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A footnote to yesterday's Drakefordgate that's being overlooked....
Wales has consciously moved away from the recommendations of the Joint Committee for Vaccinations and Immunisation (JCVI) instead it prioritised care home workers, and (largely) healthcare workersworkers
We know that this policy has been enacted as the Board has issued updates on its Twitter feed
Incredibly, on 11th January, @CV_UHB has only set aside 1.1% of the vaccines administered to those over 80 PLUS those resident in Care Homes
https://t.co/n1x9Nd4WVx
Covid vaccination update \U0001f447
— Cardiff & Vale UHB (@CV_UHB) January 11, 2021
To date we have administered 12,320 vaccinations.
Our activity this week includes:
\u2022GP Practices will be inviting those 80 and over to receive their vaccination. Please wait until you are contacted pic.twitter.com/BkDNdBg7RE
Since then, the situation has improved. Although the Health Board had managed to vaccinate a further 1,682 healthcare and 445 social care workers 2 days later, only a further 364 vulnerable persons had been vaccinated leaving them at extended risk of contracting Covid 19
Since then, a further 3,555 healthcare and 1,378 social care workers have been vaxed. But only 2,843 vulnerable persons.
Overall just 13.6% of vaccines have gone to these groups. We know that overall England has allocated 56% of its vaccines.
Why is this important?
A look at mortality data for Wales paints a dismal picture.
36% excess deaths in Care Homes since the end of October. That doesn't include care home residents who may have been transferred to hospitals, and then sadly died.
https://t.co/qb56KcBChj
And then the kicker....
@Join_ZOE produces covid reports based on 4.5M participants reporting their health. It has proved a highly predictive indicator of health (or not)
Todays report has highlighted that the over 60 community in Wales continues to see increased rates
Wales is the ONLY area of UK at national or regional basis, where rates are ⬆️ in this population group.
While correlation doesn't equal causation, given that Wales is 3 weeks ahead of the rest of UK, and all its other cohorts are ⬇️ , it does stand out as unusual
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Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020
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