacred animals and location-specific Hindu gods
i wonder if you can make a thread bout witchcraft in malaysia.. or list of our own local gods/deites..
— r a y a \U0001f319 (@lcvelylilith) February 20, 2020
Before I begin, it might be worth explaining the Malay conception of the spirit world. At its deepest level, Malay religious belief is animist. All living beings and even certain objects are said to have a soul. Natural phenomena are either controlled by or personified as spirits
Although these beings had to be respected, not all of them were powerful enough to be considered gods. Offerings would be made to the spirits that had greater influence on human life. Spells and incantations would invoke their
Animist ceremonies of a religious or magical nature were normally held for the purpose of divination or making a request. This would either be done at a keramat or at a shrine similar to the Thai spirit houses or Chinese roadside shrines pic.twitter.com/I1hliyi0x3
— \u2745\u1710\u170b\u1713\u170e (@uglyluhan) June 16, 2019
Two known examples of such elemental spirits that had god-like status are Raja Angin (king of the wind) and Mambang Tali Arus (spirit of river currents). There were undoubtedly many more which have been lost to time
Contact with ancient India brought the influence of Hinduism and Buddhism to SEA. What we now call Hinduism similarly developed in India out of native animism and the more formal Vedic tradition. This can be seen in the multitude of sacred animals and location-specific Hindu gods
Great article from @AsheSchow. I lived thru the 'Satanic Panic' of the 1980's/early 1990's asking myself "Has eveyrbody lost their GODDAMN MINDS?!"
The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.
1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!
2) "Repressed memory" syndrome
3) Facilitated Communication [FC]
All 3 led to massive abuse.
"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.
Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.
FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
For three years I have wanted to write an article on moral panics. I have collected anecdotes and similarities between today\u2019s moral panic and those of the past - particularly the Satanic Panic of the 80s.
— Ashe Schow (@AsheSchow) September 29, 2018
This is my finished product: https://t.co/otcM1uuUDk
The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.
1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!
2) "Repressed memory" syndrome
3) Facilitated Communication [FC]
All 3 led to massive abuse.
"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.
Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.
FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
Following @BAUDEGS I have experienced hateful and propagandist tweets time after time. I have been shocked that an academic community would be so reckless with their publications. So I did some research.
The question is:
Is this an official account for Bahcesehir Uni (Bau)?
Bahcesehir Uni, BAU has an official website https://t.co/ztzX6uj34V which links to their social media, leading to their Twitter account @Bahcesehir
BAU’s official Twitter account
BAU has many departments, which all have separate accounts. Nowhere among them did I find @BAUDEGS
@BAUOrganization @ApplyBAU @adayBAU @BAUAlumniCenter @bahcesehirfbe @baufens @CyprusBau @bauiisbf @bauglobal @bahcesehirebe @BAUintBatumi @BAUiletisim @BAUSaglik @bauebf @TIPBAU
Nowhere among them was @BAUDEGS to find
The question is:
Is this an official account for Bahcesehir Uni (Bau)?
Bahcesehir Uni, BAU has an official website https://t.co/ztzX6uj34V which links to their social media, leading to their Twitter account @Bahcesehir
BAU’s official Twitter account
BAU has many departments, which all have separate accounts. Nowhere among them did I find @BAUDEGS
@BAUOrganization @ApplyBAU @adayBAU @BAUAlumniCenter @bahcesehirfbe @baufens @CyprusBau @bauiisbf @bauglobal @bahcesehirebe @BAUintBatumi @BAUiletisim @BAUSaglik @bauebf @TIPBAU
Nowhere among them was @BAUDEGS to find